MEGA Conference Realignment and lawsuits Megathread: Stories, Tales, Lies, and Exaggerations

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Honestly, since the playoff committee criteria is now the "5 highest ranked conference champions", and 2 losses knocks ACC teams out of the 12 team playoff, might as well try to join the easiest conference if unable to join the P2. No incentive for being in the ACC where it's pretty good top to bottom. You get the worst situation of all, tough games but still only allowed 1 loss. 2 losses probably keeps you out of the playoffs. And even wins don't really matter that much. UM beat VT and DROPPED in the polls. So pick a conference where it is easiest to run the table. Get to the semifinal game in the playoffs and it is worth $14 million.

Big 12 payouts last year were around $50 million per team. ACC's payouts were around 45 million. Big 12 is an easier conference. If UM was a Big 12 member, it probably wins the Big12 and gets the automatic bye. Already in the second round. If make it to semis, it would means we would have received $64 million total. Make it to the championship game, and that's $70 million total.
Bigger question is what will the CFP format & qualifying criteria be once the new contract kicks in in 2026. The auto bye might disappear and be replaced by NCAA rankings. Right now you have #16 Clemson in a 12 team playoff when the goal appears to be to have the top 12 (or 14 or 16) teams playing. The SEC and B10 have the ability to modify the format and the 2026 format / criteria will not be the same as we have just experienced.
 
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Lol.

The insiders guaranteed FSU and Miami would be out by now and that the GOR was unenforceable. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Current realignment status has 0 to do with the GOR and ACC agreements and everything to do with MEDIA INDUSTRY ISSUES being faced by broadcast companies seeking to optimize limited programming slots. The court mandated shut down of the planned VENU SPORTS STREAMING venture in August 2024 had major repercussions. No added programming slots, interest in further conference expansion at this time, has cooled. Not a simple scenario.
 
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Current realignment status has 0 to do with the GOR and ACC agreements and everything to do with MEDIA INDUSTRY ISSUES being faced by broadcast companies seeking to optimize limited programming slots. The court mandated shut down of the planned VENU SPORTS STREAMING venture in August 2024 had major repercussions. No added programming slots, interest in further conference expansion at this time, has cooled. Not a simple scenario.
Dumb. The industry has not changed materially in this short time frame. There was never a handshake deal or informal invitation for FSU to the SEC or the Big Ten. This was a complete emotional overreaction to the playoffs snub last year. Now the reporting is even more clear that they do not have a landing spot, and the lawsuit has shown no indication that they will be successful in anything other than in wasting millions in legal fees. Miami leadership has recognized this and knows the best current strategy until 2030 or so is to try to fix the ACC as much as possible and push for increased revenues. The ACC got 2 bids, could have easily had 3 if Mario didn't choke vs Cuse (and in that scenario, to be fair, Clemson needed to beat USC-e).

Things will look a lot different in 5 years. For now, circle the wagons.
 
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Dumb. The industry has not changed materially in this short time frame. There was never a handshake deal or informal invitation for FSU to the SEC or the Big Ten. This was a complete emotional overreaction to the playoffs snub last year. Now the reporting is even more clear that they do not have a landing spot, and the lawsuit has shown no indication that they will be successful in anything other than in wasting millions in legal fees. Miami leadership has recognized this and knows the best current strategy until 2030 or so is to try to fix the ACC as much as possible and push for increased revenues. The ACC got 2 bids, could have easily had 3 if Mario didn't choke vs Cuse (and in that scenario, to be fair, Clemson needed to beat USC-e).

Things will look a lot different in 5 years. For now, circle the wagons.
You just have an opinion ... period ... and nothing to support it. As far as the CFP ... if you don't believe the CFP format and selection criteria will change significantly by the time the new contract kicks in in 2026 ... then you are living in make belief land. The industry DYNAMICS have changed significantly. The Venu Sports Streaming venture being shut down by the court was a huge issue.
 
There really doesn't seem to be much sense in the Big Ten expanding midway through their media rights agreement, particularly with the networks having near exclusivity over their windows, unless something dramatic happens. I doubt Fox could justify the cost of full shares with late night, Thursday, or cable windows even if they convinced NBC, with whom Fox and the Big Ten seem to have a somewhat icy relationship, to chip in for more Peacock windows. Things probably start to simmer again around the winter of 28-29 when the Big Ten goes back to market and they can leverage other media cos.

Being the most viewed team in the ACC this year was a good start. Be interesting and relevant the next few years and we'll be in much better shape.
 
Bigger question is what will the CFP format & qualifying criteria be once the new contract kicks in in 2026. The auto bye might disappear and be replaced by NCAA rankings. Right now you have #16 Clemson in a 12 team playoff when the goal appears to be to have the top 12 (or 14 or 16) teams playing. The SEC and B10 have the ability to modify the format and the 2026 format / criteria will not be the same as we have just experienced.
Why do you feel the goal appears to have the top 12 teams playing? They didn't do that this time around. They want the top 5 rated conference champions to get a seat at the table. IMO, I don't see that changing. However, I'll predict conference champs will not automatically get better seeding after 2026.

My thoughts are the biggest changes will be going from 12 to 14 teams. The SEC and B1G getting 3, possibly 4 automatic bids each. The ACC and Big XII may negotiate 2 automatic bids each as well if the field expands to 14 teams.

The contrarian part of me hopes the non-SEC and non-B1G schools grow a backbone and refuse to sign on if the SEC/B1G continue being hogs.
 
Why do you feel the goal appears to have the top 12 teams playing? They didn't do that this time around. They want the top 5 rated conference champions to get a seat at the table. IMO, I don't see that changing. However, I'll predict conference champs will not automatically get better seeding after 2026.

My thoughts are the biggest changes will be going from 12 to 14 teams. The SEC and B1G getting 3, possibly 4 automatic bids each. The ACC and Big XII may negotiate 2 automatic bids each as well if the field expands to 14 teams.

The contrarian part of me hopes the non-SEC and non-B1G schools grow a backbone and refuse to sign on if the SEC/B1G continue being hogs.
I still think that is what the P2 wants. Put out ridiculous demands about payouts and automatic bids, knowing all others will push back. Then they can take their ball and do their own thing.
 
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