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All I needed to know.
All I needed to know.
But it’s not up to the other schools (whether to allow those 4 schools to leave). It is up to ESPN, due to the GOR.@RVACane this should be in conference mega thread too.
Pretty sure I've already said this but Realistically, By far The best thing the ACC can do to save itself is come to a buyout agreement with Miami, FSU, Clemson, UNC and Notre Dame to pay $100M each (except ND, since they aren't in football) to leave the conference next year and try to keep the rest of the schools from jumping to the B12.
IF they agree to this buyout, they can have the remaining schools commit to remaining for another 4-5 years (replacing the 13yr GOR). Doing this would NET each school remaining in the ACC an additional $10M/yr for the next 4 years of the GOR (Miami/FSU/UNC/Clemson paying $400M to the remaining 10 left overs to leave early). Their media deal would get cut, but they may stay alive. And worst case scenario if the conference does explode before 4 years they are getting a 40M payout each from the top 4 schools who were leaving anyways. Then the next 4 schools can just leave to the B12.... And if they want to leave early they can pay like $50M and sacrifice that $10M/yr buyout they were going to receive)
Rad: Here's my counter offer.@RVACane this should be in conference mega thread too.
Pretty sure I've already said this but Realistically, By far The best thing the ACC can do to save itself is come to a buyout agreement with Miami, FSU, Clemson, UNC and Notre Dame to pay $100M each (except ND, since they aren't in football) to leave the conference next year and try to keep the rest of the schools from jumping to the B12.
IF they agree to this buyout, they can have the remaining schools commit to remaining for another 4-5 years (replacing the 13yr GOR). Doing this would NET each school remaining in the ACC an additional $10M/yr for the next 4 years of the GOR (Miami/FSU/UNC/Clemson paying $400M to the remaining 10 left overs to leave early). Their media deal would get cut, but they may stay alive. And worst case scenario if the conference does explode before 4 years they are getting a 40M payout each from the top 4 schools who were leaving anyways. Then the next 4 schools can just leave to the B12.... And if they want to leave early they can pay like $50M and sacrifice that $10M/yr buyout they were going to receive)
Rad: Here's my counter offer.
Takes out a blank slip of paper. Draws a large ZERO on it. Slides it back to ACC.
The "conference" can't do what you propose. ESPN has a GOR for all ACC programs and as long as there is a conference any program that leaves the conference, in addition to having to pay an ACC exit penalty, the programs media rights still are retained by the ACC (and ESPN) until the 1936 termination date. The only way to get out of the GOR without ESPN's agreement is to dissolve the conference ... and that appears to be the most realistic course of action and the reason that the "magnificent seven" and several other programs are actively in discussions with the Big 10, SEC, and Big 12 regarding switching conferences. The ACC has no leadership, has no strength based on the few members who are not committed to exiting, and the ACC is therefore on borrowed time.@RVACane this should be in conference mega thread too.
Pretty sure I've already said this but Realistically, By far The best thing the ACC can do to save itself is come to a buyout agreement with Miami, FSU, Clemson, UNC and Notre Dame to pay $100M each (except ND, since they aren't in football) to leave the conference next year and try to keep the rest of the schools from jumping to the B12.
IF they agree to this buyout, they can have the remaining schools commit to remaining for another 4-5 years (replacing the 13yr GOR). Doing this would NET each school remaining in the ACC an additional $10M/yr for the next 4 years of the GOR (Miami/FSU/UNC/Clemson paying $400M to the remaining 10 left overs to leave early). Their media deal would get cut, but they may stay alive. And worst case scenario if the conference does explode before 4 years they are getting a 40M payout each from the top 4 schools who were leaving anyways. Then the next 4 schools can just leave to the B12.... And if they want to leave early they can pay like $50M and sacrifice that $10M/yr buyout they were going to receive)
I say announced with 6-8 months and with new conference for start of the 2024 season…maybe 2025 season in worse case scenario. Only reason 2024 wouldn’t happen is due to scheduling conflicts with the new conference, that stuff takes time to work out.I’d say it gets formally announced within 12-18 months, and the move happens sometime post 2026. Just a general assumption, not sure if it’ll follow a Texas/OU esque timeline but it’s plausible.
