For the last three years, I've watched every interview Mario has conducted and listened intently on what he's said.
What's stuck out to me is two things, and I'll elaborate on both and why it's a bad sign coming from a head coach:
- The repetitive nature of what he's said
- The theory that brute force and work are the key to success
On topic one, after losses and bad games, he goes back to the same lines:
- "We'll watch tape and re-evaluate what happened and clean things up."
- "There's no if's and's or but's. We got our teeth kicked in and it hurts."
- "We're going back to the grind on Greentree this week and are going to work our butts off."
- "There's no catchy slogans, nothing to put on a t-shirt, no tweets about it... it's all about work"
Why is this worrying? He's clearly a man that view's Saban's systematic approach as the holy grail in coaching. Systems are only good if a positive end result is consistently obtained. The issue with Mario is that he's got a flawed system in place regarding in-game coaching, watching tape from previous losses, and disciplining his team on in-game penalties. His "system" is the only thing that has somewhat changed the culture of the team... there's a process in place for everything. Unfortunately, the process is well-defined but not geared towards success, hence why we can't get over the hump on winning important games against "lesser skilled" teams. Mario's system is also rigid - when something happens outside of the expected scope or plans, the team fails or struggles to respond. We can all see these moments in games. Lastly, system's depend on the people in place. Saban's ground and pound football and his system worked for years because of the personnel in his program... we aren't blessed with the depth and talent across the roster of Saban's teams. This strategy was like fitting a square peg into a round hole.
On topic two, we consistently hear that the key to success is to outwork everyone.
Why is this an issue? Efficiency. If hard work was the only criterion needed for success, we'd see more 170 lb players in the NFL and people who failed fourth grade math end up graduating from MIT with a PhD. This thought process consistently ignores the idea of working smarter, not just harder. With everything you do in life, there's an optimal way to learn and improve. Mario's mentality of doing more or working harder ignores this principal and removes strategy & optimality from the equation. Watching five hours of film per day doesn't mean you're better than watching someone who watches two hours if it's garbage film, and you're not making correlations from what happened to how to respond.
Miami has consistently found different ways to lose in the last few years: this is a function of the inability of Mario's system to adjust on the fly, and improve over time.
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results - that's where we are. The whole approach to gameday needs to change and reflect a higher level of flexibility and intelligence. Hopefully Mario's hires can bring this, because he can't.