Some thoughts after the Cal rewatch

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We should run the table. But I don’t see a team on our schedule we can’t lose to if we play like we did in 6 of the last 8 quarters, 8 of the last 12. We just can’t keep self destructing like that. I don’t blame Hill for misplaying a route or Bell for getting beat in pass pro a few times a game. That happens. But the pre snap read failures, taking the bait on personal fouls and missed tackles have to get cleaned up. Our DBs literally panicked when Cal went into motion. WTF?

So despite having Cam Ward as our QB, the 2013 and 2017 comparisons are legit. This team is super flawed. Not just because we have mediocre talent at some positions. But also because we let inferior opponents outsmart, outscheme and outplay us.

I legitimately believe this team could beat anyone in the nation. We have a claim to the championship as much as anyone. I also believe it could lose to 50+ teams if it doesn’t get its **** together during this bye week.
 
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“We're not going to pull Rod Woodson and Bennie Blades off the street during the bye week, but the secondary play can improve from a mental standpoint.”

Rod Woodson???? Seriously?

You could’ve gone with:
Ed Reed
Sean Taylor
Darryl Williams
Philip Buchanon
Duane Starks
Ryan McNeil

Or about 20 other great Cane DBs

Rod Woodson? Smh.

Other than that, good write up.
 
Salute to the CanesInSight members we met in Berkeley. It was an amazing trip. Saturday was a marathon from 5 AM to past midnight, but everyone brought the energy.

The timing is perfect for a bye week. There's a lot to clean up. These last two weeks took a couple years off our lives, but I'll take that over what happened to Alabama, Tennessee, USC, Ole Miss and Michigan. They weren't as fortunate against unranked teams.

Six games in, I can understand the comparisons to 2013 and 2017. Those teams had a lot of NFL players, won close games, and ultimately got exposed. But they also had some unusual coaching dynamics. In 2013, D'Onofrio almost singlehandedly tanked the team. In 2017, Richt was still working with his son in a doomed situation. This 2024 team has a more professional staff. And it also has Cam Ward.

My thoughts on rewatch are below:

OFFENSE

- They weren't perfect, but the offense remains an elite group. The best mainstream stat is Yards Per Play against FBS opponents. Miami ranks first nationally at 8.1 yards per play. For reference, the next four teams are Alabama, Ole Miss, Ohio State and Texas. Miami is also tied with Ohio State for first in Scoring Offense against FBS opponents (46 PPG).

While much of the credit belongs to Cam, his Washington State team ranked 72nd nationally in yards per play (5.3) and 53rd in scoring (28.7). This is a complete group built around a special quarterback.

- Not much more needs to be said about Cam. He put up 452 total yards, 3 TDs and 1 TO against a solid, well-coached defense. He did have two really poor plays, with the coverage sack on the last drive of the half and the pick six. The relaxed confidence that gets him in trouble is also his greatest strength, so it's hard to coach that out of him. His heart rate is the same down 35-10 as it is on the opening kickoff.

Hopefully, Cam continues to cut down on the worst hero ball plays. Pat Mahomes is a great example of someone who matured in this area.

- The main topic with the offense is always the running game. Cal came out a little differently than prior opponents. They played the pass, dared us to run, and counted on Cam forcing a mistake. We did a good job running the ball early, especially with a relentless Mark Fletcher. The game flow changed when Cal started hitting explosive plays and got us more into a shootout mode.

- One way to juice up the running game: more Elija Lofton at fullback. He has a fullback body with the strength and toughness for collisions, but he can also make contested catches, run routes like a receiver, and carry the ball like a tailback. It's impossible to match up with a player like that. He's playing fullback already in short yardage, but we can add more to the package during the bye week.

Some might say that using a fullback is caveman football. But I see teams like the Ravens, Dolphins and 49ers using fullbacks consistently on Sundays, and those fullbacks aren't as versatile as Lofton. We'll be able to hit big plays off play action and get Damien Martinez running downhill in a more familiar style.

- When the game gets tough, Cam looks for three guys: Xavier Restrepo, Isaiah Horton, and Elijah Arroyo. These are the guys who worked on their bodies all offseason and consistently show up on Greentree. To me, the most underrated trait in a pass-catcher is play strength. This includes core strength, balance and strong hands. Just look at the top NFL receivers over the past couple years. All three of those guys are strong physically and mentally, and it shows up on money downs.

One play that jumped out early was the failed screen to Sam Brown with Jacolby George blocking. We got knocked back and took a loss. That play would look a lot different if we ran it with Restrepo and Horton. We'll need the whole group to win the ACC, and I'm hopeful we will see Brown and George come out of the bye week hungry. JoJo Trader will also put pressure for snaps.

- I can't wait until Jalen Rivers returns, but the internal perception on Markel Bell is different than what I see in the boards and social media. Yes, he's been beaten for sacks in each of the past two games. He'd be redshirting in a perfect world. But on many key plays, he's engulfing guys. His combination of length and movement is pretty rare, and the coaches trust him between the ears. These reps will benefit the team in the long run.

DEFENSE

- The story of this game was Cal hitting explosives. On paper, I loved the matchup for Miami because Cal struggled to generate chunk plays. But on Saturday, Cal hit four plays of 40+ yards. That's more than they had in the previous four games combined.

Miami now ranks 101st nationally in 40+ yard plays allowed. Some of that is secondary talent, but the bigger issue is eye discipline. Whether it was D'Yoni Hill biting on a fake tunnel screen or the entire defense losing Jaden Ott on fourth down, these are correctable mistakes. We have some very smart human beings in the secondary, and the bye week is a perfect opportunity for Guidry and the back end to tighten the screws.

