- Joined
- Dec 22, 2011
- Messages
- 47,465
I haven’t seen you make a “strong” statement and be wrong. Just trying to figure out which one that was. Now I know.
It's all good, I was just trying to joke around a bit.
I've tried to explain this to a bunch of other folks, but I'll put it out in the open.
First, if you take EVERY ONE of the Twatter/Internet reports that have been made over the past couple of weeks, and you lined them all up side-by-side, at least half of them are false. And "at least half" is pretty generous.
Second, as has been pointed out from the beginning, the "UM" and "ND" to the AAU efforts have been going on for a while. And have been leading up to something.
So in order for any of these INSANE "conference landing spot" matrices to be correct AND for Miami to be "left out", you would have to have a MASSIVE reversal of years worth of discussions and planning. You would have to have a LAST MINUTE flip-flop of everything that has been slowly building. And you would have to believe that SUDDENLY all of the decision-making power moved from the Big 10/SEC university presidents to a couple of TV networks, and moved in such a MAJOR way that it completely usurped the process of coming to a decision that has been moving (slowly) for quite some time.
COULD it happen? Sure. I guess. But it would have to involve a lot of broken promises and double-crosses, and also somehow illogically evidence a process that was based on certain premises for months (about who "met" and "didn't meet" the Big 10 academic standards, among other considerations)...and then somehow, in the span of a few days...all of that would go by the wayside.
Again, COULD it happen? Perhaps. I simply find it highly unlikely. And while money has ALWAYS dictated the pathway, I don't think that TV excecutives just overruled the Big 10 after months and months and shoved a slate of teams down their throats.
The "50% discount" from Washington/Oregon (and possibly Cal/Stanford) has certainly made people think. And certain ACC teams may be afraid to confront the "worst case scenario" of GOR escape (and I'm assuming that each school has run financial models on this, though F$U is apparently still trying to figure out their Big 10 travel costs, so maybe I'm giving them too much credit).
I would honestly believe that if UM was desperate at this point, we would be spinning wild stories to the press right now too.