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- Dec 28, 2016
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- 11,352
So 7/2 Flo said we'd be at 18-19 commits by mid-August. By my count we're at 18 now, so that's a 'hit' - wouldn't count it against him if somehow de-commits brought the # below his prediction. Though as often is the case, not exactly out on a limb with the 'prediction'.
Flo's statement that we'll add 10 more to the class (7/4) when we were at 15 - should that be a prediction? So we're saying we'll take 25 in the class. Isn't that something we expect to do?
What if we sign 2 more in the next month? Isn't that a miss (after all, 20 is not 18-19).
If you are prepared to make that a hit (or even push), then we are in the world of "we're going to get some rain this July" type predictions. Consider that we're a month away from mid-August, and 16 of the schools in the 247 Top 25 already have at least 18 kids committed. On the other "prediction," without any limit on ICs for the 2024 class, I'd bet a super-majority of P5 schools sign "at least 25" in the class. That's not a prediction, it's common sense based on the rules and numbers.