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- Dec 19, 2013
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Portal isn’t the context; it’s HS recruiting and evaluation. If the portal was the context, there isn’t a debate, Mario has been pretty bad at the portal.
No, portal IS the context; but, fair game. Let’s go back to HS recruiting only. Since U used Oregon as ur example, from
2022-2024: Lanning is hitting, on avg. 40% on his recruits per class thus far which includes guys who have transferred out or get zero PT.
Mario thus far?
Class of 2022:
Bissainthe, Moten, Cooper
Class of 2023:
Mauigoa, Bain, Fletcher, Brown, Bryant, Aguirre, Williams, Joseph
Class of 2024:
Bell, Lofton, Pruitt, Frédérique, McConathy, Lyle, Patterson, Trader
These r the players that have seen PT & not hit the portal as of today
Class of 2022 HS recruiting:
3/15 or 20%
Class of 2023 HS recruiting:
8/26 or 31%
Class of 2024 HS recruiting:
*Early projections, but still time to develop or earn PT:
8/28 or 28.6%
Either way we slice the pie, it can be HS recruiting only, HS + transfer, transfers only, we’re not in the upper tier. We need to be at roughly a 33% (preferably 35%) hit rate per class. Right now, if I included Mario’s HS + Portal rating of guys who have 2+ yrs of eligibility, that **** is at 22%, fam.
So yes, it’s true even the elite recruiters have misevaluations, that’s not rocket science. If every 5* or 4* star guy panned out, then the NFL would have every 5* or 4* kid. However, what the elite program do have r either 1/3 or 2/5 successful/contributors per class & supplemental that missing 2/3 or 3/5 via the portal. That’s how u get a 3rd yr coach have a 2-3 deep roster, which is y I said by year 3, that’s when we’re supposed to see the change.
Right now? We’re back stating “not enough bodies, we gotta attack the portal.” That’s not good heading into yr 4.