I don't think this is comparable to Mario at all. Again, Mario is a proven coach. He is all the things you said. And I agree completely, we don't get him without the newfound financial commitment plus his connection to the school. No doubt about it. But again, he's PROVEN. And look at the lineage here. We're replacing a first-time proven loser HC with Mario ******* Cristobal. Of course it's a complete no-brainer. But at OC we're replacing a proven OC, who just parlayed his time here into a pretty decent Head Coaching job, with a guy with zero true pedigree? Again, I can't say this enough, I'm not ****ting on Kenny here. If he does wind up getting the job, I don't think it's a bad hire and I'm not going to cry myself to sleep. I just don't think he should be at the top of the list, mainly due to his experience (or lack thereof) and the aforementioned financial commitment.
Lastly, show me these short lists you're talking about. Has he interviewed for any jobs? Why are we just assuming he's going to be an NFL OC next year if he doesn't come here? And even if he does get an NFL OC job, there's no guarantee that he's going to be good at it.
I don't know, for my money (OK, for Jose Mas's money), give me someone I've seen do it at this level. If it's Kenny, great. He'll probably be really good at it. I just don't think any other schools are clamoring for him. And money isn't an issue....Lincoln Riley is making more than NFL HC, I believe. If someone really wanted him, they could pry him out of the league.
TLDR:
So let's assume for this conversation that he is truly in demand by the NFL for OC positions as has been written about by sports writers, etc. I don't go yachting with any NFL owners or GM's and neither do you I assume, so we have to take that leap of faith, ok? Or we have nothing to discuss.
Let's you and I and everyone else also stop applying our own uninformed hamburglar metrics to who should and shouldn't be hired. We're not qualified to pick what kind of nacho cheese they serve at HRS, right? We're fans. Mario has a better grasp about what a good coach is, how to determine how good a coach is, and how to project an up and comer than everyone on this board could know in a lifetime.
But let's even account for Mario being an outlier, as in possibly wrong when it comes to picking the OC. Because hey, it's always still a crapshoot. So the NFL is made up of 32 billion dollar + orgs that have unlimited scouting and talent (staff) budgets. They are also in a finite ecosystem that puts a hard ceiling on demand (there are only 32 teams) while there is a (nearly) endless supply of coaches aspiring to get these positions. If multiple (even two) NFL teams try to hire Dorsey, then the market is telling us a lot about his value and (perceived, by experts though) abilities. That he is one of the 32 best (and probably higher) OC's on earth that are not head coaches yet (yes, maybe a couple of CFB guys are up there, but you get it).
That's it. The market will have spoken and KD will have a market value WAY higher than UM would deserve for OC. He would in fact, be overqualified to be OC here by market metrics. So if he decides to pass on the NFL to come home, its EXACTLY what happened with Mario. We will have been able to make an undeserved hire solely due to his love for the U. His heart not his brain.
Also let's stop over-stating his lack of play-calling. Has he ever called a full NFL game from his mouth to the QB's ears on TV? No. But KD has been calling plays for over 20 years. In the huddle at UM when he would audible, in NFL practices, probably at times sporadically in games (as he is PGC) in his head during live NFL game action, and I would bet dollars to donuts in actual NFL scrimmages and maybe even pre-season. And surely at home in simulations. ****, probably in the shower every morning. He's been GROOMED for this. There are tons of top guys who made the leap and were incredibly successful very quickly when they got their shot at a high level. And the reason they were successful is for the same reason they got the opportunity in the first place. They were one of the smartest, hard-working prepared guys in the room and they made all the powers that be feel comfortable that they were the BEST CHOICE. Not just a choice that "could work."
Personally, I don't think he drops down in class. I think his competitiveness will be too much for us to overcome. I think he wants to win at the highest level, the NFL.