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I thought kicking the 49 yard field goal was a terrible decision.....even though we made it and yes I agree I would have gone for it.
It just leads me to the discussion I think is worth having: if this in-game decision-making is an issue, how do we remedy this deficiency? Also, wouldn't it be indicative of the type of mentality going into game prep?
If they are analyzing being down three scores in the 4th quarter in game prep, we would be concerned about that too.
Yes, thank you. I figured someone would go down this path. The point is you add up a bunch of data points - this football scenario being one of them - and you ask what it means to the big picture. After I wrote the post, I thought of what it specifically meant to Golden's "8 pillars" approach. What do these seemingly narrow/small decisions (that add up to make a difference) mean in light of this framework he has in place?
I'm looking for a silver lining or, in its absence, a legitimate reason to even further lower my hopes and expectations.
There are multiple pieces of this, but I will attack two of them - high level - fan view and football view -
As a fan, the data will start with the result and go back from there.
- We lost and are unhappy, so the data points will align with what we want or expect. In this scenario, Coach D, Y u no coach good?
- So the decision to kick vs go for it looks better or worse depending on the fan's emotion. That was a huge kick by a struggling kicker in a big game. It got points on the board and cut slightly into their lead.
- Angry fan may say: We need 7 points not 3. If he misses the kick, fans say we should have gone for it because we are down a lot and the defense sucks. But if we go for it and miss, fan is ready to scream out "take the points" now they have great field position and our defense sucks.
- For your point of 4 down territory, I like your thinking, but angry fan will twist that decision too. We go and get it, great. We fail, and it is what is Coley thinking putting the D back on the field. The defense sucks.
From the football perspective, I think the data is used to determine the best outcome going forward and saying did we make the best decision in that position at that time.
- FG - points on the board, kickoff and try to create a turnover using the model they have had "success" with coming behind 3 times already this year. The defense forced three fumbles but could not recover them. The plan almost worked again, this may not be good news for angry fan.
- 4th down territory -- I think the 4th down territory question needs a specific team mindset to run. Where prior to the 4th quarter jump around, the staff says, we are down, we came back before, we are going balls out on offense, every series is a 4 down series. Offense get ready to drive this out, and defense be ready to get the ball back. Then jump around. Personally I feel there is a distinction from the normal pump up when you add in the 4th down mindset.
To your point, what does that collection of data point and decisions mean -- for angry fan - we are screwed. For coaching staff, could mean that despite a crappy result, the right decisions were made at the right times enough times that the ship is in the right direction just not moving fast enough.
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