***THE DEFINITIVE PLAYOFF THREAD***

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If you’re not fvking ****ed and want to tell everyone on a message board “I told you so” Fvk off you fvkig loser. Kill yourself.
 
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Our season ended with Syracuse. No point in watching limp noodle Emory in the opt out bowl, since "hE nEedS tAlEnT aRoUnD hIm".

Whoever we get stuck with is gonna try to run it up against us.
 
I've seen so much speculation and misinformation on here and on the internet, it's driving me crazy, so I wanted to put something together for you guys that I believe is essentially factual.

First of all, IMO (and I think this is probably 99.9% correct), 11 spots are locked down. In no particular order:

Oregon
Penn State
Ohio State
Indiana
UGA
Texas
Tennessee
Notre Dame
SMU
Big 12 champ winner (Arizona State vs Iowa State winner)
Group of 5 champ winner (Boise State vs UNLV winner)

No matter what happens on Saturday, these 11 spots are locked. You can argue SMU if they lose, but I think they're in regardless. The committee has said every week you're not going to be punished for making a conference championship, and I agree. So I think they're in, win or lose.

So, what does this mean? It means, IF SMU BEATS CLEMSON, there will be 1 more team that gets in. The pool for that team is almost certainly Miami, Alabama, Ole Miss, and South Carolina.

None of those teams play on Saturday, meaning however they're ranked tonight is likely how they will be ranked on Sunday when all this is finalized. Also remember, the Big 12 leader, which is currently Arizona State, is going to be ranked OUTSIDE the Top 12 this week, but they are guaranteed a spot, meaning the last team in the field when the rankings are unveiled tonight will be ranked #11. THIS IS THE SPOT MIAMI NEEDS, OR IT'S OVER. Again, Miami needs to be #11 or better tonight to have a shot at the playoffs. If we're #12 or lower, that means at least one of Alabama, USCe, or Ole Miss is ahead of us, and we won't jump them next week.

One final thing, even if we are #11 tonight, we MUST have SMU beat Clemson on Saturday night. If Clemson wins that game, they are in the field, and as I said above, SMU likely stays in as well, meaning that pool of Miami, Bama, USCe, and Ole Miss would ALL be out. Those "bubble" teams are all rooting bigly for SMU to beat Clemson. If Clemson wins, we are not making the field.

So, we need 2 things to happen. BOTH of these need to happen, or we are out:

1. We need to be ranked 11th or better tonight.
2. We need SMU to beat Clemson Saturday night.


If both of those things happen, we make the playoff. If one or both do not, we're out.

Let me know if you disagree with any of this, but I don't see how you can. I think this is about as cut and dry as you can have it at this point. We need to be ahead of all of the 3 loss SEC teams tonight, and we need SMU to keep Clemson from stealing a bid this weekend.
Wow, reading this I felt like I was back in Sister Mary Elephat’s class in Catholic school, afraid to move, but fascinated. Good work, well done🙌🏽
 
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Well, good news is more free money in the bowl game slamming the other team. Half our team won’t be playing and the other team is going to run up the score.
 
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Clemson and UNLV win they would be out
UNLV loses, Boise St is OUT. No impact to Alabama position.
SMU loses, that will be interesting. They didn’t do SMU any favors with the 8 spot. Indiana (9) would definitely be ranked over SMU then, Boise St is gone so you could have 3 way pack of SMU/Clemson/Alabama in the rankings. I wouldn’t be surprised if Alabama still gets in with a SMU loss.
 
If Georgia loses to Texas could we jump Alabama again, considering they getting credit for a big win over a 9-3 Georgia. Also Tennessee with 2 losses, Indiana with 1 loss, penn state if the get blown out by Oregon are no better imo. It is what it is though.
 
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Unfortunately staying in ACC is probably only slim chance Miami ever makes playoff. They would lose 4 or more every year in big10 or sec and big 12 is just as bad as ACC for getting into playoffs.
Jesus ******* Christ
Idiot Facepalm GIF
 
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