Top 10 in Total Defense for 2012
(
http://web1.ncaa.org/mfb/natlRank.jsp?year=2012&div=B&rpt=IA_teamtotdef&site=org)
1. Bama (13-1)
2. FSU (12-2)
3. BYU (8-5)
4. Mich St (7-6)
5. UF (11-2)
6. Bowling Green (8-5)
7. Notre Dame (12-1)
8. LSU (10-3)
9. UConn (5-7)
10. Rutgers (9-4)
Overall Win-Loss 95-36 (72.5%)
Removing the outlier (UConn) 90-29 (75.6%)
Bottom 5 Total Defense
116. Miami (7-5)
117. Colorado (1-11)
118. Arizona (8-5)
119. Baylor (8-5)
120. La Tech (9-3)
Overall Win-Loss 33-29 (53.23%)
Removing the outlier (Colorado) 32-18 (64%)
Top 10 Scoring Defense 2012
(
http://web1.ncaa.org/mfb/natlRank.jsp?year=2012&div=B&rpt=IA_teamscordef&site=org)
1. Bama (13-1)
2. ND (12-1)
3. BYU (8-5)
4. Rutgers (9-4)
5. UF (11-2)
6. FSU (12-2)
7. Utah State (11-2)
8. Boise State (11-2)
9. Mich St (7-6)
10. Bowling Green (8-5)
Overall Win-Loss 102 – 30 (77.3%)
Remove the Outlier (Mich St) 95-24 (79.8%)
Bottom 5 Scoring Defense 2012
116. La Tech (9-3)
117. New Mexico St (1-11)
118. Idaho (1-11)
119. Marshall (5-7)
120. Colorado (1-11)
Overall Win-Loss 17-43 (28.3%)
Remove the Outlier (La Tech) 8-40 (16.7%)
What can we learn from the above (with outliers)
There is an increase in winning percentage (Scoring D to Total D) of 4.8%
- 77.3 – 72.5 = 4.8%
The top 10 Total Defense teams have a 19.27% increase in winning percentage over the bottom 5 Total D
- 72.5 - 53.23 = 19.27%
The top 10 Scoring Defense teams have a 49.0% increase in winning percentage over the bottom 5 Scoring D
- 77.3 -28.3 = 49.0%
Bottom 5 Total Defense have a 26.9% increase in winning percentage over the bottom 5 Scoring D
- 53.23 – 28.3 = 26.9%
The above shows why I am not so quick to go nuts about the Total Defense. The Scoring Defense shows the real statistics and the win-loss percentage shows that teams within the Top 10 in Scoring Defense had a better winning percentage than those in the Top 10 in Total Defense.
In addition, it shows that even those teams finishing in the bottom 5 of Total Defense still had a higher winning percentage than those in the bottom 5 of Scoring Defense. Teams within the bottom 5 of Total Defense
HAD A WINNING RECORD.
In no way am I condoning the Total Defense, in no way am I saying yards are NOT IMPORTANT. I am just saying Scoring Defense is what matters most. Points are king, points determine the outcome.