This fan base has some serious issues with supporting their team. If I were to ask Miami fans three years ago, what would this team look like heading into 2014, what would some of the responses be? Probably on probation, bowl bans for the next seasons, major scholarship reductions and middling program heading down a nowhere path. Most fans would, most fans meaning fans other than Miami fans, would say where we are considering where we were three seasons ago, would look at this and say that is quite the accomplishment. But Miami fans, not a chance in ****. Our coach cleaned this program up in really one season. All the dead weight, trouble making kids were gone before the season truly started. And he has slowly built this team under the NCAA scrutiny and negative recruiting for 2.5 seasons. We lost our best position coaches, Fisch, McDonald, and Richardson before this season. We lost our best offensive player right as we hit our toughest part of the schedule and we still managed to win 9 games. A two win improvement from last season, even with all the changes. If we have Duke for the Va Tech and Duke games, we would've won those two games. This was a 10-11 win team last season with a healthy Duke Johnson, but he wasn't and we had a RB committee that wasn't ready for that workload. I know the defensive problems we had, added depth and players better suited for the system will help alleviate some of the issues. But as a fan base, why do we hate this program so much? People are really considering not donating money to their "favorite" football program. People will boycott games, I mean really? People always say, how come these S FLA kids don't wanna stay home and play for their hometown team? It's funny because those some people are the ones who won't support this program. At all. Butch will never coach here again. PSU is not gonna hire Golden. I may be in the minority on this one, but when Golden leads this team to great things I'll be waiting for this fan base to jump onto it's own bandwaggon and support our Coach.
Apparently you haven't seen this & after reading it get off your high horse
http://sebastianspub.wordpress.com/2...-coral-gables/
NO D IN CORAL GABLES
JT Thomson (Follow on Twitter)
Al Golden went on the Joe Rose Show today on WQAM in Miami, and after giving a completely implausible version of events of what transpired the last few days with Penn State, shifted to a discussion of the play on the field.
He immediately went into a full throated defense of his defense, citing progress and laundry listing statistics. There is a problem with the approach that Golden took, however. This improvement does not take into account the difference in quality of opponents from 1 year to the next. Golden listed out specific, cherry picked statistics where the defense marginally improved, but this ignores the fact that the 2012 Miami Hurricanes played 2 top teams out of conference (Notre Dame and Kansas State), while the 2013 Miami Hurricanes played one of the softest schedules in program history.
For a fair and complete analysis, it is important to compare like to like. In his interview, Golden also brought up the 2011 team, pointing out how good it was by once again cherry picking metrics. But what about a complete analysis of Golden’s defense and the one that preceded his arrival under head coach Randy Shannon, comparing games in the conference so you are comparing apples to apples? Oh, we have you covered.
The statistics are from games against conference opponents only in each year. So it removes the good from the defense against Savannah State, etc… but it also removes the beatdowns from Notre Dame and Kansas State last year.
Essentially, this is about as fair a look, removing statistical noise and talent discrepancies, that you can take at a defense’s performance. And the results?
Conference Rankings
Total yards per game allowed
Dead last by 50 yards this year.
Next to last in 2012.
8th in 2011.
5th in 2010.
Total yards per play allowed
13th this year.
11th (of 12) last year.
10th in 2011.
5th in 2010.
Number of plays
Dead last this year.
Dead last last year.
5th in 2011.
4th in 2010.
Scoring defense in conference play
12th this year.
9th last year.
4th in 2011.
5th in 2010.
Analysis: So the one year they slow down the game, the scoring defense looks good. But in reality, the Canes were still getting gashed at a ridiculous level. Since Al Golden arrived on campus, and right when he arrived on campus, the overall quality of the defense plummeted. Moving from one of the top in the ACC to the bottom.
Sacks in conference play
Tied for last this year.
11th last year.
8th in 2011.
5th in 2010.
Analysis: Golden said they improved on sacks this year. This is only because they ran up numbers against the dregs like Savannah State. Once in conference play, they were tied for worst in the ACC.
Tackles for loss in conference play
Last this year.
11th last year.
7th in 2011.
1st in 2010.
Analysis: Basically, Miami doesn’t make plays behind the line of scrimmage against vaunted ACC O-Lines and Offenses. In 2010, the year prior to Golden’s arrival, they were the best in the conference at this.
Opponent 3rd down conversion % in conference
Last this year.
10th last year.
8th in 2011.
2nd in 2010.
Opponent 3rd down conversions in conference
13th this year.
8th last year.
4th in 2011.
4th in 2010.
Opponent 4th down conversion % in conference
Last (83% ALLOWED!).
5th last year.
5th in 2011.
1st in 2010.
Opponent 4th down conversions in conference
Tied for last this year.
Tied for 4th last year.
T-6 in 2011.
1st in 2010
Analysis: The team doesn’t get off the field on 3rd down. They don’t get off the field on 4th down. Again, in 2011 when they slowed down the game, the number of conversions went down, but they still converted them at a ridiculous rate.
Opponent redzone touchdown conversion % in conference
4th this year.
8th last year.
1st in 2011.
2nd in 2010.
Opponent redzone touchdown conversions
9th this year.
12th last year.
1st in 2011.
2nd in 2010.
Analysis: The good thing about the defense is that when the opponent gets to the redzone, they actually do a good job of keeping the opponent from scoring touchdowns. The bad news is that they let them in there more times than anyone in the conference, so they get scored on one way or another.
Opponent plays of greater than 10 yards in conference
last this year.
last last year.
10th in 2011.
5th in 2010.
Opponent plays of greater than 20 yards in conference
11th this year.
9th last year.
1st in 2011.
5th in 2010.
Analysis: This is pretty remarkable. Not only is the defense not making plays behind the line of scrimmage, but other teams are converting big plays.
Turnovers forced conference play
tied for 6th this year.
tied for 2nd last year.
10th in 2011.
2nd in 2010.
Analysis: The Canes did a good job of forcing turnovers the last 2 years. Interestingly enough, even in this positive metric, it actually trended down this year.
Conclusions
The defensive “progress” and “upward trend” in performance Al Golden referenced in his Joe Rose Show interview are COMPLETELY attributable to the out of conference opponents being weaker. The defense has yet to improve in three years, and there is no statistical justification for continuing under the same defensive staff and/or scheme. We’ll close with this handy little chart showing the real lack of progress.