I will do the same with recruiting.
I'm not going to look at Cristobals history and project out the season at 1-0. That's dumb. Each season is different. And if you want an honest assessment, his track record is that he's established himself as a terrible game day coach so unless he has a massive talent advantage, no game is going to be projected as a likely win (and even then it's doubtful).
Each recruiting cycle is also different. Last year Cristobal was brand new to the program, recruits were generally excited (except for QBs and WRs that didn't think much of his offenses at Oregon). This cycle he has to overcome the stigma of the worst season in almost two decades. He had a historically bad offense. WRs are looking at the QB situation and know TVD will he be gone. People are hoping that we can get a top transfer QB. Well, Cristobals track record for transfer QBs is not great.
Meanwhile, a rival up the road annihilated us on national TV, won 10 games, and is being mentioned as a dark horse playoff contender. Most analysts and fans are expecting UM to finish 7-5 or 8-4 if we catch a few breaks. That would be embarrassing for year 2. Can he still land 5 stars in that environment? I hope so. However, at the moment the answer is no. When that changes we can discuss changing expectations.