Proof of Randomness in College Baseball

[Jaromir Jagr]

No matter who you have ranked higher in the RPI, the same teams are winning over the past decade.

Also, 7 of the 10 CWS champions of the last decade won their first national championship.

And? The same teams are winning in Omaha over the last decade.

They're just not named Miami. (This is the part you always leave out).

 

[Doppelganger]

I guess you missed my screen shot during one of your banned periods.

View attachment 47077

I guess you missed the 'every year' part of my post that you quoted.

 

[Doppelganger]

So is the inability of Jim Morris to win anything in Omaha, if he even manages to fluke his way into the CWS.

2 appearances in 9 years, one single win in Omaha in 9 years.

This is what you do when you can't argue with the facts.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

I guess you missed my screen shot during one of your banned periods.

View attachment 47077

I guess you missed the 'every year' part of my post that you quoted.

So you agree that 2017 was predictable.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

So is the inability of Jim Morris to win anything in Omaha, if he even manages to fluke his way into the CWS.

2 appearances in 9 years, one single win in Omaha in 9 years.

This is what you do when you can't argue with the facts.

^^^Everything I wrote is a fact. Which part do you dispute?

 

[Doppelganger]

What are you even arguing anymore?

This is rich.

The guy who starts a thread about non-randomness (then runs when he feels the heat) is now claiming that he doesn't know what the argument is.

 

[Doppelganger]

You've already admitted that Jim Morris wasn't helpless.

A point that nobody ever made.

 

[Doppelganger]

And? The same teams are winning in Omaha over the last decade.

The same teams are not winning the CWS.

It's even misleading to say that the same teams are winning CWS games too.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

You've already admitted that Jim Morris wasn't helpless.

A point that nobody ever made.

That's why we're in agreement. Jim Morris doesn't run a program capable of success in Omaha.

 

[Doppelganger]

So you agree that 2017 was predictable.

No. It wasn't.

It's not predictable because one guy can post a grainy screen shot of a betting slip.

I bet someone out there put money on Coastal Carolina last year too. Doesn't make it predictable.

These are the things you fail at consistently.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

It's even misleading to say that the same teams are winning CWS games too.

It's a list of teams and the number of games they won. A small group of teams has the majority of wins.

Miami isn't one of those.

 

[Doppelganger]

^^^Everything I wrote is a fact. Which part do you dispute?

The part where you veered completely off topic.

The CWS is not predictable. It's random.

You don't think it is. You're wrong.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

So you agree that 2017 was predictable.

No. It wasn't.

It's not predictable because one guy can post a grainy screen shot of a betting slip.

I bet someone out there put money on Coastal Carolina last year too. Doesn't make it predictable.

These are the things you fail at consistently.

That's because you're slow at this. You actually thought the games were random.

The one sure bet in Vegas: bet against Jim Morris in Omaha.

 

[Doppelganger]

It's a list of teams and the number of games they won. A small group of teams has the majority of wins.

No.

1/3 of the teams won 2/3 of the games.

Not a very telling statistic (especially if one looks at the numbers).

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

^^^Everything I wrote is a fact. Which part do you dispute?

The part where you veered completely off topic.

The CWS is not predictable. It's random.

You don't think it is. You're wrong.

Cool, except that the only reason "random" ever came up was when you people were defending Morris. Do you think this began as a CWS-probability discussion?

This is how it went:

"Morris gets pummeled in the CWS every year."
"So what? The games in Omaha are random."

And a year later you finally admit that the games aren't exactly out of Jim's control.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

It's a list of teams and the number of games they won. A small group of teams has the majority of wins.

No.

1/3 of the teams won 2/3 of the games.

Not a very telling statistic (especially if one looks at the numbers).

So the teams that get there most often also win the majority of the games, but this crazy sport is just so random. No rhyme or reason at all.

 

[Doppelganger]

That's because you're slow at this. You actually thought the games were random.

And if you had bet on Florida every year in O'Sullivan's tenure you would have lost your ***.

So non-random in fact that Florida has exactly as many 0-2's as they do seasons with an Omaha win.

3 v 3

No rhyme or reason to it.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

By the way, since we're never the #1 RPI team, the #1 ISR team, the #1 team in Baseball America, or the #1 National Seed, one might think we have a better chance, since the best team never wins.

Nope. 1-2 or 0-2 in six straight appearances over 16 years.

 

[Jaromir Jagr]

That's because you're slow at this. You actually thought the games were random.

And if you had bet on Florida every year in O'Sullivan's tenure you would have lost your ***.

So non-random in fact that Florida has exactly as many 0-2's as they do seasons with an Omaha win.

3 v 3

No rhyme or reason to it.

Who said that Florida was always the predictable winner?

LOL....."No rhyme or reason". Love it.

 

[Doppelganger]

You actually thought the games were random.

Kevin O'Sullivan's record in Omaha: 11-11.

So three 0-2's and three seasons with wins.

11 wins, 11 losses.

50/50

Take your pick.