Betting Season

IMG_0967.png

I do one of these every week to go along with my other bets. I hit 2 last season. ******* Nevada blew it for me on their last 2 drives.
 
Advertisement
poffenbarger tried to **** this up as best as he could last night, thank god Mario sent the FG unit in and our savior abram Murray made the fg to cover

1725821184357.png




what are you guys thinking of this one:

Alabama (-16) to cover vs wisky (TVD is their QB - nuff said)
LSU (-8) vs USCe - i don't like brian kelly but they just played sloppy - he'll have them ready
BC (+16.5) against Missouri (is bill o brien gonna lose by 3 scores to a Missouri team who's played nobody?)
Miami (-36) to cover against Ball state

Miami covering probably the riskiest one

250 on that ^ wins $3320 on draft kings
 
poffenbarger tried to **** this up as best as he could last night, thank god Mario sent the FG unit in and our savior abram Murray made the fg to cover

View attachment 302273



what are you guys thinking of this one:

Alabama (-16) to cover vs wisky (TVD is their QB - nuff said)
LSU (-8) vs USCe - i don't like brian kelly but they just played sloppy - he'll have them ready
BC (+16.5) against Missouri (is bill o brien gonna lose by 3 scores to a Missouri team who's played nobody?)
Miami (-36) to cover against Ball state

Miami covering probably the riskiest one

250 on that ^ wins $3320 on draft kings
The risky one is BC.

Bill Obrien aint playing defense and i think BC secondary could be had. Mizzou has fire power on o.

It s not that bad of a parlay though
 
Advertisement
Advertisement
poffenbarger tried to **** this up as best as he could last night, thank god Mario sent the FG unit in and our savior abram Murray made the fg to cover

View attachment 302273



what are you guys thinking of this one:

Alabama (-16) to cover vs wisky (TVD is their QB - nuff said)
LSU (-8) vs USCe - i don't like brian kelly but they just played sloppy - he'll have them ready
BC (+16.5) against Missouri (is bill o brien gonna lose by 3 scores to a Missouri team who's played nobody?)
Miami (-36) to cover against Ball state

Miami covering probably the riskiest one

250 on that ^ wins $3320 on draft kings
I like your thinking on this^^ minus BC on Missouri and maybe flip it to Oregon St cover vs Oregon.
 
Almost had Cincinnati over Pitt too lol
You are doing great man. I had a monster 4 parlay on your upsets but I also took a 3 round robin off it and that one hit. I tend to make small individual game bets too so 3 of those 4 hit. Anyone who can pick upsets at even 50/50 is amazing in my book. You’re running hotter than that. Thank you!
 

Attachments

  • IMG_9313.jpeg
    IMG_9313.jpeg
    218 KB · Views: 0
Hit Rate for our secret weapon:

HIT - TEXAS
HIT - OK ST
HIT - SYRACUSE (Upset)
HIT - IOWA STATE (Upset)
HIT - ILLINOIS (Upset)
HIT - MEMPHIS
HIT - TEXAS ST
HIT - UVA (By 1 point!)
HIT - TENNESSEE
HIT - NORTH TEXAS
HIT - OKLAHOMA


MISS- BAYLOR (Upset)
MISS - SMU
MISS - MISS STATE
MISS - CINCINNATTI (By 1 point!)
MISS - FAU
MISS - MARYLAND (By 3 points)
MISS - OLD DOMINION
MISS - SOUTH ALABAMA
MISS - COLORADO
MISS - TEXAS TECH

So hits 11, misses 10. Some close ones too. But my evolving theory is this:

- Exceptional hit rate on Upsets (both last week and this week)
- Can be clouded by emotion if he hates a team (he confirms! watch out when he picks against GA, Ohio State, MI...lol)
- Seems to have a lot of respect for Texas teams and follows them closely, but may be overvaluing SMU and Baylor on past performance
- Does very well on the 2nd tier games where the average fan won't know 1/10 of what he knows about a team - you see him in there talking about Memphis and North Texas etc, those are gold over the course of a season

This is a lot of fun :)
 
Advertisement
Kansas ST
Kansas
FSU
Ole Miss
Texas
USF
TCU
Bama
OK ST
LSU
Michigan
Illinois
NC ST
Cincinnati
North Texas
Mizzou
Buffalo
Coastal Car
Oregon
Oklahoma
Notre Dame
Florida
Minnesota
Wash ST
West VA
App ST
Arkansas
Utah ST
Duke
FAU
Liberty
Georgia ST
Jax ST
WKU
Hawaii
UCLA
Baylor
Colorado
Maryland
Houston
Cal
Fresno ST

@UnForgiven
 
Some juicy upsets in there.

Unless I missed any, here are the ones I saw for any others following:

Upsets (8):

North Texas
Florida
Washington State
Utah State
Georgia State
Jacksonville State
Hawaii
UCLA

If one takes a $5 parlay on those on Hard Rock it would pay just under $60k.

I’m gonna dice this up a few ways but first I’ll start there and if it hits GOAT gets half.
 
Advertisement
Kansas ST
Kansas
FSU
Ole Miss
Texas
USF
TCU
Bama
OK ST
LSU
Michigan
Illinois
NC ST
Cincinnati
North Texas
Mizzou
Buffalo
Coastal Car
Oregon
Oklahoma
Notre Dame
Florida
Minnesota
Wash ST
West VA
App ST
Arkansas
Utah ST
Duke
FAU
Liberty
Georgia ST
Jax ST
WKU
Hawaii
UCLA
Baylor
Colorado
Maryland
Houston
Cal
Fresno ST

@UnForgiven
20 pick parlay for 5 bucks lets see lol
 
Some juicy upsets in there.

Unless I missed any, here are the ones I saw for any others following:

Upsets (8):

North Texas
Florida
Washington State
Utah State
Georgia State
Jacksonville State
Hawaii
UCLA

If one takes a $5 parlay on those on Hard Rock it would pay just under $60k.

I’m gonna dice this up a few ways but first I’ll start there and if it hits GOAT gets half.
i like this for 5 bucks but im taking FL out of it. they are trash until proven otherwise and their best player on O is out.
 
i like this for 5 bucks but im taking FL out of it. they are trash until proven otherwise and their best player on O is out.
Good call. Funny enough I was going to ask him if he had confidence levels on any of these but I don't want to press my luck. I also agree there's 1 or 2 like Florida that I'm skeptical on so I may build smaller parlays that skim the worrisome ones.
 
Advertisement
Back
Top