I quoted only a couple of things. Your prior instincts were correct. We need Top 5 classes to be relevant. But a sustained string of them, not sporadic. A sporadic Top 5 blended with 17 means nothing. It means a few guys. Once the Top 5 is every year then the numbers game takes over because you have 3-4 guys each season who are difference makers above the programs that sit in #17 level annually.
Recruiting is everything. We could fake relevance for 1-3 seasons with a dominant quarterback. That is what I am rooting for because it's the most realistic path. But it won't change anything toward where we stand in relation to the true blueblood programs.
The first dominant quarterback allows hope of a second one on his heels, and so forth. That type of thing can extend the paper mache.
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There is no legitimate expectation that we'll have a new head coach in 2021. Sorry, but that is overreaction to the extreme while ignoring the big picture. Very, very seldom does a program of this type dismiss a head coach after only 2 seasons. The examples would be meaningless outliers oft accompanied by atypical variables.
Unless Manny Diaz does something to embarrass himself or the university off the field, he is huge favorite to remain head coach into 2021. For one thing, this season was 6-6 accomplished via a string of blown late leads and losing as 14+ point favorite. It is ridiculous to project anything like that again. We can't be dense enough to rant about how rare it is, and then somehow expect we'll replicate it the following season. Regression to the mean works both ways.
In some respects, Diaz benefits from 6-6. That's what some posters here fail to grasp. If Miami restores to logical level of 8-4 next season that will be rationalized by the administration as a positive -- a settling -- in contrast to Richt who set expectations unrealistically lofty with that 10-2 regular season of 2017.
As a USC alum I've learned not to get hopes up of firing an overmatched head coach until he proves to be a drunk or another Paul Hackett.