I read the post and understood it. We were going to go with 12 guys. Obviously didnt plan on kicking someone off the team
1. So we planned to use ONLY 12 guys? That is illogical.
2. Even if you ONLY wanted to use 12 ships, there are things like injuries, transfers and players get booted. 12 can become 11 before the season even starts. Since Coach L has been here, the following players have transferred out/left or been booted:
- Gilmore
- Palmer
- Lecomte
- Sherman
- Daniels
- Burnett
- J. Kelly
- Muhammad
- Wilson
That is more than ~1.3 ships gone per season. It should be expected, not just at Miami, that kids are going to leave before/during the season. So if you want to run with 12, you better take 13. Please note the number is actually more when you take into account things like significant injuries, redshirts and suspensions.
3. So this plan to go with 12 guys included the following:
- Mack (needing a waiver)
- McGusty (must sit out)
- Zero guys transferring, being injured or booted
That seems like a very risky plan to ensure 12 guys can play.
4. Last year we had 12 players to start the season and two of them weren't going to play anytime (Wilson and Gak were sitting out, one redshirt one b/c of the transfer rule). Then Brown was injured and we went down to 9. So perhaps 12 isn't a smart plan?
Why do you need 13 instead of 12
1. Because of injuries, transfers and kids getting booted. So 12 becomes 11 before the season starts. 11 then becomes 10 after an injury.
2. Not every kid, even if they stay, will provide quality depth.
3. Not every kid is even eligible to play.
GT at 12
Syracuse at 11
Virginia at 12
Duke at 12
VT at 10
Louisville at 10
A few things, since I am not going to audit your numbers:
1. How many of those were the plan at the beginning of the season? Did UL want to only go with 10 kids? VT? Or did some fluke thing happen like suspensions or ineligibility at UL?
2. How many of those were what happened at the end of the season?
3. Did any of those teams wish they had more players eligible or on ship?
In all those situations you suggested you can be left stuck with a player. I know scholarships are year to year but my guess is L doesnt boot people that way.
The only exception is a grad transfer and while you suggest why not take one. Grad transfer usually dont head to places without a clear idea of PT
That is tremendous exception which I clearly stated. Not only does a Grad Transfer have zero impact on future numbers because they're gone after the season. They provide you with potential depth should you need it. Now obviously not every transfer is the same but I'd rather have Joe Thomas or Donovan Kirk then no one. Even if they can only play a few minutes per game, I'd rather have the option to play them.