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Proof of Randomness in College Baseball

Jaromir Jagr said:
It has to do with the fact that he's not complacent with "getting there". Surely you knew this.
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He got a 10-year, $10 million contract for going 1-6 in Omaha over 9 years.

How do you know that he wouldn't take getting there?

The guy was essentially given a lifetime contract for not getting there.
 
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Doppelganger said:
Jaromir Jagr said:
The best teams do win in Omaha.
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No they don't. They're just as likely to lose or win zero games than they are to win.
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The best 20 regular season records (out of 300 teams) since 2008 won 70% of the games in Omaha (108 out of 155).

Significant outliers - The good:

Arizona - 28th best record, 10 wins
UCLA - 30th best record, 9 wins

Significant outliers - The bad:

Louisville - 3rd best record, 1 win
Miami - 10th best record, 2 wins

Teams that held serve:

Virginia - Best record, 12 wins
LSU - 2nd best record, 11 wins
North Carolina - 5th best record, 7 wins
TCU - 6th best record, 11 wins
Vanderbilt - 9th best record, 11 wins
Florida - 11th best record, 11 wins
South Carolina - 13th best record, 15 wins

7 of the 10 national titles went to teams that were in the top 13 for the decade. The ACC is particularly underwhelming in that area, having 5 of the top 10 records, but winning just one title.
 
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This is awful.

Right off the bat, with zero research, I can definitively tell you that you are either outright lying about UVA or are incredibly stupyd.

UVA was 15-15 in the ACC the year that they won the NCAA tournament and would NOT have made it to a regional if they did not win the ACC tournament. Their victory was arguably as valid as Fresno State or Coastal Carolina. The gnome says that "they held serve....". An announcer in EVERY game of the tournament this year compared us to UVA during 2015....... Did you even watch the games?

Denser than an American submarine or a nuclear reactor's walls........
 
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canesproponent said:
This is awful.

Right off the bat, with zero research, I can definitively tell you that you are either outright lying about UVA or are incredibly stupyd.

UVA was 15-15 in the ACC the year that they won the NCAA tournament and would NOT have made it to a regional if they did not win the ACC tournament. Their victory was arguably as valid as Fresno State or Coastal Carolina. The gnome says that "they held serve....". An announcer in EVERY game of the tournament this year compared us to UVA during 2015....... Did you even watch the games?

Denser than an American submarine or a nuclear reactor's walls........
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Virginia has the best regular season record in the country over the last decade. Virginia also has the second most wins in the College World Series in the last decade. How this confused you, I have no idea.
 
canesproponent said:
This is awful.

Right off the bat, with zero research, I can definitively tell you that you are either outright lying about UVA or are incredibly stupyd.
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I will be patiently waiting on two things:

(1) Your proof that anything I wrote about Virginia is factually incorrect.
(2) Your explanation as to why 2014 was a great season for Miami.
 
This is unfathomably dumb.

UVA winning during 2015 was an ANOMALY. Did you even watch the ACC tournament this year? They were a 3 seed. They would not HAVE MADE THE NCAA TOURNAMENT, if they had not won the ACC tournament.

You are essentially saying that "UVA was great between 2004 and 2014, and they were awful in 2015, but since they were great the 10 years before, it was OBVIOUS that they would win it all." How could you possibly write that?

UVA winning in 2015 is BEYOND RANDOM. This is asinine. This PROVES Brian's point.

This is beyond stupid. This is an example of zero cognitive ability.
 
canesproponent said:
This is unfathomably dumb.

UVA winning during 2015 was an ANOMALY. Did you even watch the ACC tournament this year? They were 15-15 in the ACC after winning 5 games in the ACC tournament in 2015. They were a 3 seed. They would not HAVE MADE THE NCAA TOURNAMENT, if they had not won the ACC tournament.

You are essentially saying that "UVA was great between 2004 and 2014, and they were awful in 2015, but since they were great the 10 years before, it was OBVIOUS that they would win it all." How could you possibly write that?

UVA winning in 2015 is BEYOND RANDOM. This is asinine. This PROVES Brian's point.

This is beyond stupid. This is an example of zero cognitive ability.
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You made up about a dozen things that I neither said nor implied, Danny. I have not once commented on the validity of Virginia's championship. If you want to make up an argument based on the facts I presented, knock yourself out.

Meanwhile, could you tell us how you came up with Morris having a top 3 record for 3 straight years?
 
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Jaromir Jagr said:
canesproponent said:
Morris posted a top 3 record for 3 seasons in a row and made it to Omaha 2 of those years. Morris was a GREAT coach between 2014 and 2016. That is my point and the numbers prove it.
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We were tied for the 19th best record in 2014 and the 9th best record in 2015. Morris did not post a top 3 record 3 years in a row.

