- Joined
- Jul 11, 2012
- Messages
- 867
Thanks Ray, I jus crawled out from under the rock, brushed myself off and was wondering what they're gonna do to hide the other 25k plus seats. Any help 1cn? It's been dark under there.
Kn[]_[]ckles3o5;1383402 said:I never said on campus, I always wanted NEAR CAMPUS. We own lands nearby and there is Tropical Park.
I want a plan, I don't want this renovation as a long term solution.
Location is not the problem. If you think people don't go to Canes games because it's in Miami Gardens and not Miami then there is no hope for you. Students have actually been showing up since we moved to Sun Life. Having a stadium closer to campus will not solve our attendance issue or make a bit of difference IMO. We have had the same attendance problems for the past 20 years, a new stadium will not change that. The only solution is winning and having a good home schedule. It's just how South FL fans are.
I think there are way more non alum Canes fans in south dade than north dade and broward.
I think if the stadium was in South Dade you would have better non alum/student attendance. especially if they could catch the rail and didnt have to pay for parking.
I never said on campus, I always wanted NEAR CAMPUS. We own lands nearby and there is Tropical Park.
I want a plan, I don't want this renovation as a long term solution.
Location is not the problem. If you think people don't go to Canes games because it's in Miami Gardens and not Miami then there is no hope for you. Students have actually been showing up since we moved to Sun Life. Having a stadium closer to campus will not solve our attendance issue or make a bit of difference IMO. We have had the same attendance problems for the past 20 years, a new stadium will not change that. The only solution is winning and having a good home schedule. It's just how South FL fans are.
Location has nothing to do with attendance. I ran the attendance numbers on our football team from the time we moved into Sun Life and the previous 25 years (starting with the 1983 championship team) at the Orange Bowl.
In the five years we've been at Sun Life, we've averaged 49,857 fans per game.
In the previous 25 years at the Orange Bowl, we averaged 49,421 fans per game.
There's no real difference in attendance between having the stadium in Little Havana or in Miami Gardens! Neither one was on or particularly near to the Coral Gables campus. If anything, it's easier for students to get to games now with the charter buses that leave directly from campus. When I was a student, we had to take the Metrorail, get off at Culmer Station, then hop on a Miami-Dade transit bus. That wasn't too bad, but getting back was a nightmare... it was faster to walk through traffic across the 12th Avenue bridge over the Miami River than it was to wait for the three buses that would line up outside the OB and get stuck in traffic. Having charter buses that offer a direct route from campus to the stadium and back is so much easier to deal with than having students rely on spotty and slow public transportation and/or walking through downtown Miami in the middle of the night.
(Numbers from: http://www.hurricanesports.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=28700&ATCLID=205549026)
How are they going to do this?
Tarp 30% of the seats?
This is BS and we deserve more, we want a plan for our own place.
If the Canes deserve a place of their own, then they will build a place. It ain't happening.
If they move the seats closer and have most everyone in the lower bowl, I think the game day experience will be improved. If the team can win and get 50k per game, the stadium won't be an issue.
Stupid, stupid, stupid. Think long term.
Why can Tulane and Baylor do it? We have more TOTAL students then both of those schools, we have more tradition and we deserve it.
The problem is there is no plan, we know we have to build the stadium but there is no serious drive to do so. All this BS about fixing SLS is irrelevant to me because we still will be playing in Miami Gardens in a place that is not ours. SLS is now is terrible, putting a bandaide on it won't help much.
A plan needs to be developed, a plan with a lot of fund raising and and perhaps a debt sale. There is a lot of land in Miami and we own a lot too, nobody intelligent is saying an ON CAMPUS STADIUM...but how about a near campus stadium.
glad we can finally agree that on-campus isn't feasible. if we can somehow gather the funds and get it approved, tropical park or bust.
but let's be real, renovation with reduction to 50k is far better for us than what it is currently.
How are they going to do this?
Tarp 30% of the seats?
This is BS and we deserve more, we want a plan for our own place.
Here's the plan: You should figure out a way to raise $400M and get the land and were good!
For multiple reasons, most having to do with finances and real estate, we are not having our stadium, at least in our lifetimes. Get it over it. And frankly, for 6 games a year, the expense is simply not worth it.
