- Joined
- Dec 19, 2013
- Messages
- 32,485
I’ll put out “reasonable” expectations:
Year 3 as myself & @mcnaire2004 have TIRELESSLY provided is when top tier coaches get their teams to the next level (it’s typically by year 2, but no later than yr 3).
-The TVD excuse is gone as we signed the #1 QB in the portal w/ NFL aspirations
-The OC/DC excuse is gone as we hired one of the best DCs in the country last season, & an OC who Mario chose to run the offense
-The Manny’s Players excuse is gone as the vast majority of the players left on this roster were either recruited or signed out of the portal via Mario & staff’s evaluation.
-The OL excuse is gone as this OL is in the makeup of where both Mario & Alex envisioned
Mario is being paid as a top 20 HC in CFB; the resources allocated to him, the investment put into the football side is at an unprecedented level, therefore it is not unreasonable for the season to unfold as such:
1. UF (W) - Why? B/c this board loves to clown Napier, & we’ve now seen UF go 11-14 the past 2 seasons. They’ve lost talent, & even though it’s a road game, it’s an in-state road game. Even though this is a rivalry, on paper we have the superior team, & supposedly the superior coaching staff. Therefore, not predicting a cake walk, but we should leave Gainesville w/ a W. (1-0)
2. FAMU (W) - Why? FCS opponent that lost their best HC
(2-0)
3. Ball State (W) - Why? One of the worst G5 teams in FBS
(3-0)
4. USF (W) - Why? An up & coming G5 team that had a surprise season. Could be a trap game, but the talent is far superior than USF. Maybe close to start, but should be a blow out to end.
(4-0)
5. VT (W) - Why? Even though it’s a short week, & we normally struggle w/ VT on a Thursday/Friday game, but we won’t be at their house; we’ll be home. HRS should be rocking, & VT while improved still have some talent issues by comparison. This could be a trap game, but I would expect us w/ Cam at the helm to lead us to victory.
(5-0)
6. Cal (W) - Why? Cal maybe great at academics, but their football program is not up to snuff. Long road game, and Cal can be Helter Skelter on O, but even if it is a shootout, their Def can’t hang w/ ours. It also helps that our QB is a familiar foe of theirs. In 2 games against them, Ward is 61-99 (.616) for 897 yrds 6 TDs & 3 ints w/o the caliber of talent he’ll be surrounded by. I expect a more balanced attack and leaving Berkeley w/ a W
(6-0)
7. UL (L) - Why? On the road against a team that should remain formidable this season in the ACC against an offensive mastermind that can outwit Guidry’s scheme. We also tend to lag coming off bye weeks in recent yrs, so this is not an unreasonable L
(6-1)
8. FSU (W) - Why? DJU is supposed to stink, FSU is supposed to have lost a lot of talent, FSU is supposed to be the luckiest team to ever win 13 games, Mike Norvell is a hack of a coach. Have I covered all the bases? OK, this is also a home game & a revenge game. Supposedly our talent is much more superior than theirs, particularly at QB1, so this should be a hard fought W
(7-1)
9. Duke (W) - Why? B/c we have zero business losing to Duke, especially w/ our ex coach leading them. This would be one of the biggest slaps to the face I would ever recall, an even bigger slap than the slop job against MTSU
(8-1)
10. GT (L) - Why? GT maybe a sneaky good team this yr, & it’s on the road. They’re a thorn, have been a thorn for sometime. I saw some of their practices & I wouldn’t be surprised if we had a let down game here.
(8-2)
11. WF (W) - Why? This ain’t the Sam the man Hartman lead WF team from a couple of yrs ago. WF is back to being one of the worst teams in the ACC & they are coming to our house. Cam may go for 400+ this game, as their 2ndary ranked as a bottom 3rd unit last season (77th in pass defense).
(9-2)
12. Syracuse (W) - Why? Trap game, sure. Road game in the cold, sure. However, we’re facing a rookie HC taking over a deplorable program over the last 5+ yrs. Do I really need to explain why this should be a W?
(10-2)
This should get us in to the ACCCG, & who knows the results here; but even if we lose in the ACCCG, we should have no problems winning our bowl game if we don’t qualify for the CFP-12.
