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Syracuse

We are not definitively in if we beat Cuse and lose to SMU, but it certainly got a lot easier.

Never underestimate the committee’s biases. Root for A&M to beat Texas next weekend. Then it’ll look good provided we beat Cuse and lose a tight one to SMU (we should win that game). And root for USC over ND.

Texas would be 10-2 with their best wins coming against Michigan and Vandy. That’s a resume that doesn’t hold as much weight.

The biggest winners today were Indiana and Tennessee, then the ACC as an honorable mention.
 
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WeBallinBoyz said:
We are not definitively in if we beat Cuse and lose to SMU, but it definitely got a lot easier.

Never underestimate the committee’s biases. Root for A&M to beat Texas next weekend. Then it’ll look good.
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Don’t like this scenario. Imagine a narrative where Miami Lite beats Miami for a ACC title in their first year in the conference, when we haven’t won once?

For the love of god, just win the next two and please do so convincingly.
 
canes_aaron said:
Don’t like this scenario. Imagine a narrative where Miami Lite beats Miami for a ACC title in their first year in the conference, when we haven’t won once?

For the love of god, just win the next two and please do so convincingly.
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We should take care of business the next two. We’ll be about -9 to Syracuse (expect them to be ranked #25 on Tueday imo).

Vegas projects us to be roughly -5.5 against SMU.
 
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SaiyaMan305 said:
If theoretically we lose to SMU and beat Syracuse the argument would be
9-3 Ole Miss
9-3 Bama
11-2 Miami


Think we would get the 10 seed and Bama gets the 11th seed. 12 seed is the G5 champ. Thats if they leave ole miss out instead of us, you never know with the SEC interests and ESPN
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Naw. Ole Miss losing to UF (we beat) and to Kentucky. Two losses vs unranked teams. Ole Miss is cooked
 
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My prediction for the CFP based on the committee’s tendencies thus far:

#1. Oregon
#2. Ohio State
#3. Texas
#4. Penn State
#5. Notre Dame
#6. Miami
#7. Georgia
#8. Tennessee
#9. SMU
#10. Indiana
#11. Tennessee
#11. Boise State
#12. Ole Miss
#13. Clemson
#14. Alabama
#15. South Carolina
#16. Tulane
#17. Arizona State
#18. Iowa State
#19. Missouri
#20. UNLV
#21. Texas A&M
#22. BYU
#23. Colorado
#24. Louisville
#25. Syracuse

I think there’s an argument to rank ND over Penn State imo. I also think Texas is vastly overrated, but there are flaws in all teams to be quite honest.

I think a top 15 matchup with a rivalry game (Clemson/SCar) is good publicity for ratings, especially since there are a ton of lopsided matchups this year.

Colorado will stay in to boost Hunter’s heisman campaign (which should go to Jeanty, but that’s another argument for another day). UNLV gets the nod above them due to going on the road and beating Kansas.

Cuse slots in to add some buzz to the Miami matchup and gives Miami a chance to play two back-to-back ranked opponents, bolstering their mediocre resume.

This also allows for possibly one three-loss SEC team to slide in after some chaos. Small chance we see two G5 teams if the Big12 is a complete disaster, or ND loses? Tulane is playing some good ball, but highly doubt the committee will allow that.
 
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WeBallinBoyz said:
My prediction for the CFP based on the committee’s tendencies thus far (independent of our model):

#1. Oregon
#2. Ohio State
#3. Texas
#4. Penn State
#5. Notre Dame
#6. Miami
#7. Georgia
#8. Tennessee
#9. SMU
#10. Indiana
#11. Tennessee
#11. Boise State
#12. Ole Miss
#13. Clemson
#14. Alabama
#15. South Carolina
#16. Tulane
#17. Arizona State
#18. Iowa State
#19. Missouri
#20. UNLV
#21. Texas A&M
#22. BYU
#23. Colorado
#24. Louisville
#25. Syracuse

I think there’s an argument to rank ND over Penn State imo. I also think Texas is vastly overrated, but there are flaws in all teams to be quite honest.

