The money line at 5Dimes is Florida State -1800, Miami +1150. I posted last night that it would be at least -1000, when somebody tried to compare this potential upset to the UCLA game in 1998. Not parallel at all. When a pointspread doubles, the money line does not double. It's more exponential than linear. UCLA was only -330 on the closing money line in 1998.
I thought the spread would be -20 but I'm not shocked at the -22 and -22.5. I worked as sportsbook supervisor at the Horseshoe in the late '80s and early '90s. One thing the sportsbook manager always pays attention to and tries to prevent is waves of money on the same team or same trend. I remember our manager screaming at the oddsmaker, "It doesn't matter what you think...what matters is how they'll bet." He was livid that the oddsmakers were placing high totals on NBA expansion teams Miami and Charlotte, despite tons of under money every time they were on the board. Florida State's spreads have instantly jumped upward in every recent game. In a situation like that the rule generally is to identify the extreme, and then add some more.