I think I'd make the same choice as Rad for Basketball specifically. I said in an earlier comment about if you were choosing between two same total budgets why it could make sense to go for the cheaper cost and less experience option if it means spending more on NIL and thus better players. But if that option actually comes with a significantly increased budget, it significantly increases the probability of success. Because to me in basketball if you land say 2 studs, you're pretty ******* well set up to be good. Now we don't KNOW if the bigger budget could have been available with different coach which you can also make the point of...
But just if you have two specific options of
A: Experienced coach at say $X salary which is ~80% of your total coach budget, leaving the remaining 20% for assistants, and then a $4M hard limit on NIL
vs
B: Inexperienced, yet highly regarded in recruiting, and with a pretty great resume as far as assistant coaching is concerned at maybe 50% of your total coach budget, leaving you 50% to get far better assistants WITH experience, and an increase to $8M NIL budget regardless of the coach spend...
I'm personally going to pick Choice B almost every time when it comes to Basketball AND this SPECIFIC coach scenario, because Lucas seems to be a pretty high quality choice given he doens't have HC experience.
I think with baseball it is definitely different because A) I doubt we increased the NIL budget so much with JD choice specifically. And B) JD already was proving pretty bad as an assistant here from what I can tell (though I don't follow baseball really). But like its not like people even on here were looking at JD and going this is a great assistant... Whereas with Lucas I think most people would be like this guy is a good assistant and was in line for a HC job at a solid program, just maybe not likely to go right to a top ACC level (which we hope to be). JD had likely zero shot of being a HC at any even Medium level I'd assume, AND we are far better historically at Baseball than Basketball even if you heavily weight the recent Basketball success. So without a VERY signifcant increase in NIL it's clear that JDs probably going to fail. Now it also does seem like we have been actively invest in actual technology for baseball, so maybe its also possible this is about the worst it'll be, because once we get all this new technology maybe that investment will then switch to NIL... idk. But to me JD is a proven mediocre coach and choosing him didn't likely lead to a significant enough increase in NIL, as compared to Lucas who seems like a good yet inexperienced coach who is being given a significant investment increase...