I think a top 15 matchup with a rivalry game (Clemson/SCar) is good publicity for ratings, especially since there are a ton of lopsided matchups this year.

Colorado will stay in to boost Hunter’s heisman campaign (which should go to Jeanty, but that’s another argument for another day).

Cuse slots in to add some buzz to the Miami matchup and gives Miami a chance to play two back-to-back ranked opponents, bolstering their mediocre resume.

This also allows for possibly one three-loss SEC team to slide in after some chaos. Small chance we see two G5 teams if the Big12 is a complete disaster, or ND loses? Tulane is playing some good ball, but highly doubt the committee will allow that.
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I would like to see the committee put SMU over Tennessee. Also, no chance Ole Miss only drops 3 spots to 12... They should fall to around 15. ASU will make a big jump.
 
CanesDynasty said:
I would like to see the committee put SMU over Tennessee. Also, no chance Ole Miss only drops 3 spots to 12... They should fall to around 15. ASU will make a big jump.
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I mean they could. Wouldn’t be shocked and honestly, in favor of it. I want to punish teams that lose.

But I also know the hype surrounding Florida and how truthfully, they have solid performances on their schedule to date minus the Texas game with a walk on at QB. Ole Miss has also now lost by 1, in OT in Baron Rouge, and on the road vs. a trendy UF team. The spin is there. A team that is dangerous af against anyone (smashing UGA) and missing their best RB and WR1 + multiple OL, but has repeatedly **** themselves in the foot with 4th down decision-making and turnovers. They don’t deserve to be in the playoff, but I don’t think anyone would want to play them - and again, the SEC will absolutely find a way to sneak one of these three-loss teams in.

Brand names carry so much weight. They’ll look at Ole Miss smashing OU and Arkansas as better wins than they should be. It helps that OU just blitzed Bama and Arkansas beat Tennessee / just took Texas to the brink. Again, the spin is there.

I think Bama drops further because it was a blowout. They too have the win against UGA, but it was a weird game…and they got outplayed in an additional spot ala Vandy. Too much volatility to keep them around the top 12.

South Carolina is an interesting team. The committee loves surging teams, playing their best ball late. If they beat Clemson in Death Valley…man I hope that doesn’t happen.

SMU being top 10 also adds some flare to a potential ACC champ game. It’s deserved, imo. Tennessee beat Bama but that win doesn’t look as impressive anymore. Who else? NC State is trash. Oklahoma?

Boise could drop a spot or two as well. Super shaky last few weeks, and now that Fresno is going to beat Colorado State, UNLV is very close to getting the rematch. I think they could win that to be honest.
 
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What would solidify our spot + the two 3loss SEC teams that the media is pushing for is if by some miracle Perdue beats Indiana next week.
 
WeBallinBoyz said:
My prediction for the CFP based on the committee’s tendencies thus far (independent of our model):

#1. Oregon
#2. Ohio State
#3. Texas
#4. Penn State
#5. Notre Dame
#6. Miami
#7. Georgia
#8. Tennessee
#9. SMU
#10. Indiana
#11. Tennessee
#11. Boise State
#12. Ole Miss
#13. Clemson
#14. Alabama
#15. South Carolina
#16. Tulane
#17. Arizona State
#18. Iowa State
#19. Missouri
#20. UNLV
#21. Texas A&M
#22. BYU
#23. Colorado
#24. Louisville
#25. Syracuse

I think there’s an argument to rank ND over Penn State imo. I also think Texas is vastly overrated, but there are flaws in all teams to be quite honest.

I think a top 15 matchup with a rivalry game (Clemson/SCar) is good publicity for ratings, especially since there are a ton of lopsided matchups this year.

Colorado will stay in to boost Hunter’s heisman campaign (which should go to Jeanty, but that’s another argument for another day). UNLV gets the nod above them due to going on the road and beating Kansas.

Cuse slots in to add some buzz to the Miami matchup and gives Miami a chance to play two back-to-back ranked opponents, bolstering their mediocre resume.

