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- Jan 13, 2013
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- 1,705
Don't underestimate the hype machine. Miami only needs to win decisively to get a good seed.It would actually benefit Miami if FSU,VT,Louisville... win 9-11 games because a lose in the acc title or even a win could mean low seeding based on strength of schedule. They don't play ND, UF 7-8 max, no Clemson unless acc title game. You have to look at it from a CFP committee bias stand point. You want a high seed and easier route in the playoff.
13-0 with dominant/complete wins against UF, FSU, and the ACC title and we are a top 3/4 seed. Possibly higher if a B1G/SEC conf champ drops a game.
Only teams we don't pass up will be undefeated conf champs from the B1G and SEC, maybe a one loss team that had a close loss to the eventual conf champ, a ridiculously dominant big 12 team, or undefeated/1-loss ND. That's 6 teams, at most, in a ****storm of Canes bad luck.
So, in the worst-case scenario we draw a 7 seed and that would require all this crap to come to fruition and we still get the 6/7 match up so it's not a big deal. If they want to match us up against the best non conf champ they will seed us ahead of them.
Even if we drop a game in season as long as we are dominant through the season and win the ACCCG decisively we will be a top 5 seed.
Remember undefeated FSU with a bunch of narrow, ugly Ws against pretty weak comp got the 5 seed and had an argument for as high as the 3 seed. If Travis doesn't go down, they woulda got that 3 seed even if they had looked like **** in those last couple games.
It only gets ****** if we seed 8th or worse. Which would be more likely if we lose the ACCCG.
If we want a favorable seed we will have to win the Conference. It would take a confluence of events comparable to our worst case scenario for us to get a top 6 seed after losing the ACCCG.