There are six schools we aren’t passing should head coaching positions remain firm: UGA, Bama, FSU, Ohio St, Oregon and Texas. I know the latter is only a smidge ahead of us in the rankings, but they’re probably going to land Kobi Black and a few others when it’s all set in stone.
I say HC positions because if Lanning (or Norvell) bolt, obviously that changes things. Maybe A&M stays ahead instead of Oregon, idk. But I think it’s relatively safe to say we’re not passing those 6.
That leaves a UF collapse (en route but they can add a guy like Mincey to stop the hemorrhaging), OU, A&M, Auburn, Michigan, Penn St, LSU, Tennessee, Clemson and USC as teams all within the same realm as us. If you want to include SCar, sure, but I don’t think they’re a true threat to pass us.
LSU, Penn St and Michigan all have the same # of commits as us, but USC and Clemson both have eight less. USC will emphasize portal approach imo, but Clemson is an interesting one. Auburn also can jump us rather quickly as they have $$ ready and seven less commits.
As of today, I’d say we finish 10. Should we lose to Louisville and BC, I say we finish closer to 15.