This also allows for possibly one three-loss SEC team to slide in after some chaos. Small chance we see two G5 teams if the Big12 is a complete disaster, or ND loses? Tulane is playing some good ball, but highly doubt the committee will allow that.
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Ole miss won’t be ahead of bama. Bama has better wins than ole miss. I think Clemson will be 12 and ole miss probably about 15
 
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252cane said:
Ole miss won’t be ahead of bama. Bama has better wins. I think Clemson will be 12 and ole miss probably about 15
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Clemson could definitely leapfrog all of them.

I think Ole Miss will be ahead of Bama because the committee had been setting up the “quality losses” narrative for weeks.

Penn State is the same ol’ Penn State, losing to Ohio State in a game they really looked mediocre in…but barely scraping by USC and Minnesota? Best win is Illinois? No problem, Top 4.

Texas, whose best wins on their resume are an average Michigan team and Vanderbilt, but smashed at home by UGA? Sure thing, Top 4.

Bama got absolutely bent over by OU tonight. Made them look like utter trash on offense, and this was a 5-5 team with no quality wins other than Tulane. UF had been playing better than OU leading up to this; and the committee tends to punish teams that are non-competitive.

Again, I’m just going by what I think the committee will do. They tend to act tough on teams that get blown out, but softer on “road quality losses”. I think they’ll view UF as quality now.
 
WeBallinBoyz said:
Clemson could definitely leapfrog all of them.

I think Ole Miss will be ahead of Bama because the committee had been setting up the “quality losses” narrative for weeks.

Penn State is the same ol’ Penn State, losing to Ohio State and then barely scraping by USC and Minnesota? Top 4.

Texas, whose best wins on their resume are an average Michigan team and Vanderbilt, but smashed at home by UGA? Top 4

Bama got absolutely bent over by OU tonight. Made them look like utter trash on offense, and this was a 5-5 team with no quality wins other than Tulane. UF had been playing better than OU leading up to this; and the committee tends to punish teams that are non-competitive.

Again, I’m just going by what I think the committee will see.
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Bama has better losses too. lol that some crazy shít. But yea bama lost to tenn, vandy, and ou. Ole miss lost to lsu, uk, and uf. And uk is 4-7
 
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252cane said:
Bama has better losses too. lol that some crazy shít. But yea bama lost to tenn, vandy, and ou. Ole miss lost to lsu, uk, and uf. And uk is 4-7
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Yup, but all of Ole Miss’s losses are by single digits. 6 in Baton Rouge, 1 to UK, and 7 on a final drive to UF. Hence the stupid “quality losses” narrative.

Bama gave up 40 to Vanderbilt, who hasn’t scored more than 24 since October 12th. More importantly, they just scored 3 points against OU and lost by 21, absolutely murdered. Again, they punish teams that get boatraced more severely than teams that lose close road games. Especially when those games are short-handed.

Tonight, Bama didn’t belong on the same field as a 5-5 OU team. That’s bad. Much easier to spin as a horrible loss compared to the media darling Lagway and the underdog Billy Napier playing fiesty with a young group of kids. I’m not saying it’s right, but you see the angle I’m setting up?

But because it’s Bama, maybe you’re right. They both should be out of the top 14 anyways if I had it my way.

FWIW, Ole Miss would bs favored against Bama on a neutral field. We’ve got it like -2.
 
WeBallinBoyz said:
Yup, but all of Ole Miss’s losses are by single digits. 6 in Baton Rouge, 1 to UK, and 7 on a final drive to UF. Hence the stupid “quality losses” narrative.

Bama gave up 40 to Vanderbilt, who hasn’t scored more than 24 since October 12th. More importantly, they just scored 3 points against OU and lost by 21, absolutely murdered. Again, they punish teams that get boatraced more severely than teams that lose close road games. Especially when those games are short-handed.

But because it’s Bama, maybe you’re right. They both should be out of the top 14 anyways if I had it my way.

