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4/14 Recruiting Update with key Miami targets along with a recruiting pod from Monday

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Number1CanesFan said:
It can go both ways. Only a handful of players will get crazy money. Maybe all 5-star QBs initially. However, what happens when those 5-stars don't pan out to what they're projected to be? DJ U at Clemson for example. I think teams will re4ally have to do their homework on who fits their program. Will their be a big drop off from the 4-star kid that's just outside the 5-star ranking.

Again, look at DJ U. He got the early Dr Pepper and Bo Jangles NIL deal. What is his projection now. If he was a 2022 or 2023 recruit you'd say he's a 5-star bust. Now, Look at TVD. A highly rated 4-star who's progressing and projecting towards being a 1st round NFL draft pick. Two guys on opposite trajectories that would have completely different NIL money coming out of high school if they were in the 2022 or 2023 class.

So, I could see the money getting crazy for a few guys. I also think things will calm down when some 5-stars don't deliver and other less rated guys do.
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As fans, ESPN and all the other rating services have us locked into this winning the recruiting awards. Sure, it has been proven a correlation of highly rated talent and national championships. There's also a correlation that most of the NFL draft picks were not 5-star rated talent coming out of high school. I don't think there's even one former 5-star QB in the 2022 NFL draft.

NFL 2022 QB First Round Draft Projections
6. Kenny Pickett 2017 - 3-star: #33 QB
8. Malik Willis 2017 - 3-star: #21 ATH
20. Desmond Ridder 2017 - 3-star: #116 ATH
32. Matt Corral 2018 - 4-star: #4 QB

To be fair Trevor Lawrence and Justin Fields were a 5-star from the 2018 class who both were drafted #1 and #2 last year. Other 2018 5-star JT Daniels now in his 2nd transfer from UGA to WVU. From 2017 Tua Tagovailoa was a 5-star drafted in the 1st round. Davis Mills, another 5-star QBs in the 2017 class went in the 3rd round.

So, in conclusion, it's a mixed bag. Most of the 5-star QBs pan out, but some don't. A lot more 3 and 4-star QBs develop into top players. I think moving forward, NIL deals will closely resemble NFL free agency. It will be about getting value for your money. There will be some schools (boosters) that will pay a crazy amount of money because that's their only way to get a top prospect.
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Can we please stop projecting Kenny ******* Pickett to the Panthers?

The rest of your post was good though.
 
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Out of the 10+ guys you expect to hit the portal, Im sure there's gonna be some that hurt from just a talent perspective in that it might just not have worked out here like most thought. But are there names you are hearing that make you go "**** he has a bright future"??
 
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Kshanley13 said:
Out of the 10+ guys you expect to hit the portal, Im sure there's gonna be some that hurt from just a talent perspective in that it might just not have worked out here like most thought. But are there names you are hearing that make you go "**** he has a bright future"??
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Dont remember if it was Brooklyn or Cribby that said that there will be a couple that were gonna be head scratchers, that was back in January I believe. I kinda put Nesta in that category, kinda, not a surefire starter but a surefire contributor
 
Kshanley13 said:
Out of the 10+ guys you expect to hit the portal, Im sure there's gonna be some that hurt from just a talent perspective in that it might just not have worked out here like most thought. But are there names you are hearing that make you go "**** he has a bright future"??
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I have an internal list of guys I would actually be upset about losing: TVD, Garcia, Chaney, Rooster, George, Brashard, Arroyo, Skinner, Zion, Rivers, LT, Roberts, Wesley, Chase, Keontra, Rique, Tae, JW. Anyone not named I wouldn't say isn't a loss per se but losses I can live with.
 
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