Except...
This isn't what really happened.
The "makeup of the student body" was just a cover story.
The SEC came to Miami and gave us 48 hours to make a decision (because South Carolina was DYING to be next-up), and Tad could not get the Board of Trustees to convene and make a decision in that short of a timespan.
It was that simple. The SEC treated us like we could just jump and get an approval in 48 hours. SINCE THAT TIME, every conference will spend MUCH MORE LEAD-TIME working out membership details with prospective members. BUT AT THAT TIME, the SEC really ****ed Miami up with that 48-hour turnaround. Whereas, South Carolina would have sucked a bag of ****s AND two bags of balls for an SEC bid.
NO PAUSE.
Sad, but true.
OCC, meant to follow up on this yesterday ...
But, if provided an appropriate amount of time to evaluate the decision, would've Foote and the BoT actually approved a move to the SEC?
It's easy for those in charge to claim in hindsight circumstances beyond their control led to a decision second-guessed by us Monday Morning QB's.
But ... dust off the time machine and go back to 1990 — and the reality is the SEC held nowhere near the towering stature or economic might it does now and Miami (much like today) would've been something of a square peg in a round hole in a decidedly "Dixie" conference.
If the president, the board and the athletic director had come to the conclusion in 1990 that, "Miami is better off going to the Big East than the SEC" ... would they even have been wrong?
Incorrect, that’s not the reason they didn’t do it. The main reason was that the networks that they have their TV deal with we’re not willing to pay them more money for the extra value of another conference game so they don’t know value putting one on when they weren’t gonna get more money per game for it at least at the moment.I say announced with 6-8 months and with new conference for start of the 2024 season…maybe 2025 season in worse case scenario. Only reason 2024 wouldn’t happen is due to scheduling conflicts with the new conference, that stuff takes time to work out.
IMO there’s a good reason why the SEC only committed to a 1 year scheduling model in 2024….no need to waste time with a several years long scheduling model when they know they’ll be adding a few more teams when the ACC dissolves.
Here is my honest opinion.
AT THE TIME, the SEC did not have as dominant a position over all other conferences. The ACC was respected. The Big East was great at hoops. We are talking about 1990-ish.
I believe that AT THE TIME, we were just coming off of playing Florida ANNUALLY since the 1930s. The final two games were my freshman/sophomore years of 1986 and 1987. I BELIEVE that restoring the annual Florida game AT THE TIME would have been a powerful attribute for the SEC membership, though the money was not as massive then as it is today.
AT THE TIME, the ACC was very squirelly. The ACC had EVERY OPPORTUNITY to invite Miami to pair up with F$U, and they did not do so with any vigor. So I feel like the ACC would NOT have been a serious choice in 1990.
Therefore, the only true "other option" was the Big East. So if you compare the SEC WITH FLORIDA, as an all-sports conference, to the Big East WITHOUT F$U, as a weird amalgamation of football-only and basketball-only and all-sports members...and with our CLOSEST Big East opponent being in Blacksburg, VA...I think it is very likely that we would have chosen the SEC at that particular time, even though it was not nearly as obvious in 1990 as it is in 2023.
Remember, the SEC had pretty much locked in on Arkansas (due to the weird problems of the Big 8 and the Southwest Conference), so the "take" of either Miami or South Carolina represented the only addition of a "major independent". Let that sink in for a minute. You know why? Because that should give you an idea of how lightly-regarded F$U was AS AN ADDITION in 1990. A lot of people TODAY tend to think that F$U is so huge, or that "winning football games" is the key to getting into a major conference, but the SEC didn't even have F$U in their Top 3, they had Arkansas, Miami, and South Carolina ahead of F$U. Which also means that the SEC felt pretty comfortable with University of Flagship carrying the state above the I-4 corridor and saw Miami as the key to locking down the state below the I-4 corridor.