For multiple reasons, most having to do with finances and real estate, we are not having our stadium, at least in our lifetimes. Get it over it. And frankly, for 6 games a year, the expense is simply not worth it.
I hope the referendum fails miserably. Of all the billionaires on the planet, this city happens to get stuck with the one who brainstorms a $400 million patchwork of a bland facility in a terrible location. A true visionary would be on the floor in a seizure of laughter at the mere suggestion.
A dump with a roof is still a dump. Besides, we have decades worth of evidence that the stadium is little more than a glorified neutral site. I'm not aware of a single example of a patched stadium that miraculously transformed into a dungeon for the opposing team. When we left the Orange Bowl we voluntarily surrendered 2 to 2.5 points per game. I made that point to Donna Shalala and Paul Dee at the time. I wrote letters, as did my dad, borrowing my specifics. The Dolphins had 20 years worth of history at the Orange Bowl, and 20 years at the Robbie Bowl, when we made the decision to abandon the Orange Bowl. In the Orange Bowl the Dolphins averaged 24.3 points per game from 1966-1986, and gave up 16.8. That's a phenomenal +7.5 net, and keep in mind they began as an expansion team. In the Robbie Bowl, the Dolphins have lost more than 5 net points per home game. They average 21.5 from 1987 to 2012, while allowing 19.2.
Now, to be fair, the team was better overall during the early Shula era than they have been from 1987 forth. The best reference point is road games. The Dolphins averaged 20.5 in road games over the same 1966-1986 duration, and allowed 19.9. So they were a +.6 net. From 1987 to 2012 they've had a net of -2.2 in road games -- scoring 19.2 while allowing 21.4.
So the Dolphins were 2.8 points worse in road games during the two spans, but a ridiculous 5.2 points worse at home. That's where I got the 2 to 2.5 point estimate of leaving the Orange Bowl. I think it's fair, and we'd be idiotic to believe it doesn't apply to us, over the long term. I've been a handicapper for more than 25 years and normally keep these type of numbers to myself, secluded in my Excel spreadsheets. But frankly I tire of all the inane claims that home field doesn't matter, and the stadium gets just as loud...blah...blah...blah.
The edges in sports betting are so slight you have to study aspects like home field impact, otherwise you're just another clown making happy 40% subjective adjustments.
I'm willing to wait and gamble on a new venue, that a true visionary will show up.
Homefield advantage? Distance from the campus? Image issues? Doesn't matter.
The only thing that matters is money. Building a stadium is an investment. An investment in the future of your athletics department. Yes, it puts you hundreds of millions of dollars in the hole at the time, but over the long run, you will most likely start making money hand over fist. The big question is, would such a stadium eventually pay for itself?
Regardless, our brass has never felt it viable or important enough to make that significant investment and start raising funds. Renting a venue means that we don't keep all of the money from parking, concessions, and gate receipts, so, you're already looking at a reduction of income right there. Then you can take into consideration that renting in a large venue results in a constant surplus of tickets, keeping prices down. In fact, the one thing about JRS is that decent lower bowl seats are so few in number, that the University can inflate the prices on those seats to counteract this a little. Imagine this with a whole stadium. Imagine how much more money they could have donated to the Hurricane Club and how many more season ticket sales they would garner if we were filling a rowdy 52,000 seat stadium instead of a half-empty 72,000 seat one. Also, generating less money off home game receipts also means that you have a harder time paying the going rate to even put teams on your schedule. Sad as it is, we could never afford to do what lots of other institutions do, and schedule patsies to play at home for your non conference games. Instead, you see us playing games @FAU, @USF, @Toledo, etc..
Anyway, those are just some of the monetary issues. Another elephant in the room is that, due to JRS now being our only option as far as venue goes, there's nothing to stop them from fleecing us in 20 years when our lease expires. That's not saying they will, just that they will have the option.
I'm sure there are great reasons why the school hasn't built their own football facility. I've heard dozens upon dozens. The problem is, most of them rely upon the acceptance that it would be impossible to do so. Such acceptance not only is horribly defeatist in attitude, but holds very little basis in reality. Would building a stadium be easy or cheap? Nope. But impossible? The university would just have to believe in the viability of making such an investment in the future of the program.