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Predictions/Thoughts on the Last 4 Games

JHallCanes said:
It's a nice run-down but you are giving our offense WAY too much credit IMO.

You really think we drop 38 on VT? 52 and 45 on two other teams?

This offense is sputtering to say the least and yes we have played some good defenses but Morris is going to seriously have to get his **** together if we want to put up points like that.

Hope you're right though. We put up 38 on VT and we are going 4-0.
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Good questions...let me explain. I'm working under the assumption that our offense does get it's collective **** together after this bye week. That was my main thought as I wrote all of that. As I wrote in the VT part of my post, "Our offense will look better with Morris healthy and back on the same page as his WR's." If that happens, and we can get back to GT/NCSU games' form on offense, no reason we can't score that many points against the remaining opponents.

Our offense can be as explosive as Clemson's when running on all cylinders as it was earlier in the season. They put up 38 on VT on an off-day. I think we can put up 38 on VT. AND--if we put up 38 on VT, we can easily put up 45 on UVA as they're a dumpster fire of a football team...we could score 45 against UVA with Ryan Williams at the QB spot. I think the 52 I have us putting up against Duke is more the product of expecting a shootout as opposed to us having an explosive offense. If it's a shootout with Duke, we'll have to score that many points to beat them at their place, IMO.

EDIT: And yes, if my assumption is off, and we're still struggling offensively--all 4 of these final games will become dogfights, and the defense might have to win one for us, which is a scary thing to think about. If our offense struggles like it has against UNC/FSU, then I'd have to amend my prediction to 2-2, losses to VT/Duke.
 
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I would like to say 4-0/3-1. We SHOULD beat these 4 teams. And we haven't really completely laid an egg/failed to show up any game this year. Even when we got blown out, it was to top 5 teams on the road and you change a couple plays early on against ND and its a much different game. So I don't see any mystifying BC losses like last year.

However, being realistic, we are not that much better than any of these teams either. And we could have easily lost to NC State and GT. I see the remainder of these games being your classic weird mediocre ACC games. We could easily drop one or two of those.

And if we get our **** pushed in tomorrow night things could get ugly quick. like 4-8 ugly.
 
BWCD, the main thing that worries me is the plan to beat our offense is out there. Don't give up the deep ball. We don't have a QB that can consistently make the underneath throws that move the chains.

The plays are there but he can't make them. Our running game is also hurting right now badly.

I could he way off but I expect a more UNC type game that NC St game. We can still win but Morris is going to have to stop forcing the ball deep and have to be more accurate when the first downs are there to he had.
 
I agree with you JHall, but the running game is also hurting cause Fisch won't commit to it. Tries to get cute with the shotgun draws instead of letting Hagens put someone in the upper deck and pound the rock! The draw play worked once against BC with Duke totin' the pill, but has been shut down since. Mostly due to Morris' inability to hit the short pass, letting the LB's key on the RB.
 
PipelineU said:
If we lose to UVA........Wow. That is a really bad football team. If there is only 1 game I expect us to win out of the last 4, it's that one.
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People said the SAME EXACT THING last year about UVA. And we all know the result.

When will people stop thinking that there are teams, at this juncture in the "process," that we just shouldn't lose to because they are "really bad?" Newsflash, we are a really bad football team also.

Realistically, EVERY game from here on out is a tossup, with VaTech being our hardest game of this year. They have brought it non-stop over the years and I don't expect them to just not bring it tomorrow night. They have sucked all season and tomorrow night is the perfect night for them to be "on." (though you could make the argument that we are due for a complete game too)
 
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McGahee ain't bull****ting. UVA sucks but we are plenty capable of losing to them, especially showing our offensive (pun?) limitations lately.

We should win but that's meaningless.
 
The first two series will tell us exactly how the VT game will go IMO.
If we come out and pull another ND type of start then were in for a long night, another FSU type of start and Miami has the chance to run away with it. Only a few teams on Miami's schedule this year could withstand a start like the FSU game and unfortunately FSU had the talent to do so.
 
I will say one positive about Steven Morris though outside of the obvious physical tools he does have: he has balls. He's got the type of short term memory that really helps a inexperienced QB.