Final record at minimum this yr should be (11-3)
Year 3 as myself & @mcnaire2004 have TIRELESSLY provided is when top tier coaches get their teams to the next level (it’s typically by year 2, but no later than yr 3).
-The TVD excuse is gone as we signed the #1 QB in the portal w/ NFL aspirations
-The OC/DC excuse is gone as we hired one of the best DCs in the country last season, & an OC who Mario chose to run the offense
-The Manny’s Players excuse is gone as the vast majority of the players left on this roster were either recruited or signed out of the portal via Mario & staff’s evaluation.
-The OL excuse is gone as this OL is in the makeup of where both Mario & Alex envisioned
Mario is being paid as a top 20 HC in CFB; the resources allocated to him, the investment put into the football side is at an unprecedented level, therefore it is not unreasonable for the season to unfold as such:
1. UF (W) - Why? B/c this board loves to clown Napier, & we’ve now seen UF go 11-14 the past 2 seasons. They’ve lost talent, & even though it’s a road game, it’s an in-state road game. Even though this is a rivalry, on paper we have the superior team, & supposedly the superior coaching staff. Therefore, not predicting a cake walk, but we should leave Gainesville w/ a W. (1-0)
2. FAMU (W) - Why? FCS opponent that lost their best HC
(2-0)
3. Ball State (W) - Why? One of the worst G5 teams in FBS
(3-0)
4. USF (W) - Why? An up & coming G5 team that had a surprise season. Could be a trap game, but the talent is far superior than USF. Maybe close to start, but should be a blow out to end.
(4-0)
5. VT (W) - Why? Even though it’s a short week, & we normally struggle w/ VT on a Thursday/Friday game, but we won’t be at their house; we’ll be home. HRS should be rocking, & VT while improved still have some talent issues by comparison. This could be a trap game, but I would expect us w/ Cam at the helm to lead us to victory.
(5-0)
6. Cal (W) - Why? Cal maybe great at academics, but their football program is not up to snuff. Long road game, and Cal can be Helter Skelter on O, but even if it is a shootout, their Def can’t hang w/ ours. It also helps that our QB is a familiar foe of theirs. In 2 games against them, Ward is 61-99 (.616) for 897 yrds 6 TDs & 3 ints w/o the caliber of talent he’ll be surrounded by. I expect a more balanced attack and leaving Berkeley w/ a W
(6-0)
7. UL (L) - Why? On the road against a team that should remain formidable this season in the ACC against an offensive mastermind that can outwit Guidry’s scheme. We also tend to lag coming off bye weeks in recent yrs, so this is not an unreasonable L
(6-1)
8. FSU (W) - Why? DJU is supposed to stink, FSU is supposed to have lost a lot of talent, FSU is supposed to be the luckiest team to ever win 13 games, Mike Norvell is a hack of a coach. Have I covered all the bases? OK, this is also a home game & a revenge game. Supposedly our talent is much more superior than theirs, particularly at QB1, so this should be a hard fought W
(7-1)
9. Duke (W) - Why? B/c we have zero business losing to Duke, especially w/ our ex coach leading them. This would be one of the biggest slaps to the face I would ever recall, an even bigger slap than the slop job against MTSU
(8-1)
10. GT (L) - Why? GT maybe a sneaky good team this yr, & it’s on the road. They’re a thorn, have been a thorn for sometime. I saw some of their practices & I wouldn’t be surprised if we had a let down game here.
(8-2)
11. WF (W) - Why? This ain’t the Sam the man Hartman lead WF team from a couple of yrs ago. WF is back to being one of the worst teams in the ACC & they are coming to our house. Cam may go for 400+ this game, as their 2ndary ranked as a bottom 3rd unit last season (77th in pass defense).
(9-2)
12. Syracuse (W) - Why? Trap game, sure. Road game in the cold, sure. However, we’re facing a rookie HC taking over a deplorable program over the last 5+ yrs. Do I really need to explain why this should be a W?
(10-2)
This should get us in to the ACCCG, & who knows the results here; but even if we lose in the ACCCG, we should have no problems winning our bowl game if we don’t qualify for the CFP-12.
Final record at minimum this yr should be (11-3)
