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- Dec 22, 2011
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@TheOriginalCane I noticed you disagreed with my post that Mendoza is a heck of a step down from Mateer. I'm genuinely interested in your opinion. What I see is a guy with little mobility, an average arm, and while he has plus processing, it's not elite. I see a game manager. What am I missing?
I have no idea what you are seeing. Mendoza has mobility and a **** good arm. I saw it in person, I saw it up close. And his processing is great. You want to watch a couple of 2 minute highlight reels, knock yourself out. The reality is that if Cal had a decent kicker, they could be a 10-win team.
Lost to F$U by 5 - missed 2 FGs
Lost to Miami by 1
Lost to Pitt by 2 - missed 1 FG (missed two 2-pt. conversions)
Lost to NC State by 1 - missed 1 FG
Lost to Syracuse by 8 - missed 1 FG
The only game in which Cal was blown out was the last game against SMU. They definitely win 3 more games, possibly the Miami game, and are within a TD of beating Syracuse, if only they had a kicker.
Mendoza enrolled at Cal in 2022. He played in 2023 against Pac 12 competition, 7 conference games and a bowl game. His first 4 games against Pac 12 competition were all against ranked teams (Cal lost all four) and Cal scored 40 points or more in two of those games. His only horrible game was against #6 Oregon.
Then, in 2024, he plays nearly the entire season as the starter and does pretty well against ACC competition, throwing for over 3,000 yards.
Now, you compare that to Mateer, who also enrolled in 2022, but has really only played in 2024. So he has 1 less year of playing time, and while he looked great, he was not playing Pac-12 or ACC opponents. Again, Mateer is the better runner and he has a stronger arm, but they produced similar stats.
Mendoza 2024 - 68.7% accuracy, 3,000 yards, 16 TDs, 6 INTs, 41 sacks
Mateer 2024 - 64.6% accuracy, 3,100 yards, 29 TDs, 7 INTs, 31 sacks
Mendoza did what he did with a sub-par OL and WRs (GREAT running back) and was a defective kicker from taking his team to a 9 or 10 win season in a P4 conference.
Mateer did what he did with a number of OLs and WRs who are good enough to Portal out of Washington State, while getting 2 more wins than Mendoza got for Cal, but against lesser non-P4 competition.
In spite of all that, my preference was for Mateer. He chose to be a people-pleaser and go to a school with a worse team than Miami and worse prospects in the Portal in order to make his family and his former coaches happy. OK, that's his choice. But I do not see some sort of huge drop-off from Mateer to Mendoza. Could Mateer have two amazing years after this, and Mendoza not do as well? Anything is possible. But with Mendoza I see a guy who has consistently played ranked P4 opponents and done well. One of Mateer's worst games was against WSU's only ranked opponent, Boise.
The problem with Miami fans is that they'll allow guys like Ward or Mateer to outplay their HS rankings, but not Mendoza (plus, Mendoza gets docked for the name of his HS alma mater). Mendoza has put up pretty good results in 2 years for one of the worst Pac-12/ACC schools.
Watch Mateer play in person. He has some of those same "I'm not a physical specimen" deceptive traits that Ken Dorsey had. He's smart. He escapes quite a bit. He hits guys with accuracy (even though he hasn't had a very good WR corps).
Cam Ward has a cannon for an arm, and I watched him miss a bunch of easy, short, wide-open passes this year. Traits are great, if you can make them work for you. Give me a guy pushing 70% accuracy with the speed of Miami WRs and RBs and I guarantee we have a ****-ton of YAC.
And as for running, we don't need a ton of rushing yards from our QB, we just need a decent threat. Cam didn't have a lot of rushing yards, and we have some very good RBs. WSU was not so blessed with great RBs in 2024.
Mendoza is NOT such a huge drop-off from Mateer, at least at this current time.
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