Speaking as a grad of both schools, you get Indiana more than the Hoosier fan that started this thread.
Miami will not win simply by athletic havoc or pushing the pace. IU has better athletes than the assesment here, and are flexible to that end stylistically more than just about any B1G team. Mike Woodson is a legit tactical coach, even if his hustle on the recruiting trail is ... about what you'd expect from a long time NBA coach. IU is very much a 2nd half team, and typically comes out with clear adjustments.
Miami's key to winning this that IU hasnt had their best on ball defender since December, Xavier Johnson. Pack, Wong, & Miller's creation and shot making in the half court will be critical, and they will need to do it versus arguably the top rim defender left in the tournament. They can do that though, and if the Canes can confidently hit the 40%/50% 3pt/2pt marker you alluded too, IUs lack of perimeter fire power becomes problematic.