My guy it's April, the ratings you are using above were certainly the final rankings. And we know how wildly inaccurate these rating clowns start before they can re-group by leaning on what the coaches do. Let's see where Judd ends up in the final rankings, especially since he really just came on the scene. I'll bet your donuts to my dollars it's a lot higher. Emory moved up like 500 spots iirc.
I am not taking a position on the kid, but I think it's way early for anyone else to as well. Reprint to add a little more color:
The Athletic re-ranked the class of 2020 QB's based on how they turned out so far, in their opinion:
Revised top 10 (with original HS ranking):
Original ranking: No. 1 QB (No. 2 overall)
Original ranking: No. 3 QB (No. 42 overall)
Original ranking: No. 82 QB (No. 1,365 overall)
Original ranking: No. 22 QB (No. 605 overall)
Original rank: No. 15 QB (No. 204 overall)
6. Jayden de Laura, Arizona (via Washington State)
Original rank: No. 34 QB (No. 462 overall)
Original rank: No. 7 QB (No. 222 overall)
Original rank: No. 52 QB (No. 747 overall)
Original rank: No. 59 QB (No. 888 overall)
Original rank: No. 2 QB (No. 10 overall)
So according to them the best QB signees, in order, were ranked #1, #3, #82, #22, #15, #34, #7, #52, #59, #2 (QB rankings, not overall rankings).
More guys outside the final top 20 panned out as top 10 talents than guys within the original top 10. The average would be a guy who was ranked as the #28~ QB in America.
As with any star rating discussion, percentages matter most. More guys outside the top 20 panned out as top 10 talents than QB’s within the original top 10 because there’s way, way more of them. QB’s ranked in the 80’s, 90’s, and even several ranked in the 100’s at the position that year signed with D1 schools.
There are 2 in a class of their own who will likely be the first two overall picks in the upcoming draft (Young & Stroud). 1 won a Heisman and the other was a two-time Heisman finalist. Both led their respective team to a playoff appearance.
2 of the top 10 were 5*’s (Young & DJ)
3 of the top 10 were 4*s (Stroud, Richardson, & TVD)
5 of the top 10 were 3*’s.
Only 2 QB’s were 5*’s in the 247 composite that year.
The 4* hit rate that year was very low at 3 of 25, which I assume is a bit lower than the norm. 12%.
The 3* hit rate was even more like finding a needle in a haystack, though, when you look at how many of them there were. If approximately 70 3* QB’s signed with D1 schools that year, which seems like a fair estimate based on 247’s signee page, 5 out of 70 is just a 7% hit rate.