Proof of Randomness in College Baseball

[Jaromir Jagr]

Chalk = favorite. Semantics and smoke screens. I act surprised.

Now who's being stupid?

I used the word. I meant expected outcome.

You said it.

You were wrong.

The entire point of this thread was a falsehood.

Expected outcome = favorite. Go out to the MGM sportsbook and tell me how many people are using the phrase "expected outcome".

Here's the funny thing: I didn't use the words chalk, favorite, OR expected outcome, yet you've claimed that I said those things about a dozen times now. You're a liar.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

I did not say that "Florida State and Texas A&M getting to Omaha was an expected outcome". Quit lying about what people said.

You were being sarcastic. You said they were predictable participants.

Everybody knows what you meant.

Now you're evading and dodging.

I have never used the phrase "predictable participants". Quit lying about peoples' posts.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

Everybody knows what you meant.

LOL, "everybody" is a guy who is pumped that we're getting a recruit who throws 90. That's your version of "everybody".

 

[Doppelganger]

Over a 10 year period it was possible for 80 different teams to get to Omaha. In those crazy random post-seasons, 10 teams win 2/3 of the games.

I don't know why you keep doing this to yourself.

You keep dodging the issue by injecting the regular season and/or tournament.

I've been arguing (often against you) that the tournament is designed to reward the teams who had the best regular seasons with the best chance to reach Omaha.

That' generally happens (despite the random nature of the sport).

It's what happens in Omaha that's the issue.

You've lost badly on this.

The expected outcomes never happen in Omaha. Even the second most expected outcome.

 

[Doppelganger]

You're either a sociopath or you're purposely acting like you don't get it.

There's nothing "not" to get.

I've pretty much thoroughly debunked your claims and arguments with numbers and facts.

 

[Doppelganger]

Perfect. Add up the last ten years of CWS games and tell me who wins the majority of the games. I've already done that, but thanks in advance.

And I actually posted the numbers because your claim is so harmless to my argument.

 

[Doppelganger]

A dodge is avoiding the content in the person's post, like you just did.

There's no content to avoid.

You're just flailing now because your "substance" is so substance-less.

 

[Doppelganger]

LSU winning a ton of games in Omaha isn't a fluke. Miami NOT winning many games in Omaha also isn't a fluke.

It actually is.

In fact their CWS performance is almost exactly like Arizona's.

Won 5 games in 2009 then didn't win any for 8 years. Then won 4 in 2017.

That's basically all of their Omaha wins in two seasons.

 

[Doppelganger]

Expected outcome = favorite. Go out to the MGM sportsbook and tell me how many people are using the phrase "expected outcome".

There's nobody on this forum who has read your original post who doesn't know what you meant.

Even the groupies who read this thread cheered for it because they knew what you meant.

This might be the biggest lie you've ever told and that's saying a lot.

 

[Doppelganger]

Here's the funny thing: I didn't use the words chalk, favorite, OR expected outcome, yet you've claimed that I said those things about a dozen times now. You're a liar.

You sarcastically said random.

So you meant that those teams were predictable.

I can't believe you're running away from this now. After being so proud of yourself initially.

 

[canesproponent]

Gnome - Give me a rule that you could apply that would encompass 80% of the teams that made it to Omaha in the last 10-years.

 

[Doppelganger]

LOL, "everybody" is a guy who is pumped that we're getting a recruit who throws 90. That's your version of "everybody".

No. Everybody being everybody who read this thread.

Even your toadies.

It's laughable that you're running away from the clear implication of this thread.

You won't run away from the overwhelming numbers against you but you'll run away from this.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

Over a 10 year period it was possible for 80 different teams to get to Omaha. In those crazy random post-seasons, 10 teams win 2/3 of the games.

I don't know why you keep doing this to yourself.

You keep dodging the issue by injecting the regular season and/or tournament.

I've been arguing (often against you) that the tournament is designed to reward the teams who had the best regular seasons with the best chance to reach Omaha.

That' generally happens (despite the random nature of the sport).

It's what happens in Omaha that's the issue.

You've lost badly on this.

The expected outcomes never happen in Omaha. Even the second most expected outcome.

Because you have a flawed view of what the expected outcomes are. No matter who you have ranked higher in the RPI, the same teams are winning over the past decade.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

You're either a sociopath or you're purposely acting like you don't get it.

There's nothing "not" to get.

I've pretty much thoroughly debunked your claims and arguments with numbers and facts.

You've lied about everything I've written. So that kind of leans toward the sociopath side.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

Perfect. Add up the last ten years of CWS games and tell me who wins the majority of the games. I've already done that, but thanks in advance.

And I actually posted the numbers because your claim is so harmless to my argument.

Then we agree that I am right. There is a small group of teams that has won the majority of CWS games in the past decade. I know it stings, but it's true.

The point, again, is that Miami isn't one of them. That's really the most important thing that you're running from.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

LSU winning a ton of games in Omaha isn't a fluke. Miami NOT winning many games in Omaha also isn't a fluke.

It actually is.

In fact their CWS performance is almost exactly like Arizona's.

Won 5 games in 2009 then didn't win any for 8 years. Then won 4 in 2017.

That's basically all of their Omaha wins in two seasons.

Because they have a program that can win in Omaha. Miami doesn't. That's really the point.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

Here's the funny thing: I didn't use the words chalk, favorite, OR expected outcome, yet you've claimed that I said those things about a dozen times now. You're a liar.

You sarcastically said random.

So you meant that those teams were predictable.

I can't believe you're running away from this now. After being so proud of yourself initially.

Don't tell me what I meant. You've already attributed four phrases that I never used, liar. With that kind of success rate you're starting to look like Gino recruiting JUCO players.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

LOL, "everybody" is a guy who is pumped that we're getting a recruit who throws 90. That's your version of "everybody".

No. Everybody being everybody who read this thread.

Even your toadies.

It's laughable that you're running away from the clear implication of this thread.

You won't run away from the overwhelming numbers against you but you'll run away from this.

Yeah, it looks like I'm running. I'm just listing your lies.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

Gnome - Give me a rule that you could apply that would encompass 80% of the teams that made it to Omaha in the last 10-years.

85% of the teams in the CWS over the past decade have come from the ACC, SEC, B12, or P12.

 

[canesproponent]

Unbelievable!!!

You give me a rule with 50 outcomes in any given year. YOU JUST DEFINED RANDOM!!!

HA!