I think CFB overtakes NFL in 20 years

[305_separatist]

Might sound crazy but it’s the simple trajectory imo.

- NFL is a worse product, and seemingly getting more stale by the year
- College has always been a much more dynamic and fun product, and NIL is accelerating this.
- NIL levels the playing field, creates more chaos, we're gonna see teams like SMU bursting onto the scene
- NIL also blew down the door of allowing schools to invest directly in talent, which will be proportional to the economic value being captured by teams. AKA as college continues to get better and the NFL worse, the pay difference will shrink, more kids will opt to stay in college longer ala Ward.
- Eventually, years from now, we'll see the value of the NFL good down, and pushes to change the rules to allow students to stay in school and compete longer. Even the "student" facade will also eventually disappear in the next 20 years. The new football landscape will be regional city and state school teams, reminiscent of the Soccer club landscape in Europe.

Just a random shower thought I had to break up the regular board conversation.

 

[Cane_Mutiny]

 

[StPeteCane]

I like the college game better but the NFL is and will always be king.

 

[MiamisMoperiestMopes]

I prefer the college game but NfL is the undisputed king. I don’t anything they can do to overtake the king.

Just look at the numbers from this article.

Ratings Roundup: NFL On ESPN Sees Highest Viewership Across Entire Week Games

Ratings Roundup is a rundown of recent rating news and is derived from press releases and reports around the industry. In this week’s edition, NFL on ...

www.sportsvideo.org

SNF getting something close to 25 million viewers last week. Top primetime college game was 6ish

 

[mirvin88]

I doubt it overtakes the NFL but personally I’ve been watching less and less NFL and more college the past several years. The NFL is very stale I agree.

 

[Gi0logy]

I like the college game better but the NFL is and will always be king.

Exactly. NFL gets like 17M views on average per game. The top games in CFB every week get like 8M.

I can see CFB inching closer and closer but never overtaking. It is by far the superior product though.

 

[TheATLCane]

Once you leave the South you realize this will never happen

 

[LoungeLord]

Might sound crazy but it’s the simple trajectory imo.

- NFL is a worse product, and seemingly getting more stale by the year
- College has always been a much more dynamic and fun product, and NIL is accelerating this.
- NIL levels the playing field, creates more chaos, we're gonna see teams like SMU bursting onto the scene
- NIL also blew down the door of allowing schools to invest directly in talent, which will be proportional to the economic value being captured by teams. AKA as college continues to get better and the NFL worse, the pay difference will shrink, more kids will opt to stay in college longer ala Ward.
- Eventually, years from now, we'll see the value of the NFL good down, and pushes to change the rules to allow students to stay in school and compete longer. Even the "student" facade will also eventually disappear in the next 20 years. The new football landscape will be regional city and state school teams, reminiscent of the Soccer club landscape in Europe.

Just a random shower thought I had to break up the regular board conversation.

NIL sucks and will ruin college football. Same with conference realignment and playoffs. All get you closer to the NFL model that you don’t like. Hard to square that little nugget.

 

[JHallCanes]

I like the college game better but the NFL is and will always be king.

Fantasy Football ensures the NFL will always be #1

I don’t watch much NFL these days. It slowly eroded away. Maybe because I can only take one day to really watch football and I pick Saturday. But once the NFL started being more about fantasy sports dorks and betting the game itself kinda lost its luster for me.

But college is headed that way too

 

[407cane]

college will never overtake nfl - NFL has a wider relevant consumer base and more parity to where for the most part teams can be good where college there will always be just a handful of major market teams

 

[Bender]

NFL TV Ratings Surge to Nine-Year High - Ministry of Sport

NFL viewership reaches 18.6 million in 2024, driven by star players and strategic matchups, reflecting a strong audience engagement trend.

ministryofsport.com

Click on the link and you will see for yourself that this is absolutely not the case. The NFL is going successfully overseas into other countries for years and they make sure that people in other countries can watch the NFL with LEGAL streaming options. This is not happening in College Football.

