Plenty of that was pure make believe. UCLA and particularly USC have received tons of grief for playing the Rose Bowl so close to home. It was a perpetual topic in the '60s and '70s when so many national titles were at stake in those games. The month between the end of the regular season and the New Year's Day bowls was flooded with that theme. And before we start chirping that results that old don't matter, it's wise to be careful because many of our early titles will be similarly dated not too long down the road.
I had to belly laugh at the suggestion that the Orange Bowl wasn't a massive factor in our championships. We had the greatest home field advantage in the country, playing in the stadium that still holds the record for longest pro home winning streak (31) and longest college home winning streak (58). I'm sure that's a mere coincidence. I used to have arguments with the chief Nevada oddsmaker all the time that he simply wasn't adjusting the home number enough for the Canes. He refused to go outside the typical 2 to 5 point parameter even though the Orange Bowl was demonstrably worth more than that in key games. Consequently the sportsbooks got burned. Years later that guy, whose parents lived in Coral Gables, conceded to me that I was correct.
In our first championship season the Orange Bowl was incredibly pivotal. That power rating gap between Miami and Nebraska was 17 points. Playing in the Orange Bowl the bettors pushed the number down to 11.5 or 12 at kickoff. The late money line was -600/+400, so in man to man terms we theoretically had a 20% chance. I talked to oddsmakers and asked about neutral field numbers on that game. It would have been -17 with a money line of -1100/+800. So the Orange Bowl doubled our opportunity, from 10% to 20%. I would argue it was actually far beyond double but I'll go with the actual digits.
Plenty of evidence. The only bowl game we lost at home was the late collapse against Nebraska when they wore us out in the 4th quarter and Frank Costa missed one cheap 80 yard touchdown opportunity that could have restored a fluke margin. Meanwhile, we were exposed on the road countless times -- against UCLA, Tennessee, Arizona and obviously the devastating national title failures against Penn State, Alabama and Ohio State. We basically were hit or miss away from home and dominant in our own building. The rest of the nation properly views it that way and it's pathetic if we prefer to deny it. Away from home we needed the perfect matchup. We got it in 2001 against flawed Nebraska after their hapless effort against Colorado. A year later we drew the worst opponent imaginable, blue collar Ohio State, the team I desperately rooted against all season because they shared so many similarities to those 1986 and 1992 Penn State and Alabama teams. I wouldn't have worried at all in the Orange Bowl, where we would have shaken them off by maybe 10 points. Away from home I considered it a toss up and posted that on numerous sites. That Ohio State team was loaded with pro talent, had a great Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential, and matched up great against our offensive line.
Also, I should point out it's hardly true we've played Nebraska exclusively in bowl games. I remember the back to back 1975 and 1976 games in Nebraska. Miami battled like heck in those games, both times as huge underdogs. We actually led at halftime in 1975 despite conventional wisdom that we'd be deflated after nearly defeating defending national champion Oklahoma the previous week as 35.5 point home underdogs. That's the type of schedule we faced in those days, back to back against Oklahoma and Nebraska. As a teenager I loved it. The '70s weren't as bad as younger fans prefer to believe. Nebraska rallied behind Vince Ferragamo and we lost by maybe two touchdowns.
A year later in 1976 the game wasn't as close physically but the score was even tighter since we kept the ball on the ground with Ottis Anderson and benefited from some key fumbles. I believe we led at halftime again. Ferragamo finally put together a drive and we lost 17-9. I was annoyed that Nebraska hadn't given us a home and home like Oklahoma and Alabama had recently. Both games were at Lincoln. I suspect the series had something to do with the Carl Selmer connection but so many decades later that could be wrong. More than anything I remember watching those games with my dad in our living room, knowing we were outmatched but hoping for some type of miracle, one that wouldn't arrive until Jim Kelly at Penn State a few years later. Nebraska also had the hardest and most faded astroturf imaginable. I remember the Canes players complaining when they got back, nursing scrapes and similar arm injuries. The Orange Bowl had finally gotten rid of the pathetic Poly Turf.