- Miami hit on every item of their Portal wishlist except one: nickel back. That hole is hurting us now, especially with Damari Brown missing extended time.

- The 3rd and 15 screen from Cal felt like a replay from the USF game. I love how fast Jaden Harris plays, but those are two examples of him playing too fast. Both times, he flew right by the running back and allowed backbreaking plays. Harris is still relatively new to safety, and is a work in progress seeing the game from that spot.

- Simeon Barrow has been making an impact the past few weeks. Twitchy, aware and plays hard. He's already the best DT of the Mario era.

- On one hand, we have to give credit to the opponent. Virginia Tech and Cal were both highly motivated, aggressive, and a executed at high level. They played their best games of the season. But of course, Miami's defense was part of that. It won't get any easier with a desperate Louisville team playing at home. They have the offense we've faced this season.

- I was impressed with Fernando Mendoza. When we first wrote about him CanesInSight, he was a Yale commit with no FBS interest. I said he was a big-framed (6'5) kid that showed improved athleticism and FBS talent as a senior. He ended up at Cal, and continues to develop physically. He hit some big-boy throws in the first half against the blitz, and he even made Kiko Mauigoa and Rueben Bain whiff in space. We know he's a worker with an elite makup, so I expect him to continue to make meaningful gains over the next few years.

- This applies to both the offense and the defense, but there continues to be a lack of discipline with penalties. We had two brainless post-snap penalties and several big mistakes (facemask, hands to the face) before the whistle.

CONCLUSION

Through six games, we have an elite offense, an average defense, and very good special teams. Every game with a good opponent is shaping up to be a shootout. We're not going to pull Rod Woodson and Bennie Blades off the street during the bye week, but the secondary play can improve from a mental standpoint. We'll find out very early if anything has changed against Louisville. Until then, it feels good to be 6-0.

You think the play where Baron is covering the wr on screen and the safety on hash over the TE that points as he screams down in one Hill? I dont know the coverage but thats TOUGH..

 
I see people calling for more of Lofton by running more I formation. Not a terrible idea but you don't need to run the I to get him involved. You can throw him in as a FB or wing back out of the gun or pistol to do the same basic things. Would also like to see more of that incorporated.
Candy actually utilized that Pistol formation with a FB Saturday against Bama and caused them issues. Great idea!
 
Any feedback on when enough is enough with George? Bench his *** or suspend him. For those who will say the calls against him are weak, well that’s what happens when you are a ******* idiot for 4 years. The refs will key in on you every game. Or maybe Mario will grow some ****** balls and start holding guys accountable.
 
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The primary issue with the secondary is athletic talent and skill. The group is full of slow guys who aren’t good at football. You can’t fix that. The over in the rest of Miami’s games is an absolute lock because the tape is out.

I hope the Mendoza plug isn’t because Mario is considering bringing him in next year. He has clear limitations. That said, he’s an impressive, tough young man and his parents should be very proud.
 
One Saturday at a time. Most Canes fans continue to suffer from years of PTSD (rightfully so) but we have to agree although there's holes (talent issues) on this squad at certain positions, the mentality is much better. I use to get sick to my stomach watching us give up after a few punches. Now we're embracing the adversity and going out on our shield. That I can live with.
 
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I will disagree with you on one important point. The run game. We abandoned and did not exploit our ability to run. The gave us light boxes and we didn't exploit it EVERY THOUGH we had success running the ball

in our first possession, we had consecutive runs of 6, 3 and 6 followed by unsuccessful passing resulting in a pun

this pattern repeated itself during the game. even when down 2 scores we should have run it down their throat and we didn't. our success on offense in the fourth quarter was the result of fatigue on Cal's part. that fatigue would have evidenced itself even earlier if we had continued to run.

I don't think Dawson is comfortable running the ball consistently. he always reverts to throwing the ball.

a final benefit of run would have been to keep the Cal offense and our defense on the sidelines
 
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Well said @DMoney! I'm not going to complain about being 6-0 going into the bye week. I'm riding high until the wheels fall off.

My follow up questions are the following:
On offense - 1) we can't continue to rely on both George and Brown. Both players have similar games and make similar mistakes. Neither seem like smart, tough, accountable football players. Can we please give Jojo, Ray Ray or Carr some more burn?
2) Also, can we use a little tempo in the first half? Feels like Ward handles it really well and defenses are never prepared for us going fast.

On defense - 1) we can't add players at this point in the season but we can change our scheme. Do we need to utilize more zone? more man? what's the trend with all of these massive busts?
2) the lack of speed in the secondary is glaring. If we're giving up chunk plays with older, lesser athletes, might as well get the younger guys some burn? Stafford, R Washington, Zaquan Patterson, etc.
the trend? 1. bad tackling/missed tackles and 2. players out of position
 
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We need to feature Zay Horton! I believe he could be a 1,000 yard WR this year. Sam Brown and Jacolby Need to figure out if they want to play on the next level because their assertiveness is **** poor. Yes Zay has to catch that touchdown on the deep ball and I'm confident he will get that fixed but I love his energy and passion.
 
Agree w that. Emory probably wouldn’t make Kiko miss and escape from Bain and/or take off for 30+ but aside from that I think they both are smart game manager types with average arm talent at best.


*And yes, we all want someone closer to Cam’s level lol, but that type won’t be available unfortunately.
I have my eye on the kid from Tulane
 
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