And as a student at UM at the time...if you talked to the students from Lawn Guyland...they liked the Big East. But any UM students from Florida were all about the SEC membership.
Never forget - Arkansas was DESPERATE to join the SEC due to the SWC beginning to fall apart and/or merging with the Big 8. So they were ready to give an answer to the SEC in 5 minutes. And South Carolina was DESPERATE because the ACC and Big East didn't even want them, so they were ready to give an answer to the SEC in 5 minutes.
The only school that really had more than one serious suitor in 1990 was Miami. While "winning games" was not the sole issue, WINNING CHAMPIONSHIPS was. And Miami had just won 3 football championships and 2 baseball championships in the 1980s.
So we were scorching hot at the time. And in a huge TV market.
Missed opportunity, though. The SEC had all the leverage, even then, and didn't give Arkansas, Miami, or South Carolina the level of backdoor communications that they do today, such as with the Texas/Oklahoma deal.
The only thing I'd quibble with is the notion we (and USC-East as well) were in front of the semenholes in the SEC's pecking order.
From the media accounts I've seen, FSU was first in line — if only because the Noles had been banging on the SEC's door since the 1950's and they were much more of a cultural fit for the SEC than we were.
It also makes sense that Roy Kramer's "you've got 48 hours to be in or out" deadline was a direct response to getting ****ed around by Bowden and FSU's president.
I don't know what "media accounts" you've read about F$U, but "banging on the SEC's door since the 1950s" doesn't mean **** if the interest isn't reciprocal. And if it was such a "cultural fit" and F$U was the #1 pick, and F$U lusted after the SEC for over 3 decades...then why did they NOT go with the SEC?
The answer is simple, F$U never was invited to join the SEC. Three other schools were invited. But not F$U.
I hold the same position, and I'll add this: South Carolina wasn't a super powerful independent by any means. They foolishly left the ACC in '70, and were basically wandering for two decades. They needed the $EC a lot more than the $EC needed them.Here is my honest opinion.
AT THE TIME, the SEC did not have as dominant a position over all other conferences. The ACC was respected. The Big East was great at hoops. We are talking about 1990-ish.
I believe that AT THE TIME, we were just coming off of playing Florida ANNUALLY since the 1930s. The final two games were my freshman/sophomore years of 1986 and 1987. I BELIEVE that restoring the annual Florida game AT THE TIME would have been a powerful attribute for the SEC membership, though the money was not as massive then as it is today. THIS UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA ELEMENT CANNOT BE UNDERESTIMATED, REGARDLESS OF "DIXIE".
AT THE TIME, the ACC was very squirelly. The ACC had EVERY OPPORTUNITY to invite Miami to pair up with F$U, and they did not do so with any vigor. So I feel like the ACC would NOT have been a serious choice in 1990.
Therefore, the only true "other option" was the Big East. So if you compare the SEC WITH FLORIDA, as an all-sports conference, to the Big East WITHOUT F$U, as a weird amalgamation of football-only and basketball-only and all-sports members...and with our CLOSEST Big East opponent being in Blacksburg, VA...I think it is very likely that we would have chosen the SEC at that particular time, even though it was not nearly as obvious in 1990 as it is in 2023. Keep in mind that our biggest expense in the Big East was TRAVEL COSTS (think about baseball and all the other non-revenue sports).
Remember, the SEC had pretty much locked in on Arkansas (due to the weird problems of the Big 8 and the Southwest Conference), so the "take" of either Miami or South Carolina represented the only addition of a "major independent". Let that sink in for a minute. You know why? Because that should give you an idea of how lightly-regarded F$U was AS AN ADDITION in 1990. A lot of people TODAY tend to think that F$U is so huge, or that "winning football games" is the key to getting into a major conference, but the SEC didn't even have F$U in their Top 3, they had Arkansas, Miami, and South Carolina ahead of F$U. Which also means that the SEC felt pretty comfortable with University of Flagship carrying the state above the I-4 corridor and saw Miami as the key to locking down the state below the I-4 corridor.
