Kirby Freeman 2.0, but we can afford to wait after last year's class, and it gets us into IMG.
If this was a need year at QB, I doubt he would be our guy. I can't imagine Richt is happy about his development since he first saw him.
If Richt isn't happy with his development, then he's not going after him
What the guy above you said. That's the hope and once you see a spark in someone young as he did, it's hard to let go of. If he doesn't improve this year, he'll get dropped quick. Last year's class was outstanding, so he can afford to take a flyer this year of you will.
Disagree with a few of your points
1. Why would you assume Richt isn't happy with his development when he's made him our top target at the qb position? Why would you assume that if qb was a need he wouldn't be our guy? Although there's always a chance spring offer ala brad kaaya will come about, most qb prospects are usually offered early and richt likes to lock up qbs early. Richt has made this kid a priority and I wouldn't see him changing his stance if qb was a need. The better assumption is that Richt is enamored with his physical potential and has largely ignored his jr on field production
2. If he commits, I can't imagine any scenario where he gets dropped. First, he's the starting quarterback of the school with the most power 5 talent year in and year out. Second, Richt clearly loves the kid. Lastly, qbs very rarely get dropped or decommit. If we dropped him after a bad senior season who would replace him as the qb of our class? Everyone would be committed by then
3. I agree we can take a flyer on this kid. High potential, low risk with Weldon and Perry in the fold IMO.
Let's look at the other uncommittted qbs we have offered;
1. Dorian Thompson-Robinson: not coming here
2. Casey Thompson: haven't heard much about his recruitment recently but seems to be trending Texas' way
3. Joe Milton: another project type. Sitowski had a bad year but so did Milton with a 47% completion rate. Would still be more than content if he ended up to be our qb but looks like he wants a uf offer bad and is related to coach seider
4. Justin Rodgers: not in contention for him as of now and offered last week. Can't see us closing the gap between Lsu and tcu.
5. James Graham: heard nothing about him but has a lot of major offers. Name to look out for as we head into the spring practice/summer (~90-95% of P5 qbs are committed by the end of summer)
6. Jarren Williams: current UK commit but got an offer post-commitment. Can't see him as a real possibility until he makes it on to campus
Until I see some 2018 offers go out in spring or 2018 qbs visit our campus this spring/summer, I'll ride with Sitowski or Milton. Reality is we only need to hit on one or two qbs every 3 recruiting classes at qb. I'll take my chances of batting .25 with weldon, Allison, Perry, and Sitowski