The plays have been there, which is why I haven't been AS critical of Fisch as some, but Morris just has to keep pushing forward. I think he is capable and in a close game I think he tends to slow down a bit. Small sample size I know but I haven't lost faith in him to improve.
 
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McGahee2TheHouse said:
We had a better defense last year too
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I disagree with that. Our front 7 was better and we were better against the run, but overall we were worse. The secondary was SO terrible last year that we literally never got off the field on third down unless there was some unforced error. We may not get many stops now, but we got NONE last year.
 
DCH said:
McGahee2TheHouse said:
We had a better defense last year too
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I disagree with that. Our front 7 was better and we were better against the run, but overall we were worse. The secondary was SO terrible last year that we literally never got off the field on third down unless there was some unforced error. We may not get many stops now, but we got NONE last year.
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Do you watch the games? Serious question.

edit: Upon checking the OPP 3rd down conversion %, you are absolutely wrong. 42.86% this year and 42.57% last year says that the bolded is wrong. If we are talking about 3rd downs, we get off the field just the same as last year.

However, we were ranked 42 in total D last year versus being almost dead last this year. Other parts of our D were much better (like the DL, which is insanely important) and 3rd down was about the same. I stand by my argument that our D was better last year.
 
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McGahee2TheHouse said:
DCH said:
McGahee2TheHouse said:
We had a better defense last year too
Click to expand...

I disagree with that. Our front 7 was better and we were better against the run, but overall we were worse. The secondary was SO terrible last year that we literally never got off the field on third down unless there was some unforced error. We may not get many stops now, but we got NONE last year.
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Do you watch the games? Serious question.

edit: Upon checking the OPP 3rd down conversion %, you are absolutely wrong. 42.86% this year and 42.57% last year says that the bolded is wrong. If we are talking about 3rd downs, we get off the field just the same as last year.

However, we were ranked 42 in total D last year versus being almost dead last this year. Other parts of our D were much better (like the DL, which is insanely important) and 3rd down was about the same. I stand by my argument that our D was better last year.
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However, we forced zero turnovers last year. This year, it seems like we're forcing more.

Hard to say which of these ****** defenses is worse than the other. The one thing you can say with certainty, however, is that Ohnofrio's defenses seem to toughen up as the year progresses. It's a little heartening, actually. Wish we could say the same for Fisch's offenses.
 
Biscuits, to expand on your point it seems like our defense has been getting more opportunistic as the season has gone along. We have had some tough games lately so that's tough to be certain about but I'm (optimistic) hoping what we are seeing is some playmakers getting more comfortable letting loose and making plays out there.
 
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McGahee2TheHouse said:
PipelineU said:
If we lose to UVA........Wow. That is a really bad football team. If there is only 1 game I expect us to win out of the last 4, it's that one.
Click to expand...

People said the SAME EXACT THING last year about UVA. And we all know the result.

When will people stop thinking that there are teams, at this juncture in the "process," that we just shouldn't lose to because they are "really bad?" Newsflash, we are a really bad football team also.

Realistically, EVERY game from here on out is a tossup, with VaTech being our hardest game of this year. They have brought it non-stop over the years and I don't expect them to just not bring it tomorrow night. They have sucked all season and tomorrow night is the perfect night for them to be "on." (though you could make the argument that we are due for a complete game too)
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They were 4-3 coming into our game last year. They will be at best 3-6 coming into our game this year(most likely they will be 2-7, having lost 7 in a row). They are God awful this year. They weren't last year. Can they beat us? Sure they could, but if you don't expect us to beat them, then I don't know what to say other than, maybe you haven't watched them play this year. I'm under no delusions that we are a great football team, or even a good one, but I do expect us to beat ****ty football teams. I think we're at least good enough to do that.
 
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if they fire golden after 2 years were gonna end up an optimist league coach as our new coach...u need to give to golden a full 4 years w his kids and a couple recruiting classes before u can judge him.
 
I don't understand how VTech is the hardest game of the year considering we have played 3 top 10 teams but agree with the sentiment that these last 4 are all toss ups. We will know a lot after tonight, this isn't a very good VTech team
 
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