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Proof of Randomness in College Baseball

ucaned said:
For if you think Golden should have been fired you are not a program guy, and only program guys are fans. Everyone else is a "non-fan" according to you.
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This is embarrassing logic even for you.

The subject of the firing is important.

Jim Morris is not Al Golden.

Nobody ever said that wanting to fire someone makes a person a non-fan.

So you're ignorant and employing strawmen.
 
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Tiny Dancer said:
ucaned said:
For if you think Golden should have been fired you are not a program guy, and only program guys are fans. Everyone else is a "non-fan" according to you.
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This is embarrassing logic even for you.

The subject of the firing is important.

Jim Morris is not Al Golden.

Nobody ever said that wanting to fire someone is a non-fan.

So you're ignorant and employing strawmen.
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Um, you said I was a non-fan because I wanted Morris gone after one bad season. Get your facts right.
 
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Tiny Dancer said:
ucaned said:
Um, you said I was a non-fan because I wanted Morris gone after one bad season. Get your facts right.
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No. I said you're a non-fan because you don't follow the program and don't know what's going on.
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WOW, that old nose of yours is growing big time today. You and I both know that is a flat out lie! Sad, I thought you were better than that. Medication, you need it! Just saying.
 
Tiny Dancer said:
Jaromir Jagr said:
Except when Miami plays. If it was random we would have done better than 1-2 over a 16 year period.
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No.

You, again, still don't understand what random means.
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Here's how irrational the Morris/DiMare defense has become:

Oregon State is supposed to still win the CWS without their 11-1/0.76 ace, but if Miami loses a freshman catcher we're not even a tournament team. And he defends that roster.
 
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Tiny Dancer said:
We'retheBoss said:
RPI says we were not a top 5 team in the state.
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I wasn't arguing that.

I accurately labeled your statement as a one-off sample size.
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If viewing each season as a discrete data point, then sure, the result of the 2017 season is an anomaly compared to the last half century of Miami baseball. The question remains, was this just a bad result of a good process, or is this a bad result of a bad process? If we are going to say this year was a one-off, then we should feel good about the way coach Morris is currently recruiting and developing players, as well as his current in-game coaching strategy. Do you? I don't.

This year's team was PUTRID at the plate. I mean, nearly dead last in average, OBP, and SLG (but hey, we finished 11th in sac bunts!) Do the stats represent the true talent level of the roster, or did every single one of the players severely underperform? To me, these stats along with the almost zero draft interest indicate a roster devoid of talent. This dearth of talent and performance is not achieved in just one year, but via a multi-year recruiting and developmental underachievement by the staff. It's not an indictment of Morris' career but rather a criticism on what he is doing currently. But I suppose we will have to wait until next year to see if this year was truly a one-off. I assume regression is inevitable, and the team can't be THIS bad two years in a row, but we shall see.
 
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We'retheBoss said:
This dearth of talent and performance is not achieved in just one year, but via a multi-year recruiting and developmental underachievement by the staff.
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This is why it's not a "one off sample" as Aquinas is claiming. This year didn't just "happen". DiMare knew last June that the roster stunk, that's why he went all in with the JUCO route and it's how we ended up wasting time on guys like Gali and Davison.

Any roster, any year, is the culmination of the previous 2-3 years of recruiting and development.
 
Jaromir Jagr said:
Here's how irrational the Morris/DiMare defense has become:

Oregon State is supposed to still win the CWS without their 11-1/0.76 ace, but if Miami loses a freshman catcher we're not even a tournament team. And he defends that roster.
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Well, this one is easy.

Miami was the last team out of the tournament. Replacing 151 AB's from a .200 hitting backup catcher would likely have been enough to clear that low bar.

Oregon State was 56-4 and was 6-0 in the postseason since his sabbatical. So apparently he's only super important to their fortunes when they lose.

Once again you bail out when randomness occurs only to turn up again when a one-off fluke happens.
 
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Tiny Dancer said:
Jaromir Jagr said:
Here's how irrational the Morris/DiMare defense has become:

Oregon State is supposed to still win the CWS without their 11-1/0.76 ace, but if Miami loses a freshman catcher we're not even a tournament team. And he defends that roster.
Click to expand...

Well, this one is easy.

Miami was the last team out of the tournament. Replacing 151 AB's from a .200 hitting backup catcher would likely have been enough to clear that low bar.

Oregon State was 56-4 and was 6-0 in the postseason since his sabbatical. So apparently he's only super important to their fortunes when they lose.

Once again you bail out when randomness occurs only to turn up again when a one-off fluke happens.
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Ten thousand examples, all "one-off flukes". Love that you found a new phrase to run with under this screen name.
 
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Tiny Dancer said:
Jaromir Jagr said:
And he defends that roster.
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I defend the roster construction as it was meant without assigning blame for freak occurrences.

But I'm honest and rational.
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You've listed one "freak occurrence". Kep Brown. Kep Brown's departure in August of 2015 didn't lead to 10 JUCO transfers, nine of which can't play in the ACC.

So you admit that you defend the roster as it was constructed. This is the roster they meant to assemble.
 
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