DapperSlapper,
Thank you for bringing reasoning and logic, I appreciate that. It is refreshing on here to see that. You said a lot of good stuff, so here it goes.
I have carefully analyzed the situation (based on the little to no information we have). I have carefully analyzed the pros and the cons but with the little information we have (what is provable and not, what evidence is real, what the sources are and their veracity etc.) I am kind of in a wait and see mood. My whole reasoning depends on this NOA. I think it is key to the investigation or any NCAA investigation.
The NOA is tremendous for the investigation it lets the school know about "potential violations." While I agree UM knows a lot and should know what is going on, we're not going to prove the NCAA's case for them. It's on them, how about we let them serve us and we go from there?
The NOA is all, so without it we don't really know what the NCAA has in terms of "possible violations."
http://i.usatoday.net/sports/college/football/2011-04-25-osu-letter.pdf
I think many people fail to realize is the self-imposed ban DOESN'T guarantee the NCAA will do anything. It is good faith, that is all. While it could be a trade, one self-imposed ban equals one NCAA ban, it doesn't guarantee anything.
1. What happens if the NCAA is more lenient then we impose on ourselves (possible, sure)?
2. What happens if the NCAA wants to drop the hammer (possible, sure)?
My point is the good faith argument was done by the school already. We self-imposed, we participated (according to Emmert) fully and better than most schools, we sat players already and the players were reinstated. While I think we will be hit my more (duh), I have no idea by what.
Now I agree that we will be better in 2013 and even better than that in 2014. But like I said, nothing is guaranteed (record wise) in this year, 2013 or 2014. So while we could self-impose this year and risk the first ACCCG we have ever been too for the future…NOTHING IS GUARANTEED. Also, no team has ever self-imposed a second ban. Now just because no one did it, doesn’t mean don’t do it…without the NOA and a lot to play for, I have trouble doing it. Let’s also remember the NCAA may see this as us being really guilty (I don’t know). As for the transfers, so be it. If the Juniors (soon to be seniors)want to go, they can go. That is their right and who knows if they will just leave, it is the young kids that I am most concerned with.
For a school that has been dead for a long time, for a school that hasn’t sniffed the ACCCG before…it would be tremendous to make the ACCCG. One way to grow up young players is success and confidence. Going to the ACCCG would really get that juice going.
Finally, I agree with “Self imposing a ban depends on UM's weighing of the evidence and making an informed decision - something no one on this board can do. To say that as a rule UM would be crazy to self-impose this year is not seeing the forest for the trees.”
I have no doubt what you said is true, I just don’t see the point in doing it with so much to play for. If our options were go to a crap bowl game and not go to the ACCCG game, I would say self-impose and show the NCAA more good faith. But without the NOA and the above, I am sticking. Like you said this is without any information.
I am listening to Mike Glazier, whatever he says I would do.
I see the other side, I am just waiting patiently for now with the lack of information. I say go to the ACCCG especially with no NOA.