Mario is a great recruiter. Head coach being a great recruiter much less important now with NiL than before. For the program to take the next step Mario has to get better at stuff that has nothing to do with recruiting. If we stagnate as program or go backwards it's not going to be because Mario's recruiting got worse.
In advance, I want to apologize for this long reply; but, it behooves me to kill several birds, narratives with one post:
I would challenge the word “great” in regards to Mario’s recruiting prowess. Mario is a good, I would even dare say an above average recruiter, but he’s not great or elite overall. I believe he is great at identifying OLmen, Blocking TEs, RBs, but that’s about the extent of it.
One of my biggest issue w/ this site since I’ve joined is the devaluing of the words elite, & great. In doing so, there’s been this consistent frustration that’s pursued b/c this fan base have convinced themselves that every player that walks on to The Green Tree Practice Field is either elite or great.
Great, elite recruiters tend to recruit not just at a top 7 level every cycle, but more importantly:
-The Blue Chip ratio is at least 60%
-The Composite Class Rating is at a 91.5 or higher.
-They have low attrition rates, allowing for classes to stack upon each other aka stacking chips.
So I’m going to provide substantiated evidence proving Mario is, at best, an above average recruiter, but not great using his tenure at UO, specifically. I’m going to break it down into 4 categories:
-Overall Class Rank
-Overall Class Composite Score
-Blue Chip Ratio
-Production from recruited players, including attrition
2018:
Class rank: 13th in the nation
Composite Score: 89.18 (17th in the nation)
Blue Chip Ratio: 48%
Production:
•3 hits (Sewell, Holland, McKinley III)
•3 contributors (Dye, Stephens, Battles)
•19 transfers or limited PT:
-Crocker (UNV)
-Dye (USC)
-Shough (TT)
-Addison (UCLA)
-Jackson (UNV)
-Jones (JAG)
-Hall (N/A)
-Cunningham (C.C)
-Jaramilo (NCSt.)
-Elliot (N/A)
-Johnson (GA So.)
-Faoliu (stuck in transfer portal)
-Woods (N/A)
-Randazzo (N/A)
-Tucker (C.C)
-Hailasse (C.C)
-Johnson (N/A)
-Kava (N/A)
-Snee (Stuck in transfer portal)
Class of 2018 hit rate: 24%
2019:
Class rank: 7th
Composite Score: 90.85 (11th in nation)
Blue Chip Ratio: 62%
Production:
•4 hits (Dorlus, Thibodeux, Aumavae-Laulu, Hill)
•3 contributors (Herbert, Wright, J. Johnson)
•20 transfers or limited PT:
-Tuaanu’u (C.C)
-Pittman (FSU)
-Funa (JAG)
-Delgado (stuck in the portal)
-Millen (No. AZ)
-Williams (Mizzou)
-Dollars (UNV)
-Eaford (UTenn-Martin)
-Wilson (stuck in the portal)
-Waters (So. Utah)
-Ware-Hudson (JAG)
-James (Auburn)
-Poti (JAG)
-Townsend (Wisconsin)
-Mathis (JAG)
-Wilhoite (Tenn State)
-Ma’ae (Baylor)
-Sagapolu (no comment)
-Bridges (UF)
-Lewis (inaccurate af)
Class of 2019 hit rate 26%
Class of 2020
Class rank: 13th
Composite Score: 90.44 (13th in nation)
Blue Chip Ratio: 57%
Production:
•2 hits (N. Sewell, TJ Bass)
•5 contributors (Manning, Williams, Williams, Brown, Happle)
•19 transfers or limited PT:
-Flowe (Arizona)
-Benson (FSU)
-Butterfield (SJSU)
-Afaese (JAG)
-Hutson (WASU)
-Jeffers (UCLA)
-LaDuke (UNV)
-Denis (No Comment)
-Swinson (LSU)
-Greenfield (JAG)
-Navarette (UNLV)
-Jones (Auburn)
-Ashford (USCe)
-Laloulu (JAG)*
-Harper (JAG)
-Smith (JAG)
-Shipley (North Texas)
-Williams (JAG)
-Hill (N/A)
Class of 2020 hit rate: 27%
Class of 2021:
Class rank: 6th
Composite Score: 92.48 (7th in nation)
Blue Chip Ratio: 79%
Production:
•4 hits (Franklin, Ferguson, Jackson-Powers, Bassa)
•20 transfers or limited PT:
-Suamataia (BYU)
-Walden (ASU)
-Thornton Jr (UTenn)
-Thompson (Tulane)
-Brown (WASU)
-****erson (stuck in transfer portal)
-Matavao (UCLA)
-Cardwell (Cal)
-David (Akron)
-McNeil (Troy)
-Davies (UCLA)
-Miller (UTSA)
-Williams (UCLA)
-Flowe (stuck in portal)
-McGee (Albany)
-Tilmon (TT)
-Barkins (UW)
-Brevard (JAG)
-Buckner (MTSU)
-Reames (stuck in transfer portal)
Class of 2021 hit rate: 17%
In summary, while Mario’s classes look good on paper, the trend is approximately:
Only 1 out of 4 of his recruits will either be great or a contributor to his program, while 3 out of 4 of his recruits will either be JAGs or Transfer Casualties.
Are we seeing a similar trend here? Well, the class of 2022, albeit a transition class, are supposed to be the leaders moving fwd, but where are they? What has happened w/ that class?
The class of 2023 was heralded, but how many hits did we or have we seen from that class, including transfers? 7-9 out of the 43? We may have more attrition from that class this offseason.
There’s a reason digging into the transfer portal for the 2025-6 season is becoming a theme. The way Mario’s recruits could be likened to a bucket w/ a hole in it; it looks good on paper until u realize he bleeds a lot of recruits either via underperformance or the portal.
Follow Me-
His best year was in 2019. That team was mostly comprised of Helfrich & Taggarts players.
By 2020, many of those same players either got drafted or transferred, & he got bodied. Covid is the only reason why UO made it to the Championship Game, as UW was the actual winner of the North. He then faced a USC team w/ a dead man walking HC.
-In 2021, the team had some portal players at key spots + the remaining of Taggarts players, namely CJ Verdell, Alex Forsyth, & Johnny Johnson. He did recruit well on the defensive side, in fairness; however, once Verdell went down (the hero from the OSU upset), we saw that Top 3 Oregon team lose to a woeful 3-9 Stanford team, struggle against a 5-7 Cal, struggle against an 8-4 UCLA team before eventually getting demolished twice against Utah. Those games were a precursor of what were to come.
This is y I lol at posters on CIS assuming Mario left Lanning the keys to the kingdom when I know fa sho bro had to come in, replace, and clean house from Mario’s era. The few that were good either declared or portal’d out, hence UO’s class of 22, Lanning’s transition class, had 10 transfers, the most in Oregon’s history at that time.
This is not to **** on Mario vs. setting the record straight & admonishing my Canes’ brethren to stop devaluing words like great & elite b/c it sets our expectations too high. All I try to do is provide information w/o the bias, or emotions, but what everyone does w/ it is up to them.