Hey Stewart: With the Big Ten and SEC both stating they have no interest in adding any more teams, where does that leave Florida State and Clemson, considering the current “scorched earth” approach they have taken towards the ACC? Would they even be interested in joining the Big 12? — Conor O., Houston
That’s the million dollar — er, $130 million dollar — question these days.
Before anything else can happen, FSU and Clemson have to resolve their lawsuits with the ACC. That could take years, if they go to trial, or months, if the sides reach a settlement.
Meanwhile, an important date is looming for the entire ACC: February 2025. That’s when ESPN has a “look-in” to decide whether it wants to continue with its ACC contract for another 10 years (2027-2036). Were things completely stable, it would be a no-brainer for the network to keep things as is, given the locked-in price, especially with the revenue it makes from the ACC Network. But if the network opts out … chaos in the streets.
In terms of the Big Ten and SEC — of course, they’re going to say,
as commissioner Greg Sankey did at SEC media days this week, “Our focus is on our 16 members.” Expect something similar from the Big Ten’s Tony Petitti next week. Their focus is not on realignment, because there’s no one of value that’s realistically available. That could change in an instant if the ACC implodes.
The Big Ten in particular will likely do whatever Fox tells it to do, and it may well covet a powerhouse program that gets it into a hugely populous state. That seems a more viable option than the SEC, which already has schools in Florida and South Carolina and whose partner, ESPN, has no incentive to pay more money to show Florida State and Clemson than it does now.
The Big 12 presents an interesting, if less plausible, alternative. On the one hand, that conference makes no more than the ACC does now, so, what’s the point, right? But if Brett Yormark gets his wish and gets his presidents to sign off on a private equity deal, it may be able to pay Florida State and Clemson a lot more than they make now, even before negotiating a new TV deal. In that scenario, those schools might be able to make Big Ten/SEC money without having to play a Big Ten/SEC schedule.
I just find it hard to imagine those schools want to join a less-glamorous conference. Perhaps they could use an invite as leverage to gain more favorable terms from the ACC.