forums

***THE DEFINITIVE PLAYOFF THREAD***

If it’s possible for bama to jump SMU if they lose to Clemson, We wouldn’t have been safe if we got ACCCG and loss?
 
Advertisement
Georgia Tech screwed us a second time. If they had just beaten Georgia, then the rankings could have gone differently. Georgia would have looked worse and, by extension, Alabama’s win against them would have been less impressive. And our loss to GT would have looked better.
 
genxcane said:
Georgia Tech screwed us a second time. If they had just beaten Georgia, then the rankings could have gone differently. Georgia would have looked worse and, by extension, Alabama’s win against them would have been less impressive. And our loss to GT would have looked better.
Click to expand...
Refs made sure UGA left with a W. Honestly I don't think it would have mattered. Would have just meant another 9-3 SEC team in the playoffs
 
Advertisement
dycane said:
We invested $100mm in Mario and the program to avoid these year-end debates.
Click to expand...

Well to be fair we’ve never had a year-end debate about the playoffs because we’ve never been close, save 2017 when we were out when we lost to Pitt, most likely.

But to be really fair, we’ve never had a 12 team playoff before either. If it was still 4 our season would’ve ended with GT, probably.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
I've seen so much speculation and misinformation on here and on the internet, it's driving me crazy, so I wanted to put something together for you guys that I believe is essentially factual.

First of all, IMO (and I think this is probably 99.9% correct), 11 spots are locked down. In no particular order:

Oregon
Penn State
Ohio State
Indiana
UGA
Texas
Tennessee
Notre Dame
SMU
Big 12 champ winner (Arizona State vs Iowa State winner)
Group of 5 champ winner (Boise State vs UNLV winner)

No matter what happens on Saturday, these 11 spots are locked. You can argue SMU if they lose, but I think they're in regardless. The committee has said every week you're not going to be punished for making a conference championship, and I agree. So I think they're in, win or lose.

So, what does this mean? It means, IF SMU BEATS CLEMSON, there will be 1 more team that gets in. The pool for that team is almost certainly Miami, Alabama, Ole Miss, and South Carolina.

None of those teams play on Saturday, meaning however they're ranked tonight is likely how they will be ranked on Sunday when all this is finalized. Also remember, the Big 12 leader, which is currently Arizona State, is going to be ranked OUTSIDE the Top 12 this week, but they are guaranteed a spot, meaning the last team in the field when the rankings are unveiled tonight will be ranked #11. THIS IS THE SPOT MIAMI NEEDS, OR IT'S OVER. Again, Miami needs to be #11 or better tonight to have a shot at the playoffs. If we're #12 or lower, that means at least one of Alabama, USCe, or Ole Miss is ahead of us, and we won't jump them next week.

One final thing, even if we are #11 tonight, we MUST have SMU beat Clemson on Saturday night. If Clemson wins that game, they are in the field, and as I said above, SMU likely stays in as well, meaning that pool of Miami, Bama, USCe, and Ole Miss would ALL be out. Those "bubble" teams are all rooting bigly for SMU to beat Clemson. If Clemson wins, we are not making the field.

So, we need 2 things to happen. BOTH of these need to happen, or we are out:

1. We need to be ranked 11th or better tonight.
2. We need SMU to beat Clemson Saturday night.

If both of those things happen, we make the playoff. If one or both do not, we're out.

Let me know if you disagree with any of this, but I don't see how you can. I think this is about as cut and dry as you can have it at this point. We need to be ahead of all of the 3 loss SEC teams tonight, and we need SMU to keep Clemson from stealing a bid this weekend.
Click to expand...
Maybe this is oversimplification but if you have two teams for one spot - shouldn't the first criteria be actual win loss record? Pretty sure 10-2 > 9-3. If the records are the same then you go down the rabbit hole of variables.
 
Advertisement
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Well to be fair we’ve never had a year-end debate about the playoffs because we’ve never been close, save 2017 when we were out when we lost to Pitt, most likely.

But to be really fair, we’ve never had a 12 team playoff before either. If it was still 4 our season would’ve ended with GT, probably.
Click to expand...
If it was still 4 and we beat Syracuse we'd be arguing about if our 12-1 with ACCCG is better than Notre Dame's 11-1 to get in at #3 or #4. BIG12 and G5 would be out and so would B1G and SEC CG losers.
 
The more time goes by and the situation just continues to get worse, the more I think the SEC & B1G should just break off and form their own league with championship.

Unless they create a mega-league of P4 schools with a playoff chosen objectively, I'm actually beginning to warm to the idea of the non-SEC and non-B1G schools creating their own league and championship as long as the Canes would continue to be on TV each week. Just getting tired of kissing all this SEC & B1G ***.
 
Last edited:
Advertisement
Miami's SID and AD need to ***** about the fact that starting with VT we had media personalities hyper-focusing on a few ref calls in a way they simply did not do for any other team, including a College Gameday segment to talk about refs helping Miami, a last game of the season curated full montage of Cane-favorable calls for the Cuse game, and Bama alum Reece Davis talking about VT and Cal ref calls in the selection show.
 
Advertisement
Glow said:
Miami's SID and AD need to ***** about the fact that starting with VT we had media personalities hyper-focusing on a few ref calls in a way they simply did not do for any other team, including a College Gameday segment to talk about refs helping Miami, a last game of the season curated full montage of Cane-favorable calls for the Cuse game, and Bama alum Reece Davis talking about VT and Cal ref calls in the selection show.
Click to expand...

Dings on your resume that cause you to miss the playoff when you’re Miami: close calls in games you win

Dings on your resume that still allow you to make the playoff when you’re Alabama: losing to 6-6 Vanderbilt and scoring 3 points against a 6-6 Oklahoma team
 
ST26 said:
Let’s get this straight. The reason we didn’t make the playoffs wasn’t because the committee screwed us. It was because couldn’t finish the job and beat Syracuse and GT. We did this to ourselves
Click to expand...
99% of the teams lost games this year. There were not multiple teams dominating the field. Let’s look at the losses…

Alabama lost to an unranked .500 Vanderbilt team and an unranked .500 Oklahoma team where they could only muster up 3 miserable points.

During our common USF opponent, Miami won decidedly where Bama struggled a majority of the game until the 4th quarter.

We lost 2 games by a combined 9 points. I’m sick of the SOS SEC crap. GT took UGA to 8 OT. It was not a bad loss.

Why can Bama lose 3 games? 2 of which to teams that were garbage. You have to hold teams to the same standard.
 
Advertisement
Back
Top