Exactly. I don't think you're that far apart either. My point is, I don't think Miami's chance was on the same plane as everyone else's chance for JS. It's the same on the opposite end of the spectrum as Duke Johnson for example. Kid was wanted by everyone but wanted to be a Cane because that was his team and nothing was going to change his mind. It wasn't a fair playing field for the other schools involved but that's recruiting.
I think what starts to sway the situation is when we start hearing things like "They like where they're at with _______" And we tend to get a sense that things are trending a certain way and then the kid spurns the program anyways despite the objective evidence. If JS were a 2023 recruit, it would make sense, see Brandon Innis' recruitment. But what JS has "said" he wants to see from Miami is there with the exception of the GT debacle. What's fascinating to me about recruiting is trying to pitch a logical situation to a being (16-18 year old athletes) that is, typically, non-logical by default. I know I sure as **** was not logical at 17 years old.