No, you can't use that with every player who has a very realistic chance of losing value on his own team in his senior year. This situation is very different than all those guys who made that decision a couple years ago. I thought most of those guys, outside of Lamar, should have come back, FWIW.
I realize we want as much talent here as possible, but if this is really a family - something you talk about consistently in your posts - we also want what's best for our players vis-a-vis their goals. It builds long-term trust. I have no idea what Phillip will ultimately decide, but my opinion is that it might actually be in his best interest to go on and potentially get drafted at his current (after this year) value to the NFL. If he makes that decision, which may very well be supported by Coach Golden, I hope the fans would see the rationale and support him.
First, as you always tell people, read the post a little closer. I didn't say you could use that rationale with "every" player; I said you could use it with almost any player.
Second, if you think Dorsett is the best possible receiver that he can be and can't improve in areas aside from genetics (speed and size), then that's probably why we see this situation differently. I think Dorsett has tremendous room to improve as a receiver just like Streeter did. Everyone said that Streeter couldn't get any faster or taller, so it was a good idea for him to declare. I thought he had plenty of room to improve as a WR, and his draft position proved that.
I'm pretty sure The Don and any other smart HC advises guys that it's a bad idea to leave early if they're not pretty sure to be drafted in the first 2 rounds. This has been the standard for a long time. I don't think Dorsett will be a 1st or 2nd rounder, so it makes no sense to leave early. Once you wind up in the 4th to 6th round area, your chances of even making a roster plummet dramatically. Makes no financial sense to put yourself in that situation when you don't have to. He's got another year, and he should use it to try to improve his skills and his draft stock.
1. I mistakenly used "every," but my point still stands: this is not your typical situation where a player may lose value by staying another year.
2. No, I don't think he's the best possible receiver he can be. If you're asking me to read a little closer, I ask you the same. I didn't say or imply that anywhere in my post. I gave a few examples of things that will contribute to his value as perceived by scouts/NFL GMs. I wasn't trying to make an exhaustive list and I certainly wasn't saying he can't be a better WR. What I was definitely stating is that the things I think he can improve won't increase his value relative to the risk he may take by staying another year. It's not a common thing, but guys come back all throughout the NCAA for their senior year and lose value. Some of those guys lose a lot of perceived value for varying reasons - they get picked apart by scouts, etc., their team environment changed from one year to the next, etc., and they don't improve enough to make it worth the extra year. There are examples of this every year, which I'm sure you're aware of. Comparing Dorsett to Streeter is just off, I think. I have plenty of posts on this board and the recruiting board explaining why I thought Streeter should come back for
his own benefit.
3. The "Don" argument is something I haven't heard from anyone close to the program or publicly from Coach Golden himself. It's a weird argument. He only advises guys to leave if they're slated for the first two rounds? What if they're top value isn't as 1st or 2nd round picks? What if their top value is as a 3rd or 4th rounder? Wouldn't the best advice be to tell players to get their top worth relative to their risk?
I'll put it this way: if Dorsett submits his papers to get back a draft grade and it comes back as a 3rd or 4th rounder, knowing that he can possibly lose some of that shine next year, would you advise him to return?