Playoff saving FG?

[Ryanmilli]

For me this falls into the reasonable minds can differ category and not the egregious error category. The odds of converting one play from the 10 yard-line are about 14% according to the tables. So very low likelihood of converting and you still need that miracle stop somewhere in there. With no margin for error given our putrid defense, the fumble and personal foul are what killed us.

 

[Canaanite]

It’s never the right choice to kick a FG right there. You went from needing a TD to… still needing a ******* TD. If you go for it and don’t get get it, you’re still in the same position you were in if you kick it. You need a stop. But if you don’t get it, they have worse field position and you still need a stop.

You're not wrong but it's deeper than just score a td and get a stop, there's strategy involved. As i said in a previous post if you do get that td on 4th & Goal, Syracuse is surely marching straight downfield with their timeouts & full passing game playbook to score & win so it's moot. Up until the last drive we had been bottling up their rushing game So why not remove the passing threat & make them one dimensional?

If you don't score the td, Yes they're backed up on 10yd line but again the D still needs to stop them. They're also cornered in a sense, so they're more likely to put the ball in the air and get a big play against our secondary. But let's say we do get a stop here, now the O is only in position to tie with a td, not win.

By kicking a fg you take care of several worries.. Syracuse isn't pinned deep so they'll likely just try to run the clock out instead of pass, The D had held Syracuse to about 65yds So I'm betting on my rushing D vs pass D, and when they get a stop my offense is coming downfield to WIN the game not just tie.

But again every scenario is predicated on the D getting a critical stop, at which they failed miserably.

 

[jtwist89]

Ahhhhhhh Mario outsmarted us all. Touche'

 

[Atom Atlas]

Is it possible the FG, sketchy at the time, prolongs our season? Let’s be real, chances of scoring from 10-yd line weren’t high. If we fail, D would have melted like butter and Syracuse would have marched down the field for an easy TD. So, we would have lost 49-35 instead of a more respectable 42-38.
If SMU beats Clemson this might matter.
We have two losses, both on the road, by total of 9 points.
Syracuse is 9-3. GT 7-5 after losing at UGA in 8 OTs.
It appears top contenders for playoff spot, assuming Lashlee and Co take care of Clemson, are 3-time losers Alabama, Mississippi and South Carolina.
Bama losses include Vandy, Tenn and 24-3 to Oklahoma (6-6). Loss total by 33 points vs Miami’s 9.
Mississippi losses to LSU, Kentucky (4-8 record) and Florida - a Miami rout. Loss total by 13 points.
South Carolina losses to LSU, Mississippi (27-3 rout) and Alabama. Loss total by 29 points vs Miami’s 9 in two losses.
Again, if Clemson wins ACC title game none of this matters. And yes, Miami’s defense would get lit up by whoever it faced in the playoffs.
But the questionable FG may help make our case.

 

[Astcloud11]

lol clemsons only losses are to SEC schools so that's as good as 2 wins... even if clemson loses to SMU clemson would get a playoff spot before us.

Clemson loss to UL.