The pointspread didn’t move

[JgDaCane]

Hammer the over and thank me later. That’s not gambling. It’s investing.

I’ve been saying it all week Chise. Everyone loves the under, so take the over. I see a decent amount of turnovers resulting in short fields & a nice amount of explosive plays.

 

[Poptimus]

Great movement on the ML today and spread seems settled in at -7 for now with equal juice on both sides. O/U now down to 45.5 from 47 this morning. Dropping like a rock.

 

[streetja]

Vegas getting punished for not respecting the defenses.

 

[Hemsleysalmons]

Great movement on the ML today and spread seems settled in at -7 for now with equal juice on both sides. O/U now down to 45.5 from 47 this morning. Dropping like a rock. View attachment 94862

Low life gambler

 

[Poptimus]

Low life gambler

 

[TrueFloridian]

It'll be interesting to see what happens if and when Mullet announces the rumored suspensions tomorrow.

 

[For_The_U]

Low life gambler

You serious with this, bud? If so, GTFO!

 

[Novacane32000]

Hammer the over and thank me later. That’s not gambling. It’s investing.

No one knows for sure how this will play out but one stat that stands out for me is the lack of experience on the OL for both teams. There are 87 teams that have more OL starts than both of these teams combined.

Said another way, there is no game week 1 where the combined inexperience on the OL will be as great as this one.

With that said, FL has all their skill players coming back.

I like the under--but not touching this one.

 

[brcane1]

In Gator Tears theres a post by the Gata 247 guy saying that the public is all over Florida -7.5, but the big money is apparently keeping the line moving towards the good guys Miami. Anyone know what they're referencing?

In here:

Tears - Gator Tears

Their D line isn’t all they’re cracking it up to be, not even close

www.canesinsight.com

 

[WeBallinBoyz]

In Gator Tears theres a post by the Gata 247 guy saying that the public is all over Florida -7.5, but the big money is apparently keeping the line moving towards the good guys Miami. Anyone know what they're referencing?

In here:

Tears - Gator Tears

Their D line isn’t all they’re cracking it up to be, not even close

www.canesinsight.com

This basically means the public is on the favorite, aka a large percentage of total bets. However, those guys don’t normally bet large sums of money. The sharps, or “big money” guys, are the ones who pound lines they see value in. In this instance, big money is coming in on Miami +7.5 (already moving in Miami’s direction to +7) and the moneyline (to win straight up).

Essentially this is a good sign for Miami.

 

[brcane1]

This basically means the public is on the favorite, aka a large percentage of total bets. However, those guys don’t normally bet large sums of money. The sharps, or “big money” guys, are the ones who pound lines they see value in. In this instance, big money is coming in on Miami +7.5 (already moving in Miami’s direction to +7) and the moneyline (to win straight up).

Essentially this is a good sign for Miami.

Where is he getting the data from?

 

[IndayArtHauz]

 

[PittsburghCane]

Beat me to it

 

[For_The_U]

Nice read. Thanks, Inday. Love this:

"We got some sharp action on [Miami] plus-7.5," Salmons said. "The person who bet the dog, we gave him a decent-sized wager. It's someone we know and respect."

 

[Hurricane76]

just saw this with UF at -6.5. line moving?

 

[CAT5Coming]

Hammer the over and thank me later. That’s not gambling. It’s investing.

I'm investing heavily in the Miami Team Total OVER 20.5. Enos gets 3 TDs IMHO.

 

[The Franchise]

I'm investing heavily in the Miami Team Total OVER 20.5. Enos gets 3 TDs IMHO.

We might score 14 on turnovers and STs alone.

 

[JD08]

View attachment 94869

You serious with this, bud? If so, GTFO!

We can all enjoy a good laugh now because in 3 days, Helmet Salmon's taking over and heads will roll!!!!

 

[WeBallinBoyz]

Where is he getting the data from?

If you look at various Sportsbooks you can see the actual lines. I’ve been tracking over the past month and have seen movement at a lot of books trending in Miami’s favor. There’s also websites that track the movement of a game over a period of time.

I expect the line to drop to Miami +6.5 by the start of the game, maybe even +6 after suspensions are announced (assuming they’re true).

 

[Poptimus]

Where is he getting the data from?

He's getting from sites like www.sportsbookreview.com which is where I just took this screenshot:

This is interpreted as 58% of the public wagers are on Florida and 42% on Miami. But I've been told by people who worked offshore that it's bogus and if you want to read more about it, check this out it's old but it's still on point: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/1446081-public-betting-percentages.html