RandomWalk did in fact jump on the Gruden bandwagon late in the game. It took him some time but right before the supposed meeting in Tampa, he started agreeing that it was a done deal. That whole mess got EVERYONE wrong.
Anyway, Random I believe does have sources, and he's a lot more reliable than some of these gurus out there, but it doesn't mean he ultimately knows for sure where a kid decides to go. Hopefully this is one of those times he's wrong.
Bakas did say Howard wasn't even being recruited back in Dec'11/Jan '12, and that Miami had no shot. Silly *** Bakas.