Plus, the NFL has signed an 11-year, 110 billion dollar TV rights deal three years ago. The differences in value are enormous and they will stay that way.

I would argue the gap gets bigger in the next 20 years.

 

[Firesite]

College to me is more interesting each and every week but NFL will always be king.

 

[passitback]

Might sound crazy but it’s the simple trajectory imo.

- NFL is a worse product, and seemingly getting more stale by the year
- College has always been a much more dynamic and fun product, and NIL is accelerating this.
- NIL levels the playing field, creates more chaos, we're gonna see teams like SMU bursting onto the scene
- NIL also blew down the door of allowing schools to invest directly in talent, which will be proportional to the economic value being captured by teams. AKA as college continues to get better and the NFL worse, the pay difference will shrink, more kids will opt to stay in college longer ala Ward.
- Eventually, years from now, we'll see the value of the NFL good down, and pushes to change the rules to allow students to stay in school and compete longer. Even the "student" facade will also eventually disappear in the next 20 years. The new football landscape will be regional city and state school teams, reminiscent of the Soccer club landscape in Europe.

Just a random shower thought I had to break up the regular board conversation.

 

[dodaniels]

The only way college football will catch up to the NFL, if the best six teams from each power 4 conference and 12 best available teams around the nation all merge into one new league.

36 team league
4 Conferences (8 games)
8 team playoff ( 4 automatic and 4 at-large bids)

 

[nycane]

Might sound crazy but it’s the simple trajectory imo.

- NFL is a worse product, and seemingly getting more stale by the year
- College has always been a much more dynamic and fun product, and NIL is accelerating this.
- NIL levels the playing field, creates more chaos, we're gonna see teams like SMU bursting onto the scene
- NIL also blew down the door of allowing schools to invest directly in talent, which will be proportional to the economic value being captured by teams. AKA as college continues to get better and the NFL worse, the pay difference will shrink, more kids will opt to stay in college longer ala Ward.
- Eventually, years from now, we'll see the value of the NFL good down, and pushes to change the rules to allow students to stay in school and compete longer. Even the "student" facade will also eventually disappear in the next 20 years. The new football landscape will be regional city and state school teams, reminiscent of the Soccer club landscape in Europe.

Just a random shower thought I had to break up the regular board conversation.

NIL might save college basketball too. kids that were desperate for money will know stay and develop and it makes the pros better.

 

[HurricanePhilly]

Major Cities the NFL is king.

Certain regions college is king

But like JHall said throw in Fantasy and all the gambling that is done on the NFL it will always rule overall.

Anyone who says the NFL is a better product is lying. Miami/VTech and UGA/Bama alone were better than anything the NFL put out all weekend. I mean at one point I was looking at ESPN.com and Bo Nix was 7-15 for -7 yards...at halftime!!!

But they are the best of the best...unreal athletes.

 

[mcnaire2004]

20 years? You know it's the single most popular sport in America and has been for some time, right?

 

[QuattroCane]

The NFL is such a contrived manufactured product now it's terrible. Stop telling me how great the games are and show me. I can't wait for another riveting 20-13 matchup.
Miami vs VT had more excitement in the final five minutes than the entire NFL did all weekend, forget about UGA vs Bama...

 

[305_separatist]

I doubt it overtakes the NFL but personally I’ve been watching less and less NFL and more college the past several years. The NFL is very stale I agree.

It's a trend. The numbers are where they are now but they will change gradually and be flipped in 20 years is my prediction.

 

[305_separatist]

The only way college football will catch up to the NFL, if the best six teams from each power 4 conference and 12 best available teams around the nation all merge into one new league.

36 team league
4 Conferences (8 games)
8 team playoff ( 4 automatic and 4 at-large bids)

Nope. You don't need to try and copy the NFL to beat it, quite the opposite. The plethora of teams, crazy match ups, and overall chaos is what sets the stage.