Doubt it. 3 (Parrish, Fletch, Ajay) are proven and 2 of those are already ahead of him on depth chart. He's seen Citizen and CJ at practice and sees what we have coming in.You cited 6-7 other backs he would have to contend with but those backs have had injury issues, have not anything on the field as of now or unproven. Assuming he's looking at elite P5 programs, which program is going to promise him a starting job now for him to lose? He's getting some bad advise.
And who says he's looking for elite P5 programs? He wants to start and wants to get paid. How many P5 programs have 6-7 4-star backs you will compete against? Plenty of low or mid-tier P5 program would promise him RB1/2 role and pay him good NIL.