FWIW, Ole Miss would bs favored against Bama on a neutral field. We’ve got it like -3.
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Yea I think it’s the bama bump and they were already ahead of ole miss
 
Close to zero chance at that. Every 3 loss SEC team will be ahead of us. So for us to get in with two losses those teams need to lose again.
 
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WeBallinBoyz said:
My prediction for the CFP based on the committee’s tendencies thus far (independent of our model):

#1. Oregon
#2. Ohio State
#3. Texas
#4. Penn State
#5. Notre Dame
#6. Miami
#7. Georgia
#8. Tennessee
#9. SMU
#10. Indiana
#11. Tennessee
#11. Boise State
#12. Ole Miss
#13. Clemson
#14. Alabama
#15. South Carolina
#16. Tulane
#17. Arizona State
#18. Iowa State
#19. Missouri
#20. UNLV
#21. Texas A&M
#22. BYU
#23. Colorado
#24. Louisville
#25. Syracuse

I think there’s an argument to rank ND over Penn State imo. I also think Texas is vastly overrated, but there are flaws in all teams to be quite honest.

I think a top 15 matchup with a rivalry game (Clemson/SCar) is good publicity for ratings, especially since there are a ton of lopsided matchups this year.

Colorado will stay in to boost Hunter’s heisman campaign (which should go to Jeanty, but that’s another argument for another day). UNLV gets the nod above them due to going on the road and beating Kansas.

Cuse slots in to add some buzz to the Miami matchup and gives Miami a chance to play two back-to-back ranked opponents, bolstering their mediocre resume.

This also allows for possibly one three-loss SEC team to slide in after some chaos. Small chance we see two G5 teams if the Big12 is a complete disaster, or ND loses? Tulane is playing some good ball, but highly doubt the committee will allow that.
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Thanks for your take. I think you're being too kind to ND though. They lost at home to a 6-5 MAC team. They have beat up on pretty much everyone else, but there is a possibility none of their opponents will be ranked at the end of the season and they have no conference championship to bolster their resume.
 
CaneinBroward said:
Thanks for your take. I think you're being too kind to ND though. They lost at home to a 6-5 MAC team. They have beat up on pretty much everyone else, but there is a possibility none of their opponents will be ranked at the end of the season and they have no conference championship to bolster their resume.
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100% think they should be docked for it, but the committee has clearly moved on…here’s why.

They’re steamrolling everyone.

It’s weaker comp, but they’re bludgeoning teams. Six straight wins of 18+, and four of those are by 42, 37, 49 and 35. That’s style points, and the committee is going to look very favorably to a media darling like ND if they’re doing that.
 
WeBallinBoyz said:
My prediction for the CFP based on the committee’s tendencies thus far (independent of our model):

#1. Oregon
#2. Ohio State
#3. Texas
#4. Penn State
#5. Notre Dame
#6. Miami
#7. Georgia
#8. Tennessee
#9. SMU
#10. Indiana
#11. Tennessee
#11. Boise State
#12. Ole Miss
#13. Clemson
#14. Alabama
#15. South Carolina
#16. Tulane
#17. Arizona State
#18. Iowa State
#19. Missouri
#20. UNLV
#21. Texas A&M
#22. BYU
#23. Colorado
#24. Louisville
#25. Syracuse

I think there’s an argument to rank ND over Penn State imo. I also think Texas is vastly overrated, but there are flaws in all teams to be quite honest.

I think a top 15 matchup with a rivalry game (Clemson/SCar) is good publicity for ratings, especially since there are a ton of lopsided matchups this year.

Colorado will stay in to boost Hunter’s heisman campaign (which should go to Jeanty, but that’s another argument for another day). UNLV gets the nod above them due to going on the road and beating Kansas.

Cuse slots in to add some buzz to the Miami matchup and gives Miami a chance to play two back-to-back ranked opponents, bolstering their mediocre resume.

This also allows for possibly one three-loss SEC team to slide in after some chaos. Small chance we see two G5 teams if the Big12 is a complete disaster, or ND loses? Tulane is playing some good ball, but highly doubt the committee will allow that.
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Tennessee at #8 and 11. That is a bold prediction Cotton
 
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