We haven't beat them in three years, so there's a mental block there w/regard to how analysts view us. I do think FSU is overvalued coming into this year. People are looking at the last two years rather than what's in front of them.
The fact that Bud Elliot of all people is trying to pump the breaks and set lower expectations tells me all I need to know about their weak points. Non-existent WR room, above average at best QB (with bad streaks), and a worse RB room than last year (albeit I think Toafili and Williams are a solid duo), raises a lot of flags. Also, their DL is topheavy. They don't have depth there, so if a big guy like Darrel Jackson goes down, they're in trouble. Same in the LB room.
Their offense benefited from versatility last year (pick your poison with Travis and the two NFL WRs + TE, or bet on stopping Trey Benson). They're going to be wayyyy more reliant on the run, especially with such an inexperienced WR group. To me, that's what has to be most alarming to them. They have a WR room with almost no existing production, chock-full of guys who never broke into a starting rotation at their prior stops or who got limited playing time last year.
Their issues at WR are a big reason why I think GT has a really good chance to upset them Week 1. Stop the run and force DJ and a questionable room to beat you.