We can add another basic fact to the list of things that canesproponent is incapable of looking up.
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Any comment?
 
This is so dumb.

UVA did not "hold serve". They were the equivalent of UM in 2017 except that they won their last two games. We were 16-12 and they were 15-15.

You attribute a terrible team's win in Omaha to success that they attained during the prior 10 years.

Honestly, how can you not see this? Forget everything..... How can you not see how ridiculous this is. You focus on whether there are 283 or 293 teams, which has ZERO effect on the analysis, and write something that is completely devoid of any semblance of intelligence.

You are right. Your statement is akin to "Danny", but he IS impaired.....
 
canesproponent said:
This is so dumb.

UVA did not "hold serve". They were the equivalent of UM in 2017 except that they won their last two games. We were 16-12 and they were 15-15.

You attribute a terrible team's win in Omaha to success that they attained during the prior 10 years.

Honestly, how can you not see this? Forget everything..... How can you not see how ridiculous this is. You focus on whether there are 283 or 293 teams, which has ZERO effect on the analysis, and write something that is completely devoid of any semblance of intelligence.

You are right. Your statement is akin to "Danny", but he IS impaired.....
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You don't understand my post, do you. I'm shocked.
 
Now, I am truly curious.

Despite being incredibly busy, I will see how the teams that "held serve" performed during their championship years. It will be interesting to see what % of these "winners" were in the top 8 prior to the tournament, and if they were not, then how were they performing up to that point.

It will also be interesting to see how they performed between 2009 and 2017, which was MOrris' worst stretch.
 
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The fake outrage is a direct response to canesproponent's daily factual mistakes. Gotta put up a smoke screen at some point.
 
canesproponent said:
Now, I am truly curious.

Despite being incredibly busy, I will see how the teams that "held serve" performed during their championship years. It will be interesting to see what % of these "winners" were in the top 8 prior to the tournament, and if they were not, then how were they performing up to that point.

It will also be interesting to see how they performed between 2009 and 2017, which was MOrris' worst stretch.
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Who said anything about "holding serve" during championship years?
 
I presume the gentleman employed the same logic throughout, which would be astounding.

It is one thing to recollect something erroneously, but clearly stating that "a poor team won because of its prior 10 year history" is at another level.

Do you realize that team's lose their best players every three years?

How does your mind equate a 2015 squad devoid of talent, with ..... amazing....... This is incredible
 
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He was right on 3 and wrong on 3. The 7th was a pass but he was more right than wrong on it. Failing score, but fine. Seems like his UVA posit was an anomaly, and he is not cognitively impaired.

Gnome Says That These Teams Held Serve

Virginia – 2015 – Made the NCAA tournament because they won the ACC. Were 15-15 in ACC. Their victory was completely random.

LSU - 2nd best record, 11 wins – They won in 2009 and have been to Omaha 4x versus Miami’s 2x. They were a top 8 seed, so gnome is correct here.

North Carolina - 5th best record, 7 wins – They have yet to win and have only been to Omaha 3x versus UM’s 2x. They missed the tournament in 2015 and 2016. This is another error on gnome’s part.

TCU - 6th best record, 11 wins – Have performed better than UM in regard to Omaha with 5 appearances. Horrible record in Omaha. Not sure why they were included, but we can give gnome a pass.

Vanderbilt - 9th best record, 11 wins – 3 appearances in Omaha and one victory. They were not a top 8 seed nor did they have a top 8 RPI. Gnome is clearly wrong here as well.

Florida - 11th best record, 11 wins – Arguably the most elite team in regard to appearances and they were top 8 all season. He is correct here.

South Carolina - 13th best record, 15 wins – 3 great years followed by complete ineptitude (to the point that they could not even hire a top coach). 2010 team was not top 8, but 2011 and 2012 teams were. They suffered 4 down years since then and did not attend Omaha between 2004 and 2009. Very streaky team. Will accept that they held serve.
 
You're making points against things I did not say nor imply. All because I continue to embarrass you.

How on earth did you think that the "holding serve" list had anything to do with championships?

I have a serious question as well. Do you have some kind of impairment? I don't want to call you retarded if there's really something wrong. The guy Scott Martineau (may God rest his soul) on Grassy was waaay out there, just like you, but he had a terminal disease that likely impaired his thinking. If that's the case here, I want to be respectful.
 
Feel free to be as disrespectful as you would like. There is nothing that you could say that would register.

What did you major in way back when?
 
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