Brandon Innis

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Innis has never been as good as his rating. Very overated.

Yes he's behind legit talent at OSU, but he just doesn't look very impressive when he gets opportunities.

He could probably come here and put up 500 yards or something tho if he takes the slot role. But I much prefer to get an elite guy for the slot.

Like a KC Concepcion type of player. Zachariah Branch. Those guys have juice and are electric. Innis doesn't look like that.
 
Innis had one superior trait in HS, which was the fact he physically matured much earlier than his HS peers and used that to his advantage on the field. His game was about bodying DBs in HS moreso than route running, separation and plus athleticism.

He's no longer more physically mature than his college peers, can't body DBs as he did in HS and therefore has no superior traits that he brings to the table at the college level.

And it's not at all clear he takes Egbuka's spot ext year. OSU signed 4 new highly rated WR's in the 2025 class, and they have no problem playing young guys.
 
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He’s pretty elite at fielding punts and calling a fair catch then talking **** to the other teams gunners.

****, he might be a fit here.
Nah, he doesn't get flagged for 15-yard penalties like JG did, so not a good fit
 
It is pretty valid to say if a WR hasn't shown something in 2 years - especially a 5 star who shouldn't be a late bloomer and definitely wasn't considered a raw prospect coming out of HS - they are unlikely to have a dominant season in the future. However there are likely a lot more examples of College players not performing their first 2 seasons then breaking out in their 3rd than guys who breakout late in college and then end up being good/great NFL WRs....

In case some aren't aware, Analytic people generally do use age+production as a pretty big factor when it comes to drafting WRs.

The Metric is called Breakout Age. It's basically what exact age (at beginning of that season) did the WR achieve a >20% dominator rating. Dominator rating being how dominant was the WR in the teams receiving production share. You'd expect like a true #1 WR to receive around 35%+ of the teams Offensive receiving production.

So like to put the dominator rating in perspective this season Restrepo has 1,127 yards receiving, which was 25% of the teams receiving production. Last season he had 1092 yards which was 33% of our offensive production. That was his first time >20% dominator so that was his breakout season and his age at the start of the season was 21.36 year old. Jeremiah Smith had 1315 yards this season which was 31% of his teams production, and he was 18.75 years old to start this season. Breakout Age is one of the better predictive metrics for future NFL success.

To put Jeremiah Smiths breakout age into context:
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keep in mind this metric basically just says probabilities are higher you hit on a WR when they are very dominant younger.
 
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Two things can be true at the same time:

1. Innis hasn’t developed

2. There isn’t any shame playing behind Smith, Egbuka, and Tate. Those three WRs are first round picks with one of them a top 3 (Smith) and another a top 15 pick if he didn’t get hurt (Egbuka).
 
I think He’s just an average athlete at the college level. He was just hyped way too early for way too long.

In addition to that there’s been a case for several early 5 star players from south Florida who started playing highschool ball while only in the 8th grade yet careers faltered while in college Robert burns, don Chaney and Brandon innis. I’m sure there are more too
 
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