But that's exactly it. You're only as good as your record. Lanning can never get a fair comparison as Mario left him a better roster and locker room culture than he inherited here.
Now comparing the actual game time decisions, it's impossible to say that Mario is even close to Lanning.
I love u bro; we chat on the side from time to time, so I apologize I must do this.
When I post long, analytical post, it’s to show the board complete context. I tend to do this w/ LBJ fans who look at raw stats w/ zero context, back ground, eras, etc to make claims he’s The GOAT, & once full context is provided, many stay stuck, but even if 1 says “****, I didn’t know that”, then I’ve done my job.
So let’s hop in a Time Machine, & let’s compare Mario’s tenure at UO vs. Lanning, & address this ugly rumor of what Mario inherited vs Lanning:
-2018-21 (Mario’s tenure at UO & his competition):
Utah: 33-14 (.702)
UW: 25-18 (.581)
WASU: 25-18 (.581)
ASU: 25-18 (.581)
USC: 22-21 (.512)
Cal: 21-21 (.500)
Stanford: 20-23 (.465)
Colorado: 18-24 (.429)
UCLA: 18-25 (.419)
Oregon St: 16-28 (.364)
Arizona: 10-31 (.244)
Conference win%: .489
Teams: .500+: 6
Teams: .600+: 1
Teams: .700+: 1
Teams .800+: N/A
-2022-2023 (Lanning’s tenure at UO in The PAC-12):
UW: 25-3 (.893)
USC: 19-8 (.701)
Oregon St: 18-8 (.692)
Utah: 18-9 (.667)
UCLA: 17-9 (.654)
Arizona: 15-10 (.600)
WASU: 12-13 (.480)
Cal: 10-15 (.400)
Stanford: 6-18 (.250)
Colorado: 5-19 (.208)
ASU: 4-18 (.167)
Conference win%: .519
Teams .500+: 6
Teams .600+: 6
Teams .700+: 2
Teams .800+: 1
Teams .900+: N/A
Oregon’s record under Mario playing a sub. 500 PAC-12 schedule: 35-13 (.729)
Oregon’s record under Lanning playing a +.500 PAC-12 schedule: 22-5 (.815)
In 2022, Lanning had to replace QB1, both RBs, the secondary, & several along the DL. Yes, some of Mario’s players were still on the team, but the key positions & production had to be replaced. By 2023, the team had flipped via the portal & Lanning’s 2022 class, while a ton of Mario’s players either leaving due to the portal, NFL or by running out of eligibility, Now by 2024 there’s very, VERY few remaining players from Mario’s tenure, w/ only Baby Herbert, Bassa, & Ferguson as key contributors.
What’s interesting about Mario inheriting the 7-5 Canes team, is that narrative shifted immediately after Mario’s 5-7 season. In 2021, Miami ended the season winning 5 of 6. The O was lights out, finishing top 25 in many statistical categories, but that defense wasn’t so great. CIS said the 2021 team w/ a “real coach” is a 10 win team b/c we’re not losing to a 6-6 UVA team, a 6-7 UNC team, or a 5-7 FSU team w/ a real coach. The admin heard us, heard the nation, & a “real coach” was hired.
Mario inherited that team, as we literally ran it back w/ this supposed real coach, & an all star staff built from leaders of men (Mario’s words). It was an epic failure, as we know, so quickly the narrative went from being a 10 win team to Manny’s players suck.
Meanwhile, not only did Lanning have to replace key players that were huge contributors from the 2021 UO team, but he inherited a Def that ranked 72nd w/o its best player, K. Thibodeaux (to put in perspective, Miami’s Def was ranked 75th), & the 50th ranked offense w/o its QB, leading rushers, or leading receiver (to put in perspective, Miami Off was ranked 19th). Yet, somehow the better coach at Miami w/ the same production of 2021 got egregiously worst, while the no experience coach who had to replace several players got better.
So truthfully no offense to u or others, but I’m not really interested in hearing what Mario inherited vs. Lanning. The goal post & narratives started changing after 5-7. The truth is, as I’ve already eloquently broke it down in another thread, Mario’s recruiting classes while at Oregon had a 75% bust/attrition rate. That’s what Lanning inherited. I’ve now witness Elko, Coach Cig, & others inherit much worst situations & I don’t hear the amount of excuses CIS provides to absolve Mario’s blunders. It’s always someone or something else’s fault.