I think the gambling odds tell you a lot about the position of a program. Just because a team won 10 games one year, it has little bearing on the next year because so much can change in the offseason. A team could have huge attrition or staff changes, so the W/L total of a previous year is mostly irrelevant. The over/under win total for UF in 2020 is 10. The over/under win total for UM in 2020 is 9. Thats only a one game difference. And despite your slobbering over the mighty SEC East, the overall strength of schedule for both programs is almost the same: UF's schedule is ranked #61, Miami's schedule is ranked #65.
But wait- there's more. That 9 game win projection for Miami was released BEFORE our OL situation improved significantly. Now Miami has Walker (which also weakens UF) and could add another instant starter on OL if Williams transfers from Houston. If that happens, then Miami has addressed its major weakness- the OL. So I'm not being a homer when I say UM's and UF's programs are in just about the same position right now. The sportsbooks happen to agree with me.