And as a student at UM at the time...if you talked to the students from Lawn Guyland...they liked the Big East. But any UM students from Florida were all about the SEC membership.
Never forget - Arkansas was DESPERATE to join the SEC due to the SWC beginning to fall apart and/or merging with the Big 8. So they were ready to give an answer to the SEC in 5 minutes. And South Carolina was DESPERATE because the ACC and Big East didn't even want them, so they were ready to give an answer to the SEC in 5 minutes.
The only school that really had more than one serious suitor in 1990 was Miami. While "winning games" was not the sole issue, WINNING CHAMPIONSHIPS was. And Miami had just won 3 football championships and 2 baseball championships in the 1980s.
So we were scorching hot at the time. And in a huge TV market.
Missed opportunity, though. The SEC had all the leverage, even then, and didn't give Arkansas, Miami, or South Carolina the level of backdoor communications that they do today, such as with the Texas/Oklahoma deal.
Here is a fairly long account from the Jax papers.
TL/DR version: Pretty much everyone assumed FSU was gonna join the SEC along with Arkansas in time for the '91 season. SEC office took that outcome for granted, while the ACC leadership made a hard back-door push and convinced both FSU's AD and Bowden their conference offered a better path. The SEC commissioner — who assumed the Noles were a done deal for No. 12 — got wind of FSU's dealings with the ACC and told the school to kick rocks.
Not trying to change anyone's mind. Just passing along some articles on the subject
I hold the same position, and I'll add this: South Carolina wasn't a super powerful independent by any means. They foolishly left the ACC in '70, and were basically wandering for two decades. They needed the $EC a lot more than the $EC needed them.
Arkansas is a more complicated case. They were a top-3 athletic program in the SWC (a conference for which I have an affinity), but were forever playing third fiddle to Texas and aTm. That was never going to change. They were also the only geographically non-Texas school (although yuuuuuge amounts of their students and $$ are from Texas). Once the writing was on the wall that the SWC was all but finished, it made Arky's move even easier.
TLDR, there was nothing to think about for South Carolina, and, while Arky had something to consider, it was still less to weigh than Miami.
pretty decent idea. Problem is if these other schools have a spot in the B1G or SEC, they stand better to hold off and jump when/if the conference dissolves.@RVACane this should be in conference mega thread too.
Pretty sure I've already said this but Realistically, By far The best thing the ACC can do to save itself is come to a buyout agreement with Miami, FSU, Clemson, UNC and Notre Dame to pay $100M each (except ND, since they aren't in football) to leave the conference next year and try to keep the rest of the schools from jumping to the B12.
IF they agree to this buyout, they can have the remaining schools commit to remaining for another 4-5 years (replacing the 13yr GOR). Doing this would NET each school remaining in the ACC an additional $10M/yr for the next 4 years of the GOR (Miami/FSU/UNC/Clemson paying $400M to the remaining 10 left overs to leave early). Their media deal would get cut, but they may stay alive. And worst case scenario if the conference does explode before 4 years they are getting a 40M payout each from the top 4 schools who were leaving anyways. Then the next 4 schools can just leave to the B12.... And if they want to leave early they can pay like $50M and sacrifice that $10M/yr buyout they were going to receive)
No, The conference members can dissolve the GOR. The media deal and GOR are entirely separate.But it’s not up to the other schools (whether to allow those 4 schools to leave). It is up to ESPN, due to the GOR.
ESPN would have to be the party to be paid off. That is actually an interesting angle, because it is probably fairly easy to calculate the buyout. Due to the length of the GOR, it is almost certainly going to be too expensive to pull off.