Yeah, good luck to UCLA for getting out of the red when the deficit is getting bigger. They have much bigger issues than they thought, this deal just isn't the panacea they convinced themselves it would be. And OSU is losing money, despite a championship year, with a playoff that gave them an extra sell out at home.I normally don’t chime in on this albatross of a thread, but when certain statements r made, I have to correct them.
1. UCLA’s main goal for joining the B1G was the huge deficit they were left w/ due to Covid, Under Armour reneging on its endorsement, & the **** poor PAC-12 contract. It was a perfect crescendo. They will be out of the red in approx. 2-3 yrs.
2. OSU’s #’s r a bit fudged, & some of those #’s r based upon fewer home games during the 2023-4 season vs. the 2022-23 season. I’m sure that $37m will be completely absolved once the #’s come in for the 2024-5 season.
OSU, TAMU, UT, Bama, & UofM r by far the most profitable ADs.
So to ur point, competitive with the ACC? Sure; but, competitive with the bigger programs in said conferences? It’s going to get much more difficult, especially when different escalators hit, & these pYearograms can continue to reinvest in themselves generating more revenue opportunities outside of media rights deals.
Yeah, good luck to UCLA for getting out of the red when the deficit is getting bigger. They have much bigger issues than they thought, this deal just isn't the panacea they convinced themselves it would be. And OSU is losing money, despite a championship year, with a playoff that gave them an extra sell out at home.
Your overall point is valid, but just FYI ticket revenues for CFP went to the CFP. Schools got parking and concessions. And they got paid by the CFP for each round of course.Yeah, good luck to UCLA for getting out of the red when the deficit is getting bigger. They have much bigger issues than they thought, this deal just isn't the panacea they convinced themselves it would be. And OSU is losing money, despite a championship year, with a playoff that gave them an extra sell out at home.
If you believe that the championship playoff criteria aren't dramatically changing initiating with the 2026 season .. don't know what to tell you. The ACC and B12 will have very limited access to the CFP while the P2 will have AT LEAST 4 auto bids. And that is for starters. ACC will be lucky to continue with ONE.Eh, easier path to the playoffs certainty. ACC was two plays away from having three bids this year.
I'm reading the articles to heavily imply that revenue will increase. Tbd
Your predictions are quite believable and probably end up as you state.Bottom line by staying IN the ACC we are guaranteed
-to earn considerable LESS revenue annually than the Big 10 and SEC even with the incremental bonus payout
for a). record / winning and b). Viewership (brand strength).
-the P2 conferences are pushing for 4 auto bids each ... and they have actual contractual control of CFP structure from
2026 for the term of the agreement (7 years?).
-The P2 will be getting significantly more nationally broadcast games than the ACC and that pushes FUTURE revenue more
and is a huge recruiting plus. It is going to be much more difficult to attract elite recruits to non P2 conferences.
Miami needs to be out of the ACC as soon as possible. Will that be 2030 or is it possible it can be accomplished sooner? ESPN controls ... everything.
Nope.If you believe that the championship playoff criteria aren't dramatically changing initiating with the 2026 season .. don't know what to tell you. The ACC and B12 will have very limited access to the CFP while the P2 will have AT LEAST 4 auto bids. And that is for starters. ACC will be lucky to continue with ONE.
Excellent work. Very tight writing.I have started a Substack and have written my first substantive article on the ESPN/ACC deal and its implications. Give it a read here: https://srizzo.substack.com/p/espn-picks-up-option-on-acc-deal
Forgive me for not knowing where things stand in here as I don’t read this thread religiously. So after all of the back and forth, were you ultimately the winner in the argument that we aren’t getting out of the ACC and are stuck until 2036 or whatever the date was?Nope.
I think it's easier for miami to get one of 1-2-3 acc than 3-4 sec or big 10 bids, Indiana this year notwithstanding